globalen

5-year Expected Returns

2020-2024

Escaping the hall of mirrors

Download full publication

In our 116-page outlook, we present our forecasts for the 5-year Expected Returns for all major asset classes.


Return on developed market equities

3.25%

Return on emerging market equities

3.75%

Return on Euro Government Bonds

-1.75%

Annual returns denominated in euros

The Executive Summary

Download the summary

By reacting to market expectations for further easing, monetary policy becomes a distorted image of its former self. Can central banks escape the ‘hall of mirrors’?

Our 5-year Expected Returns includes:

  • The expected returns for all major asset classes for the 2020-2024 period
  • Analysis of market valuations and macro scenarios
  • Four special topics
For the outlook on long-term steady-state returns, read our Long-Term Expected Returns.
Bart Oldenkamp

A notable shift in this year’s report is our downward revision of expected returns, owing to our view that a recession is inevitable between now and 2024.

Bart Oldenkamp, Head of Robeco Investment Solutions

Special topics

In this section we address four questions faced by professional investors.

Special topics

In this section we address four questions faced by professional investors.

Paving the way for unconventional policy
Paving the way for unconventional policy
Policy makers will turn to unconventional fiscal policy to deal with the next recession, says strategist Peter van der Welle.
5-Year outlook
Refining the inclusion of views in portfolio construction
Refining the inclusion of views in portfolio construction
Taking investors’ views into account when building portfolios is difficult but essential, says Roderick Molenaar.
5-Year outlook
Giving China its rightful share in your portfolio
Giving China its rightful share in your portfolio
Chinese stocks are a major new investment opportunity, yet they are under-represented in most portfolios, say Laurens Swinkels and Jaap Hoek.
5-Year outlook
Celebrating 30 years of inflation targeting?
Celebrating 30 years of inflation targeting?
Inflation targeting is celebrating its 30th anniversary, but is now due for a makeover, says portfolio manager Rikkert Scholten.
5-Year outlook

Leave your details and download our Expected Returns 2020-2024

Download our new 5-year outlook (‘Escaping the hall of mirrors’) and find out what our expected returns for all major asset classes are.


This report is not available for users from countries where the offering of foreign financial services is not permitted, such as US Persons.
Your details are not shared with third parties. This information is exclusively intended for professional investors. All requests are checked.

Disclaimer

The information contained in the website is solely intended for professional investors. Some funds shown on this website fall outside the scope of the Dutch Act on the Financial Supervision (Wet op het financieel toezicht) and therefore do not (need to) have a license from the Authority for the Financial Markets (AFM).

The funds shown on this website may not be available in your country. Please select your country website (top right corner) to view the products that are available in your country.

Neither information nor any opinion expressed on the website constitutes a solicitation, an offer or a recommendation to buy, sell or dispose of any investment, to engage in any other transaction or to provide any investment advice or service. An investment in a Robeco product should only be made after reading the related legal documents such as management regulations, prospectuses, annual and semi-annual reports, which can be all be obtained free of charge at this website and at the Robeco offices in each country where Robeco has a presence.

By clicking Proceed I confirm that I am a professional investor and that I have read, understood and accept the terms of use for this website.

Decline