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Insights

Outlook 2020: A Tale of Two Scenarios
Outlook 2020: A Tale of Two Scenarios
This year’s annual outlook is inspired by Charles Dickens’ A Tale of Two Cities.
12-11-2019 | Yearly outlook
Buy-and-maintain credit: sustainability matters
Buy-and-maintain credit: sustainability matters
Sustainable investing is designed to sort future-proof companies from those that are not.
12-11-2019 | Insight
Lower credit risk observed in sectors that are positively aligned with the SDGs
Lower credit risk observed in sectors that are positively aligned with the SDGs
Our analysis of historical performance data confirms what we see in practice.
07-11-2019 | Insight
Refining the inclusion of views in portfolio construction
Refining the inclusion of views in portfolio construction
Taking investors’ views into account when building portfolios is difficult but essential, says Roderick Molenaar.
09-10-2019 | 5-Year outlook
Fixed income outlook: Rising recession risk; unchanged strategy
Fixed income outlook: Rising recession risk; unchanged strategy
It seems a lot has changed in one quarter.
03-10-2019 | Quarterly outlook
An empirical test of factors in the unchartered waters of EM credits
An empirical test of factors in the unchartered waters of EM credits
credit markets have seen tremendous growth over the past two decades.
30-09-2019 | Research
Credit outlook: Search for yield versus lurch to protectionism
Credit outlook: Search for yield versus lurch to protectionism
We are still convinced that we are approaching the end of the cycle, and continue to advocate a defensive positioning.
25-09-2019 | Quarterly outlook
Webinar: Getting alpha out of SDG Credit Investing
Webinar: Getting alpha out of SDG Credit Investing
In this episode of our webinar series, we look at how the SDGs fit into credit portfolios.
10-09-2019 | Webinar
What the inverted yield curve may mean for the cycle
What the inverted yield curve may mean for the cycle
Yield curves are one of many tools for forecasting turns in the cycle.
06-09-2019 | Insight
We’re developing factor-based alternatives to passive fixed income
We’re developing factor-based alternatives to passive fixed income
Quantitative investing in fixed income markets has slowly but surely gained traction in recent years.
21-08-2019 | Insight
European banks: Go for debt
European banks: Go for debt
Despite earnings compression, the creditworthiness of European banks appears intact.
07-08-2019 | Insight
Negative yields are becoming the new normal
Negative yields are becoming the new normal
The ECB has adopted a long-term negative interest rate policy.
06-08-2019 | Insight
Steering change: sustainable automotive credit
Steering change: sustainable automotive credit
The automotive industry still relies heavily on old-school business models and dirty technology.
18-07-2019 | Insight
Fixed income outlook: More repression to avoid recession
Fixed income outlook: More repression to avoid recession
Fighting the Fed or ECB has been a losing game over the past decade.
10-07-2019 | Quarterly outlook
The Fed’s sugar rush rally
The Fed’s sugar rush rally
When the Fed starts cutting rates, it is easier to be long 2-year Treasuries than credit, says Global Macro team co-head Jamie Stuttard.
05-07-2019 | Monthly outlook
Credit outlook: Be smart, quick and lucky
Credit outlook: Be smart, quick and lucky
We are skeptical of the idea that central banks are infallible.
27-06-2019 | Quarterly outlook
Duration Times Spread: a measure of spread exposure in credit portfolios
Duration Times Spread: a measure of spread exposure in credit portfolios
Duration Times Spread (DTS) is the market standard method for measuring the credit volatility of a corporate bond.
22-06-2019 | Research
How to invest in SDGs
How to invest in SDGs
It is estimated that the SDGs could unlock up to USD 12 trillion in market opportunities.
18-06-2019 | Video
Using the SDGs to judge corporate sustainability
Using the SDGs to judge corporate sustainability
The Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) can be used to assess whether companies are fit to serve society, says analyst Michael van der Meer.
22-05-2019 | Insight
Our guide to investing in SDG credits
Our guide to investing in SDG credits
The UN’s Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) have captured the imagination as a great way of impact investing.
29-04-2019 | Insight
Enabling insurers to achieve capital-efficient returns
Enabling insurers to achieve capital-efficient returns
The majority of assets owned by insurers are invested in investment grade fixed income.
11-04-2019 | Insight
Credit outlook: Dead cat bounce
Credit outlook: Dead cat bounce
04-04-2019 | Quarterly outlook
Investing in the SDGs to tackle snake bites
Investing in the SDGs to tackle snake bites
How many people do you think die from snake bites?
11-03-2019 | Stunning statistics
Strong multi-asset factor performance over more than two centuries
Strong multi-asset factor performance over more than two centuries
To be considered relevant, a factor must first and foremost be backed by ample empirical evidence.
12-02-2019 | Research
In denial, but for how long?
In denial, but for how long?
In our latest Central Bank Watcher, we examine the policy and actions of the world’s major central banks.
11-01-2019 | Insight
Credit outlook: The emperor is naked
Credit outlook: The emperor is naked
Despite our repeated concerns about high corporate leverage and too much risk appetite, it is only now that credit markets are beginning to react to the global economic slowdown, and the next recession is being openly discussed.
20-12-2018 | Quarterly outlook
It’s not all black and white when it comes to SDGs
It’s not all black and white when it comes to SDGs
Measuring a company’s contribution to the UN SDGs is not that straightforward.
12-12-2018 | Insight
Data sets – factor investing in corporate bonds
Data sets – factor investing in corporate bonds
A research-driven approach is at the core of everything we do.
10-12-2018 | Data sets
Multi-factor bonds: an alternative to passive fixed income
Multi-factor bonds: an alternative to passive fixed income
A growing number of investors are implementing their fixed income strategies through passive Exchange Traded funds (ETFs).
28-11-2018 | Insight
Don’t overshoot the exit
Don’t overshoot the exit
As with most asset classes, specific segments within credits always offer attractive opportunities.
22-11-2018 | Insight
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