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Insights

Fixed income outlook: The Covid shock and the Baa recovery
Fixed income outlook: The Covid shock and the Baa recovery
Fixed income opportunities are shifting swiftly away from safe-haven government bonds towards credit.
01-04-2020 | Quarterly outlook
'The big sell-off that we've been waiting for'
'The big sell-off that we've been waiting for'
From a – purely clinical – portfolio perspective, this is the big sell-off that we've been waiting for.
26-03-2020 | Video
Credit outlook: 'The common enemy'
Credit outlook: 'The common enemy'
Spreads have moved from historically narrow levels straight to recessionary wides.
24-03-2020 | Quarterly outlook
It’s time to heed the positive signals
It’s time to heed the positive signals
Robeco’s fixed income teams gradually are shifting towards buying mode.
19-03-2020 | Interview
Market update: what now, what next?
Market update: what now, what next?
While it is never fun to be in the midst of a market meltdown, we have learned that this is a good time to be long-term, active investors.
16-03-2020 | Insight
Global credit markets starting to look attractive after repricing
Global credit markets starting to look attractive after repricing
Spreads in the various segments of global credit markets have widened substantially over the year to date, resulting in valuations which are attractive compared to longer-term average valuations.
11-03-2020 | Insight
Central bank watcher: Coronavirus sparks new wave of easing
Central bank watcher: Coronavirus sparks new wave of easing
The global spread of the coronavirus has forced policymakers as well as investors to reassess their outlook.
09-03-2020 | Insight
Podcast: Corona, oil price war and falling markets – what to do?
Podcast: Corona, oil price war and falling markets – what to do?
“If you wake up and see -6%, you know what kind of day it is going to be.
09-03-2020 | Podcast
Webinar: Policy missteps could hurt markets more than the virus
Webinar: Policy missteps could hurt markets more than the virus
We discuss how the implications of the coronavirus are shaping the long-term investment strategy for equities.
03-03-2020 | Webinar
Fixed income outlook: Upside bounce, downside risks
Fixed income outlook: Upside bounce, downside risks
Fixed income returns have been excellent in 2019.
06-01-2020 | Quarterly outlook
Recalled to Life: Finding the right bonds for recovery
Recalled to Life: Finding the right bonds for recovery
Global growth has slowed for two years, at some point trends will bottom out.
19-12-2019 | Yearly outlook
Credit outlook: There is no average
Credit outlook: There is no average
There is a bid for safety in credit markets, but a need for yield.
10-12-2019 | Quarterly outlook
Duration Times Spread: measuring credit risk
Duration Times Spread: measuring credit risk
Accurately measuring credit risk is a significant challenge for credit investors.
10-12-2019 | Research
The Night Shadows: Investing in fixed income if recession hits
The Night Shadows: Investing in fixed income if recession hits
We live in a world of inverted yield curves, contracting business surveys, global trade, and falling earnings and CEO confidence.
28-11-2019 | Yearly outlook
Lower credit risk observed in sectors that are positively aligned with the SDGs
Lower credit risk observed in sectors that are positively aligned with the SDGs
Our analysis of historical performance data confirms what we see in practice.
07-11-2019 | Insight
Refining the inclusion of views in portfolio construction
Refining the inclusion of views in portfolio construction
Taking investors’ views into account when building portfolios is difficult but essential, says Roderick Molenaar.
09-10-2019 | 5-Year outlook
Fixed income outlook: Rising recession risk; unchanged strategy
Fixed income outlook: Rising recession risk; unchanged strategy
It seems a lot has changed in one quarter.
03-10-2019 | Quarterly outlook
An empirical test of factors in the unchartered waters of EM credits
An empirical test of factors in the unchartered waters of EM credits
credit markets have seen tremendous growth over the past two decades.
30-09-2019 | Research
Credit outlook: Search for yield versus lurch to protectionism
Credit outlook: Search for yield versus lurch to protectionism
We are still convinced that we are approaching the end of the cycle, and continue to advocate a defensive positioning.
25-09-2019 | Quarterly outlook
We’re developing factor-based alternatives to passive fixed income
We’re developing factor-based alternatives to passive fixed income
Quantitative investing in fixed income markets has slowly but surely gained traction in recent years.
21-08-2019 | Insight
European banks: Go for debt
European banks: Go for debt
Despite earnings compression, the creditworthiness of European banks appears intact.
07-08-2019 | Insight
Negative yields are becoming the new normal
Negative yields are becoming the new normal
The ECB has adopted a long-term negative interest rate policy.
06-08-2019 | Insight
Fixed income outlook: More repression to avoid recession
Fixed income outlook: More repression to avoid recession
Fighting the Fed or ECB has been a losing game over the past decade.
10-07-2019 | Quarterly outlook
Credit outlook: Be smart, quick and lucky
Credit outlook: Be smart, quick and lucky
We are skeptical of the idea that central banks are infallible.
27-06-2019 | Quarterly outlook
Duration Times Spread: a measure of spread exposure in credit portfolios
Duration Times Spread: a measure of spread exposure in credit portfolios
Duration Times Spread (DTS) is the market standard method for measuring the credit volatility of a corporate bond.
22-06-2019 | Research
Enabling insurers to achieve capital-efficient returns
Enabling insurers to achieve capital-efficient returns
The majority of assets owned by insurers are invested in investment grade fixed income.
11-04-2019 | Insight
Credit outlook: Dead cat bounce
Credit outlook: Dead cat bounce
04-04-2019 | Quarterly outlook
Factor outperformance for more than two centuries
Factor outperformance for more than two centuries
To be considered relevant, a factor must first and foremost be backed by ample empirical evidence.
12-02-2019 | Research
In denial, but for how long?
In denial, but for how long?
In our latest Central Bank Watcher, we examine the policy and actions of the world’s major central banks.
11-01-2019 | Insight
Credit outlook: The emperor is naked
Credit outlook: The emperor is naked
Despite our repeated concerns about high corporate leverage and too much risk appetite, it is only now that credit markets are beginning to react to the global economic slowdown, and the next recession is being openly discussed.
20-12-2018 | Quarterly outlook
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