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Insights

Credit outlook: Running the economy hot
Credit outlook: Running the economy hot
While it’s possible that credits could keep rallying, the margin for error is extremely limited.
31-03-2021 | Insight
Podcast: No need to fear an inflationary accident – just yet
Podcast: No need to fear an inflationary accident – just yet
It’s inevitable that the forceful fiscal stimulus and exceptionally loose monetary policy currently in place will result in higher inflation.
30-03-2021 | Podcast
Fixed income outlook: Coming to America
Fixed income outlook: Coming to America
Several things are coming to America.
23-03-2021 | Insight
Bonds: Shaken, not stirred
Bonds: Shaken, not stirred
A rise in bond yields has left central banks shaken but not stirred as the world comes out of lockdown, says Robeco’s multi-asset team.
08-03-2021 | Monthly outlook
70 years of evidence on our dynamic duration model
70 years of evidence on our dynamic duration model
Using a new, deep historical dataset, we show that our duration model works well over seven decades.
02-03-2021 | Insight
Central bank watcher: Reflation trend is their friend
Central bank watcher: Reflation trend is their friend
It seems premature to conclude the uptrend in bond yields is over, certainly if breakeven inflation rates rise further.
01-03-2021 | Insight
North-south divide emerges in Country Sustainability Ranking
North-south divide emerges in Country Sustainability Ranking
A clear gap between northern and southern European countries has emerged in the biannual Robeco Country Sustainability Ranking.
20-01-2021 | Yearly outlook
Credit outlook: TINA is still singing
Credit outlook: TINA is still singing
Markets are pricing for the best possible outcome.
17-12-2020 | Insight
Fixed income outlook: Just another range trade
Fixed income outlook: Just another range trade
Markets participants, often overly focused on cyclical and economic factors, may need to take a broader perspective.
08-12-2020 | Insight
Outlook 2021: Tackling the trilemma
Outlook 2021: Tackling the trilemma
Finding the right balance between three things – public health, normal economic functioning, and personal freedoms – will be the main challenge for policymakers in 2021.
19-11-2020 | Yearly outlook
European banks face an earnings event, not a capital event
European banks face an earnings event, not a capital event
Although the extent of the economic contraction has been sizeable, and default rates are expected to rise further, our view is that banks will survive the pain.
28-10-2020 | Insight
Interest rates – don’t be so negative
Interest rates – don’t be so negative
How fashionable will negative interest rates be in five years’ time?
26-10-2020 | 5-Year outlook
US elections: weighing the odds
US elections: weighing the odds
The 2020 US Elections have entered the final straight.
20-10-2020 | Insight
Podcast: Will we avert a grim mix of higher inflation and negative rates?
Podcast: Will we avert a grim mix of higher inflation and negative rates?
Central banks are navigating through unchartered territory.
15-10-2020 | Podcast
Fixed income outlook: The autumn cluster
Fixed income outlook: The autumn cluster
A cluster of high volatility events will be taking place in the next six weeks.
09-10-2020 | Insight
Expected Returns – watch the full show
Expected Returns – watch the full show
Post Covid-19, we will all be entering a ‘brave real world’ with negative interest rates, looming inflation and unprecedented central bank policies.
09-10-2020 | Digital event
Brave real world: the main takeaways from Expected Returns
Brave real world: the main takeaways from Expected Returns
The Covid-19 pandemic has completely changed the world, making it much harder for investors to navigate likely conditions for the major asset classes.
09-10-2020 | Digital event
The threat of inflation and its implication for rates
The threat of inflation and its implication for rates
To mitigate the economic effects of the Covid-19 pandemic, unprecedented policy support has been implemented by governments and central banks.
09-10-2020 | Digital event
5-year Expected Returns: Brave real world
5-year Expected Returns: Brave real world
Few would doubt that the Covid-19 pandemic has completely changed the world.
29-09-2020 | 5-Year outlook
Credit outlook: Markets already have the vaccine
Credit outlook: Markets already have the vaccine
The world is waiting for a vaccine that will enable us to return to our normal lives.
29-09-2020 | Insight
Fixed income outlook: Rising waves
Fixed income outlook: Rising waves
The latest wave of market euphoria prompts us to take profit and adopt a patient stance.
08-07-2020 | Insight
Credit outlook: The rules have changed
Credit outlook: The rules have changed
The ‘common enemy’ elicited a massive unconventional, coordinated series of stimulus by policy makers.
24-06-2020 | Insight
Fixed income outlook: The Covid shock and the Baa recovery
Fixed income outlook: The Covid shock and the Baa recovery
Fixed income opportunities are shifting swiftly away from safe-haven government bonds towards credit.
01-04-2020 | Quarterly outlook
Credit outlook: ‘The common enemy’ – video
Credit outlook: ‘The common enemy’ – video
Only three times since the 1930s have credit spreads been at current or better levels.
26-03-2020 | Webinar
Credit outlook: 'The common enemy'
Credit outlook: 'The common enemy'
Spreads have moved from historically narrow levels straight to recessionary wides.
24-03-2020 | Quarterly outlook
It’s time to heed the positive signals
It’s time to heed the positive signals
Robeco’s fixed income teams gradually are shifting towards buying mode.
19-03-2020 | Interview
Market update: what now, what next?
Market update: what now, what next?
While it is never fun to be in the midst of a market meltdown, we have learned that this is a good time to be long-term, active investors.
16-03-2020 | Insight
Global credit markets starting to look attractive after repricing
Global credit markets starting to look attractive after repricing
Spreads in the various segments of global credit markets have widened substantially over the year to date, resulting in valuations which are attractive compared to longer-term average valuations.
11-03-2020 | Insight
Fixed income outlook: Upside bounce, downside risks
Fixed income outlook: Upside bounce, downside risks
Fixed income returns have been excellent in 2019.
06-01-2020 | Quarterly outlook
Credit outlook: There is no average
Credit outlook: There is no average
There is a bid for safety in credit markets, but a need for yield.
10-12-2019 | Quarterly outlook
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