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Decline

08-11-2023 · Research

Honey, we shrunk the factor zoo

How many factors does it take to compress the factor zoo? Quant researchers Alexander Swade, Matthias Hanauer, Harald Lohre and David Blitz set out to find the answer.

    Authors

  • David Blitz - Chief Researcher

    David Blitz

    Chief Researcher

  • Matthias Hanauer - Researcher

    Matthias Hanauer

    Researcher

  • Harald Lohre - Head of Quant Equity Research

    Harald Lohre

    Head of Quant Equity Research

Summary

  1. Of over 150 US equity factors just 15 factors effectively capture the alpha

  2. Novel factors sometimes supersede older factor definitions, emphasizing the relevance of innovation based on fresh insights or newly available data

  3. The number of equally-weighted or international factors cannot be reduced to fewer than 30, as they exhibit larger and more diverse alpha

Recently published Robeco research delves into how many factors are necessary to compress the factor zoo. The main objective is to substantially reduce the number of factors without sacrificing unique sources of alpha. By exploring this question, the researchers aim to bridge the gap between the academic factor models that typically comprise a handful of factors and the reported factor zoo that contains more than 150 factors.

The number of factors allegedly driving the cross-section of stock returns has grown steadily over time. When exploring how much this ‘factor zoo’ can be compressed, the researchers focused on explaining the available alpha rather than the covariance matrix of factor returns. Their findings indicate that about 15 factors suffice to span the entire factor zoo. This evidence suggests that many factors are redundant, but also that merely using a handful of factors, as in common asset pricing models, is insufficient.

As a consequence, a factor model consisting of only 15 selected factors can fully represent the diverse factor landscape. These 15 factors originate from 8 of the 13 factor style clusters, underlining the heterogeneity of the factors involved. When the researchers apply this factor selection while only consider published factors at each point in time, they find that the selected factor styles remain persistent. However, the specific style representatives vary over time, emphasizing the importance of ongoing innovation and adaptability in factor selection.

When the factor models are applied more broadly, several nuances emerge. Equal-weighted factors require a more extensive set of over 30 factors to achieve the same spanning ability, indicating more diverse alphas. Similarly, applying the factor selection to global data not only confirms the robustness of the selected factors but also reveals that they perform particularly well in the US, suggesting that international factors exhibit larger and more diverse alpha opportunities.

Read the full paper here:

Factor Zoo (.zip) by Alexander Swade, Matthias X. Hanauer, Harald Lohre, David Blitz :: SSRN



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In all cases where historical performance is presented, please note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results and should not be relied upon as the basis for making an investment decision. Investors may not get back the amount originally invested. Neither Robeco Institutional Asset Management B.V. nor any of its affiliates guarantees the performance or the future returns of any investments. If the currency in which the past performance is displayed differs from the currency of the country in which you reside, then you should be aware that due to exchange rate fluctuations the performance shown may increase or decrease if converted into your local currency. Robeco Institutional Asset Management B.V. (“Robeco”) expressly prohibits any redistribution of the Information without the prior written consent of Robeco. The Information is not intended for distribution to, or use by, any person or entity in any jurisdiction or country where such distribution or use is contrary to law, rule or regulation. Certain information contained in the Information includes calculations or figures that have been prepared internally and have not been audited or verified by a third party. Use of different methods for preparing, calculating or presenting information may lead to different results. Robeco Institutional Asset Management B.V. is authorised as a manager of UCITS and AIFs by the Netherlands Authority for the Financial Markets and subject to limited regulation in the UK by the Financial Conduct Authority. Details about the extent of our regulation by the Financial Conduct Authority are available from us on request.