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Decline

06-05-2025 · Insight

Quant chart: Successfully reducing drawdowns

In investing, minimizing losses is crucial for long-term capital growth. This timeless truth is especially relevant today, with major stock market indices experiencing significant drawdowns. To illustrate this point, a 20% loss requires “only” a 25% gain to recover, while a 50% loss demands a staggering 100% rebound.

    Authors

  • Pim van Vliet - Head of Conservative Equities and Chief Quant Strategist

    Pim van Vliet

    Head of Conservative Equities and Chief Quant Strategist

  • Maarten Polfliet - Portfolio Manager

    Maarten Polfliet

    Portfolio Manager

  • Matthias Hanauer - Researcher

    Matthias Hanauer

    Researcher

The Robeco Conservative Equities strategy is designed to win by losing less during market downturns. Over its nearly 20-year live track record, the global equity market has endured ten distinct episodes of drawdowns exceeding 10%, as illustrated in Figure 1.

Figure 1 | Real-life drawdown reduction during ten distinct market drawdowns

Figure 1 | Real-life drawdown reduction during ten distinct market drawdowns
Past performance is no guarantee of future results. The value of your investment may fluctuate. Source: Robeco. The figure shows the maximum drawdowns of the Robeco Conservative Equities strategy versus the MSCI World Index during ten distinct market drawdown episodes since the start of the strategy in October 2006, as selected by Robeco. The length of the period is based on when MSCI World reached the pre-sell-off level (not yet reached again for the “tariff turmoil” scenario, for which the drawdowns are measured up to April 29, 2025). Drawdowns are measured based on daily data in EUR of the net asset value of the representative account Robeco QI Institutional Global Developed Conservative Equities strategy, gross-of-fees. In reality, costs such as management fees and other costs are charged. These have a negative effect on the returns shown.


QI Global Developed Conservative Equities D EUR

performance ytd (30/04)
-3.56%
Performance 3y (30/04)
6.15%
since inception (30/04)
7.11%
total size of fund (30/04)
268mln
morningstar (30/04)
View the fund
Past performance is no guarantee of future results. The value of the investments may fluctuate. Annualized (for periods longer than one year). Performances are net of fees and based on transaction prices.

Since then, the strategy has successfully navigated multiple periods of volatility, including the European debt crisis (2010/2011), the oil price shock (2015), and the growth scare of 2018, which, notably, was also linked to early tariff tensions under the Trump administration. These drawdown periods were followed by the first Covid-19 lockdown (2020), stagflation concerns (2022), and the ongoing tariff turmoil (2025). While the current episode is still evolving, recent uncertainty surrounding central bank independence has further unsettled investors.

Across all these ten market corrections — with the exception of the first pandemic lockdown — the Robeco Conservative Equities strategy delivered the expected downside protection. More specifically, while the MSCI World Index experienced an average drawdown of 21.6%, the Robeco strategy averaged just a 14.8% drawdown, reducing relative risk by more than 30%. The ability to limit loss highlights the strategy’s effectiveness in preserving capital and supporting long-term compounding.

Although the strategy may lag during strong bull markets, its consistent downside protection has contributed to better long-term results. From its inception in October 2006 through March 2025 (excluding April data), the strategy has delivered an annualized return of 8.3%, compared to 7.8% for the MSCI World Index, both in EUR. Importantly, it has done so with significantly lower volatility — offering equity investors a smoother, more reassuring ride.

Quant Charts

Robeco

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Important information This disclaimer applies to any documents and the verbal or written comments of any person in presentations or webinars on this website and taken together is referred to herein as the “Information”. The services to which the Information relate are NOT FOR RETAIL CLIENTS - The information contained in the Website is solely intended for professional investors, defined as investors which (1) qualify as professional clients within the meaning of the Markets in Financial Instruments Directive (MiFID), (2) have requested to be treated as professional clients within the meaning of the MiFID or (3) are authorized to receive such information under any other applicable laws and must not be relied or acted upon by any other persons. This Information does not constitute an offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy, any financial product, and may not be relied upon in connection with the purchase or sale of any financial product. You are cautioned against using this Information as the basis for making a decision to purchase any financial product. To the extent that you rely on the Information in connection with any investment decision, you do so at your own risk. The Information does not purport to be complete on any topic addressed. The Information may contain data or analysis prepared by third parties and no representation or warranty about the accuracy of such data or analysis is provided.
In all cases where historical performance is presented, please note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results and should not be relied upon as the basis for making an investment decision. Investors may not get back the amount originally invested. Neither Robeco Institutional Asset Management B.V. nor any of its affiliates guarantees the performance or the future returns of any investments. If the currency in which the past performance is displayed differs from the currency of the country in which you reside, then you should be aware that due to exchange rate fluctuations the performance shown may increase or decrease if converted into your local currency. Robeco Institutional Asset Management B.V. (“Robeco”) expressly prohibits any redistribution of the Information without the prior written consent of Robeco. The Information is not intended for distribution to, or use by, any person or entity in any jurisdiction or country where such distribution or use is contrary to law, rule or regulation. Certain information contained in the Information includes calculations or figures that have been prepared internally and have not been audited or verified by a third party. Use of different methods for preparing, calculating or presenting information may lead to different results. Robeco Institutional Asset Management UK Limited (“RIAM UK”) is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. RIAM UK, 30 Fenchurch Street, Part Level 8, London EC3M 3BD (FCA Reference No:1007814). The company is registered in England and Wales under Ref No. 15362605.

In all cases where historical performance is presented, please note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results and should not be relied upon as the basis for making an investment decision. Investors may not get back the amount originally invested. Neither Robeco Institutional Asset Management B.V. nor any of its affiliates guarantees the performance or the future returns of any investments. If the currency in which the past performance is displayed differs from the currency of the country in which you reside, then you should be aware that due to exchange rate fluctuations the performance shown may increase or decrease if converted into your local currency. Robeco Institutional Asset Management B.V. (“Robeco”) expressly prohibits any redistribution of the Information without the prior written consent of Robeco. The Information is not intended for distribution to, or use by, any person or entity in any jurisdiction or country where such distribution or use is contrary to law, rule or regulation. Certain information contained in the Information includes calculations or figures that have been prepared internally and have not been audited or verified by a third party. Use of different methods for preparing, calculating or presenting information may lead to different results. Robeco Institutional Asset Management B.V. is authorised as a manager of UCITS and AIFs by the Netherlands Authority for the Financial Markets and subject to limited regulation in the UK by the Financial Conduct Authority. Details about the extent of our regulation by the Financial Conduct Authority are available from us on request.