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Staying on track with multi-factor credits in a tough market environment

Staying on track with multi-factor credits in a tough market environment

06-10-2022 | Visione

Peer group analysis shows the value of a systematic investment process that yields steady performance and diversification.

  • Patrick  Houweling
    Patrick
    Houweling
    Co-Head of Quant Fixed Income and Lead Portfolio Manager

Speed read

  • Multi-factor credits strategy correlates negatively with peer
  • It outperformed most peers in the recent volatile market environment
  • Systematic process, steady performance, high sustainability, low fees

Over the past twelve months, during which geopolitical events and rising inflation have resulted in the most negative market returns seen in many years, Robeco QI Global Multi-Factor Credits continued to show the merits of diversification. The strategy outperformed the global credit index by about 0.2% over this period.1 ,2  By contrast, the average global credit fund in the peer group underperformed the index by about  0.6%.

The strategy’s steady outperformance over time, in combination with its diversifying ability, strong sustainability profile and lower fees, confirms its unique position within a universe of active and passive funds, making it an attractive core holding in a multi-manager portfolio.

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Outshining in a gloomy market

The recent period has been one of the most challenging market environments for fixed income investors in decades. Since the Russian invasion of Ukraine in February 2022, market sentiment has been very bearish. Inflation has soared to levels last seen in the early 1980s, interest rates have increased to the highest level in 10 years, and credit spreads have doubled over the last twelve months. This is a tough environment for any active credit manager; it could also raise the question whether a systematic approach is able to cope with these challenges.

From Morningstar Direct, we obtained the returns of 20 global credit funds over the live period of Robeco QI Global Multi-Factor Credits (July 2015 to August 2022). The peer group includes funds from well-known asset managers. As Morningstar reports net returns, we add back fees to approximate the gross returns. We calculate the outperformance versus the Bloomberg Global Aggregate Corporates Index for each fund and each month.

Figure 1 shows the results over the last 12 months, where we have anonymized the external funds. It shows the outperformance of each of the 21 funds versus the benchmark. We observe that the majority of the funds, 14 out of 21, underperformed the benchmark, with seven funds underperforming by more than -1% and the worst fund lagging the benchmark by more than -2%. Our multi-factor credits fund, on the other hand, outperformed by 0.2%, which places the fund ex aequo in the top three, with only two other funds showing higher outperformance over this period. The average fund underperformed the benchmark by -0.6%.

Figure 1 | Performance of global credit funds over the last twelve months

Source: Morningstar Direct, Robeco. Period: September 2021-August 20222,3

Steady outperformance and low fees make this strategy attractive as core holding

The recent strong performance of Robeco QI Global Multi-Factor Credits is no coincidence, as demonstrated by its live track record since July 2015. 2,4 Since inception, the strategy outperformed its benchmark in 17 out of 28 quarters (61%), 10 out of 14 half-years (71%), and five out of six calendar years (83%). The tracking error of the strategy is among the lowest in the peer group.

Furthermore, the risk of the strategy is very similar to that of the benchmark: its volatility was 5.24% over its live track record versus 5.46% for the benchmark, and its beta was close to 1 (0.95). In contrast, 17 out of 21 funds in the peer group had a volatility above the benchmark and a beta above 1. The benchmark-like risk of Robeco QI Global Multi-Factor Credits is an integral part of the investment process.

Moreover, we observe that the fee of the Robeco multi-factor strategy, defined as the ongoing charges for the institutional share class, 5  is among the lowest in its peer group. This shows that the strategy is attractively priced between passive and traditional active strategies.

A quantitative and diversified approach to credits that systematically incorporates sustainability

Style diversification

The strategy’s systematic investment process yields another advantage for clients that already invest in actively managed corporate bond portfolios: it offers style diversification by generating alpha with a differentiating approach compared to its peers.

To quantify this style diversification, we calculate the correlation between the performances of our multi-factor strategy and the 20 fundamentally managed global credit funds in the peer group introduced above. We calculate the pairwise correlation between a fund’s monthly outperformances and each of the 20 other funds. Then, we calculate the average of these correlations for every fund.

The results are shown in Figure 2. With an average outperformance correlation of -9%, Robeco QI Global Multi-Factor Credits scores best of all funds. It is the only fund with a negative correlation, which is much lower than the +40% average for the other funds. So, indeed, our multi-factor fund is a strong diversifier relative to fundamentally managed funds.

Figure 2 | Quantifying style diversification

Source: Morningstar Direct, Robeco. Period: July 2015-August 2022. 2,3

A systematic incorporation of sustainability

Robeco QI Global Multi-Factor Credits promotes various environmental and social characteristics.6  Firstly, it applies exclusion criteria related to products and business practices that Robeco believes are detrimental to society. Examples include manufacturers of tobacco or controversial weapons, and companies involved in thermal coal, oil sands or arctic drilling. And if a company in the portfolio is in breach of international standards, such as the OECD Guidelines for Multinational Enterprises, it will become part of Robeco’s Enhanced Engagement program in which the reported shortfalls are addressed.

Moving beyond exclusions and enhanced engagement, the strategy commits to providing investors with a lower environmental footprint than its benchmark in terms of its carbon emissions, water use and waste generation. In addition, the strategy commits to being exposed to less ESG risk than the reference index.

Conclusion

In the recent challenging market environment, Robeco’s Global Multi-Factor Credits strategy stayed on track by outperforming its benchmark by 0.2% and the average of its peers by 0.8%. The strategy’s systematic investment process delivers style diversification, steady performance, benchmark-like risk, and improved sustainability compared to the benchmark. In combination with its lower fees, these characteristics make it a strong alternative to passive strategies and ideally suited as a core holding in asset owners’ credit allocation. Asset owners can implement ‘satellites’ with other managers that specialize in specific themes or whose investment process works well in a particular part of the cycle.

1 Source: Morningstar Direct, Robeco. Period: September 2021-August 2022. Robeco QI Global Multi-Factor Credits (euro hedged) live track-record in comparison to 20 anonymized global credit funds (all euro hedged). Outperformance is calculated vs. Bloomberg Global Aggregate Corporates (euro hedged).
2 The currency in which the past performance is displayed may differ from the currency of your country of residence. Due to exchange rate fluctuations the performance shown may increase or decrease if converted into your local currency. The value of your investments may fluctuate. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Performance gross of fees, based on gross asset value. In reality, costs (such as management fees and other costs) are charged.
3 GMFC = Robeco QI Global Multi-Factor Credits (euro hedged) live track-record. B to U are 20 anonymized global credit funds (all euro hedged). Outperformance is calculated vs. Bloomberg Global Aggregate Corporates (euro hedged).
4 Robeco QI Global Multi-Factor Credits (IH EUR share class) over the live track record from July 2015 to August 2022.
5 Actual fees can differ based on the exact share class of choice and the total size of the investment.
6 For more information, see our 2020 white paper “Sustainability innovations in factor credits”.

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Disclaimer

Confermo di essere un cliente professionale

Le informazioni e le opinioni contenute in questa sezione del Sito cui sta accedendo sono destinate esclusivamente a Clienti Professionali come definiti dal Regolamento Consob n. 16190 del 29 ottobre 2007 (articolo 26 e Allegato 3) e dalla Direttiva CE n. 2004/39 (Allegato II), e sono concepite ad uso esclusivo di tali categorie di soggetti. Ne è vietata la divulgazione, anche solo parziale.

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