Robeco logo

Disclaimer

The information contained in the website is solely intended for professional investors. Some funds shown on this website fall outside the scope of the Dutch Act on the Financial Supervision (Wet op het financieel toezicht) and therefore do not (need to) have a license from the Authority for the Financial Markets (AFM).

The funds shown on this website may not be available in your country. Please select your country website (top right corner) to view more information.

Neither information nor any opinion expressed on the website constitutes a solicitation, an offer or a recommendation to buy, sell or dispose of any investment, to engage in any other transaction or to provide any investment advice or service. An investment in a Robeco product should only be made after reading the related legal documents such as management regulations, prospectuses, annual and semi-annual reports, which can be all be obtained free of charge at this website and at the Robeco offices in each country where Robeco has a presence.

By clicking Proceed I confirm that I am a professional investor and that I have read, understood and accept the terms of use for this website.

Decline

22-09-2023 · Insight

Prepare for the pivot with short duration credits

The inversion of the yield curve makes short-dated credits appropriate to gain the benefit of higher yields, while enjoying lower duration risk and transaction costs.

Download the publication


    Authors

  • Evert Giesen - Portfolio Manager

    Evert Giesen

    Portfolio Manager

  • Erik Keller - Client Portfolio Manager

    Erik Keller

    Client Portfolio Manager

Summary

  1. The yield curve inversion is temporary

  2. Short-dated credits typically outperform cash in the period after policy rates peak

  3. Diversification benefits and low transaction costs add to the allure of short duration

The global economic outlook remains uncertain with US and European economies having to digest higher rates and tighter lending conditions and Chinese economic growth falling significantly. As a result, we think it's very likely that bonds will soon re-assume their role as a hedge against equity market volatility. Whether you believe in a soft landing or a hard landing, the global economy is set to slow and central banks will ultimately respond by ending their respective rate hiking cycles.

In this paper we explain why, with the approach of the peak in policy rates and with global yield curves remaining very inverted, investors should take the opportunity to position themselves in short duration credits to capitalize on the higher rate environment.


the-big-book-of-thematic-and-trend-investing.png

Download the publication: 'Prepare for the pivot with short duration credits'

loader

I agree to the Robeco Disclaimer and the collection and use of my personal data by Robeco, for the purposes for which such data is collected and used as set out in the Privacy Policy. Your data will be treated with utmost care and will not be passed on to third parties.

Unraveling 9 key credit questions