latamen
Selecting managers based on their past performance

Selecting managers based on their past performance

28-08-2018 | From the field

Is past performance of any use for investors? This study1 investigates whether it makes sense to redeploy assets from underperforming to outperforming managers. Assuming a three-year evaluation period, the authors empirically find that investors who chose managers with poor recent performance would have earned higher benchmark-adjusted returns than those who chose managers with superior recent performance.

  • David Blitz
    David
    Blitz
    Head of Quant Research

This result poses a challenge for asset owners: if past performance should be used at all in selecting managers, it seems that not the underperforming managers, but the best-performing ones should be replaced. The authors acknowledge, however, that a policy of replacing successful managers with poor performers is unlikely to gain widespread acceptance. Instead, therefore, they argue that asset owners should focus on factors other than past performance for manager selection, suggesting a few that have been documented in recent studies.

1 Cornell, Hsu & Nanigian, “Does Past Performance Matter in Investment Manager Selection?”, Journal of Portfolio Managment, Vol. 43, No. 4, pp. 33-43, 2017.

Stay informed on Quant investing with monthly mail updates
Stay informed on Quant investing with monthly mail updates
Subscribe
From the field
From the field

Our researchers publish many whitepapers based on their own empirical studies; they also follow quantitative research done by others.

Read all articles
Subjects related to this article are:

Important information

The Robeco Capital Growth Funds have not been registered under the United States Investment Company Act of 1940, as amended, nor the United States Securities Act of 1933, as amended. None of the shares may be offered or sold, directly or indirectly in the United States or to any US Person.

This website is intended for use only by non-U.S. Persons outside of the United States (within the meaning of Regulation S promulgated under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the “Securities Act”)) who are professional investors. By clicking “I Agree” below and accessing the information on this website, including any subdomain thereof, you are certifying and agreeing to the following: (i) you have read, understood and agree to this disclaimer, (ii) you have informed yourself of any applicable legal restrictions and represent that by accessing the information contained on this website, you are not in violation of, and will not be causing Robeco or any of its affiliated entities or issuers to violate, any applicable laws and, as a result, you are legally authorized to access such information, (iii) you understand and acknowledge that certain information presented herein relates to securities that have not been registered under the Securities Act, and may be offered or sold only outside the United States (within the meaning of Regulation S under the Securities Act) and only to, or for the account or benefit of, non-U.S. Persons (within the meaning of Regulation S under the Securities Act), (iv) you are a non-U.S. Person (within the meaning of Regulation S under the Securities Act) located outside of the United States (within the meaning of Regulation S under the Securities Act) and (v) you are a professional non-retail investor.

Access to this website has been limited so that it shall not constitute directed selling efforts (as defined in Regulation S under the Securities Act) in the United States.

Nothing contained herein constitutes an offer to sell securities or solicitation of an offer to purchase any securities in any jurisdiction.

We reserve the right to deny access to any visitor, including, but not limited to, those visitors with IP addresses residing in the United States.

This website has been carefully prepared by Robeco Institutional Asset Management B.V. (Robeco). The information contained in this publication is based upon sources of information believed to be reliable. Robeco is not answerable for the accuracy or completeness of the facts, opinions, expectations and results referred to therein. Whilst every care has been taken in the preparation of this website, we do not accept any responsibility for damage of any kind resulting from incorrect or incomplete information. This website is subject to change without notice. The value of the investments may fluctuate. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. If the currency in which the past performance is displayed differs from the currency of the country in which you reside, then you should be aware that due to exchange rate fluctuations the performance shown may increase or decrease if converted into your local currency. For investment professional use only. Not for use with the general public.
I Disagree