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5-year Expected Returns

2019-2023

Patience is a virtue

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5-year Expected Returns 2022 - 2026: The Roasting Twenties

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In our 116-page outlook, we present our forecasts for the 5-year Expected Returns for all major asset classes.


Return on developed market equities

4.00%

Return on emerging market equities

4.50%

Return on Euro Government Bonds

-1.25%

Annual returns denominated in euros

5-year Expected Returns in 5 minutes

With valuations for every major asset class looking stretched, a transition to the next phase could easily send markets into a tailspin. So, what should investors do?

Our 5-year Expected Returns includes:

  • The expected returns for all major asset classes for the 2019-2023 period
  • Analysis of market valuations and scenario analysis
  • Five special topics

For the outlook on long-term steady-state returns, read our Long-Term Expected Returns.

Last year's publication won the Best Asset Allocation Paper 2017 award
Bart Oldenkamp

Expected returns play a vital role in an investor’s strategic decision-making. With this publication, we aim to help investors with their strategic asset allocation and asset liability management.

Bart Oldenkamp, Head of Robeco Investment Solutions

Special topics

In this section we address five questions faced by professional investors.

More

Special topics

In this section we address five questions faced by professional investors.

More
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'Investors can benefit from the use of sustainability data'
'Investors can benefit from the use of sustainability data'
Innovative developments in the area of sustainability data can uncover new ways of assessing opportunities and risks.
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Podcast: Why the research that backs sustainable investing takes tenacity
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The wave of inflows continues into ESG-focused funds and impact-targeting strategies.
22-11-2021 | Podcast
Power play – why lithium remains the unchallenged champion of battery metals
Power play – why lithium remains the unchallenged champion of battery metals
Structural supports, low cost and proven performance in EV markets make lithium ideal for exposure to electrification and decarbonization trends.
18-11-2021 | Insight

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The information contained in the Website is NOT FOR RETAIL CLIENTS - The information contained in the Website is solely intended for professional investors, defined as investors which (1) qualify as professional clients within the meaning of the Markets in Financial Instruments Directive (MiFID), (2) have requested to be treated as professional clients within the meaning of the MiFID or (3) are authorized to receive such information under any other applicable laws. The value of the investments may fluctuate. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Investors may not get back the amount originally invested. Neither Robeco Institutional Asset Management B.V. nor any of its affiliates guarantees the performance or the future returns of any investments. If the currency in which the past performance is displayed differs from the currency of the country in which you reside, then you should be aware that due to exchange rate fluctuations the performance shown may increase or decrease if converted into your local currency.

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