Yearly outlook

2026 Investment Outlook: The synchronized shift

After years of discord, 2026 is shaping up for a short-lived but synchronized upswing. Easing trade tensions, a recovering manufacturing cycle, and lagged effects of monetary stimulus are set to bring a rare harmony to global markets.

Authors

    Strategist, Investment Solutions

This year we present two perspectives: one on macro trends and another on sustainable investing. Our base case sees Europe’s growth engine accelerating, China approaching a turning point, and US consumption moderating amid fiscal shifts.

Equities may extend gains as a weaker dollar channels flows into emerging markets, while US Treasuries face downside risk. Meanwhile, AI-driven productivity improvements should begin translating into tangible economic growth.


This year, we’re releasing two outlooks for 2026:

  • Investment Outlook, outlining three distinct scenarios for growth.

  • Sustainable Investing Outlook, forecasting a surge in climate transition investments.


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