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Decline

18-07-2023 · Insight

Increasing incentives to decrease carbon emissions in corporate bonds

Investors worldwide are recognizing the vital role they can play in driving the energy transition towards renewable sources. While green bonds for cleaner energy production have gained attention, they represent just two percent of the public bond markets. So, how can investors decarbonize their portfolios effectively and push companies to align with the Paris Agreement?

    Authors

  • Laurens Swinkels - Head of Solutions Research

    Laurens Swinkels

    Head of Solutions Research

  • Remmert Koekkoek - Head of Investment Solutions

    Remmert Koekkoek

    Head of Investment Solutions

Summary

  1. Sustainable investors should sell bonds of high carbon emitters with no credible plan to change

  2. Emitters with a credible plan to change should receive only short-term financing

  3. Do not roll over short-term debt once a company is no longer Paris aligned

In our latest article, we explore two strategies for managing decarbonization efforts in corporate bond portfolios, along with the incentives they provide to corporate management. By understanding these approaches, investors can make informed decisions that not only align with their sustainability goals but are also likely to drive real-world impact.

Investors seeking to lower the carbon emissions of their portfolio should first sell off the highest emitters that do not have credible decarbonization plans. However, what should be done with those issuers that are high emitters but have credible plans? How can an investor incentivize them to follow up on their plans and become Paris aligned?

Method 1: Buying long-dated bonds for high carbon emitters with credible decarbonization plans

Investors with a tight active risk constraint relative to the corporate bond index may consider a lower allocation with a longer duration of corporate bonds issued by high carbon-emitting companies with credible decarbonization plans. This both lowers the carbon footprint of the overall portfolio and limits the tracking error against the regular benchmark. By supporting these companies with long-dated capital, investors can actively contribute to the energy transition while managing their portfolios relative risk. However, once the long-term bonds have been issued by the high emitter, the incentive to remain aligned with the plan is reduced – the company has already obtained the capital and doesn’t have to repay until far in the future.

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Method 2: Buying short-dated bonds for high carbon emitters with credible decarbonization plans

Alternatively, investors can choose to decrease the duration of bonds issued by high carbon emitters with credible decarbonization plans. This approach ensures that companies are incentivized to stay on track with their sustainability commitments. If a company's actions deviate from the Paris Agreement, investors may withhold further financing, which in turn may increase the company's cost of capital. By demanding short-dated bonds, investors maintain leverage in influencing companies' alignment while minimizing long-term risks associated with stranded assets. However, managing the relative risk versus the regular benchmark becomes more challenging.

What should investors do?

Each strategy has its advantages and considerations. Method 1 reduces tracking error, while Method 2 strengthens incentives for corporates, and is therefore most likely to lead to real-world change.

Every investor has unique preferences and goals and that is why Robeco conducts in-depth research and analysis to equip investors with the knowledge to make decisions that fit their investment needs and effectively meet their sustainability objectives. By accounting for carbon emissions and engaging with companies, investors have the power to drive change and support the transition to a low-carbon future.