Equity investors often become collateral damage when a powerful central bank sets out to achieve an objective that usually involves tackling something unpleasant. The European Central Bank seems likely to follow the Fed and hike rates as well. Certainly, the party of large-scale money printing is over, and summer thunderstorms of tightening are replacing the QE sunshine.
But this doesn’t necessarily bode badly for stocks, if the core problem of bringing inflation under control is achieved. What we do need, though, is some clarity about both the size and direction of rate rises. Equity markets would like them to be executed as quickly as possible to get the pain out of the way. Then we can focus on the new reality and start looking for real value in the markets.
Also don’t forget that emerging markets and Asia are less troubled by the inflation that is raging through the West, and the fact that Asian economies have been operating below their true potential for years means they offer some excellent upside. That’s why we remain optimistic in our Q3 Fundamental Equities Outlook that there are still attractive long-term opportunities for investors.
Download the publication
Important information
The contents of this document have not been reviewed by the Securities and Futures Commission ("SFC") in Hong Kong. If you are in any doubt about any of the contents of this document, you should obtain independent professional advice. This document has been distributed by Robeco Hong Kong Limited (‘Robeco’). Robeco is regulated by the SFC in Hong Kong. This document has been prepared on a confidential basis solely for the recipient and is for information purposes only. Any reproduction or distribution of this documentation, in whole or in part, or the disclosure of its contents, without the prior written consent of Robeco, is prohibited. By accepting this documentation, the recipient agrees to the foregoing This document is intended to provide the reader with information on Robeco’s specific capabilities, but does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell certain securities or investment products. Investment decisions should only be based on the relevant prospectus and on thorough financial, fiscal and legal advice. Please refer to the relevant offering documents for details including the risk factors before making any investment decisions. The contents of this document are based upon sources of information believed to be reliable. This document is not intended for distribution to or use by any person or entity in any jurisdiction or country where such distribution or use would be contrary to local law or regulation. Investment Involves risks. Historical returns are provided for illustrative purposes only and do not necessarily reflect Robeco’s expectations for the future. The value of your investments may fluctuate. Past performance is no indication of current or future performance.