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Insights

Blokland’s daily sketch
Blokland’s daily sketch

Best month since 1987

01-12-2020 | Daily sketch
Graph of the week
Graph of the week

The opioid crisis takes a bite out of economic growth

27-11-2020 | Insight
All eyes on fiscal stimulus as US awaits election results
All eyes on fiscal stimulus as US awaits election results
Investors should focus on likely levels of fiscal stimulus from the eventual winners of the US elections, says multi-asset investor Jeroen Blokland.
04-11-2020 | Insight
Keep your eye on the relevant ball
Keep your eye on the relevant ball
I know a lot, really.
19-10-2020 | Column
Navigating a sea of Covid and elections noise
Navigating a sea of Covid and elections noise
All of our conclusions from our previous quarterly outlook remain valid.
16-10-2020 | Quarterly outlook
Low-risk stocks behave like bonds
Low-risk stocks behave like bonds
Low-risk stocks are very bond-like.
13-10-2020 | Research
Carbon pricing, asset allocation and climate goals
Carbon pricing, asset allocation and climate goals
Assessing carbon risk in portfolios is a difficult but necessary task for investors.
12-10-2020 | 5-Year outlook
Expected Returns – watch the full show
Expected Returns – watch the full show
Post Covid-19, we will all be entering a ‘brave real world’ with negative interest rates, looming inflation and unprecedented central bank policies.
09-10-2020 | Video
Brave real world: the main takeaways from Expected Returns
Brave real world: the main takeaways from Expected Returns
The Covid-19 pandemic has completely changed the world, making it much harder for investors to navigate likely conditions for the major asset classes.
09-10-2020 | Video
Addressing carbon risk in investor portfolios
Addressing carbon risk in investor portfolios
Investors have a role to play in facilitating the transition to a low-carbon economy.
09-10-2020 | Video
Running on fumes, in search of the next refill
Running on fumes, in search of the next refill
Markets need a major catalyst to move higher as they face headwinds led by the US elections and Covid-19, says strategist Peter van der Welle.
08-10-2020 | Monthly outlook
5-year Expected Returns: Brave real world
5-year Expected Returns: Brave real world
Few would doubt that the Covid-19 pandemic has completely changed the world.
29-09-2020 | 5-Year outlook
Long-term Expected Returns
Long-term Expected Returns
The purpose of this report is to show our long-term return expectations for a wide set of asset classes.
29-09-2020 | 5-Year outlook
Shifting into neutral in multi-asset portfolios
Shifting into neutral in multi-asset portfolios
The improving global economy has made bonds less attractive compared to equities, says multi-asset investor Jeroen Blokland.
07-09-2020 | Monthly outlook
Is it time to favor North Asia over the US?
Is it time to favor North Asia over the US?
We thought we had seen it all, or almost all, and then the ball comes out of left field.
14-04-2020 | Quarterly outlook
Staying the course and being selective reaps long-term rewards in EM
Staying the course and being selective reaps long-term rewards in EM
Emerging markets equity strategies with their value tilt should typically underperform in risk-off markets.
08-04-2020 | Insight
Podcast: Corona, oil price war and falling markets – what to do?
Podcast: Corona, oil price war and falling markets – what to do?
“If you wake up and see -6%, you know what kind of day it is going to be.
07-04-2020 | Podcast
Mind the skew – stocks may not yet have peaked
Mind the skew – stocks may not yet have peaked
A curious skew in historical stock returns means global equities may have some upside left, says strategist Peter van der Welle.
09-01-2020 | Monthly outlook
Data sets – historical returns of the market portfolio
Data sets – historical returns of the market portfolio
A research-driven approach is at the core of everything we do.
06-01-2020 | Data sets
Never a dull moment: 25 years of emerging market investing
Never a dull moment: 25 years of emerging market investing
Today, emerging markets represent a quarter of the global equity market.
26-11-2019 | Insight
Calm in Storm: Beyond the trade war
Calm in Storm: Beyond the trade war
Over the past year, regional equity market allocation has been heavily influenced by investors’ expectations on the outcome of the US-China trade war.
21-11-2019 | Yearly outlook
Welcome to the world of pinball investing
Welcome to the world of pinball investing
In a whirlwind of contradicting news, markets seem to have created a new investment style: pinball.
29-10-2019 | Column
The brand-new pinball style
The brand-new pinball style
The past few weeks have been filled with news of US-China trade talks and Brexit.
23-10-2019 | Quarterly outlook
Giving China its rightful share in your portfolio
Giving China its rightful share in your portfolio
Chinese stocks are a major new investment opportunity, yet they are under-represented in most portfolios, say Laurens Swinkels and Jaap Hoek.
23-10-2019 | 5-Year outlook
Manufacturing versus services – a tale of two indices
Manufacturing versus services – a tale of two indices
Investors need to nuance weaker confidence in manufacturing, as services data is a stronger signal, says portfolio manager Rikkert Scholten.
08-10-2019 | Monthly outlook
The Fed’s sugar rush rally
The Fed’s sugar rush rally
When the Fed starts cutting rates, it is easier to be long 2-year Treasuries than credit, says Global Macro team co-head Jamie Stuttard.
05-07-2019 | Monthly outlook
Good shepherds do not succumb to herding behavior
Good shepherds do not succumb to herding behavior
Thought crowds were wise?
19-06-2019 | From the field
There’s no need to fear yield curve inversions
There’s no need to fear yield curve inversions
Inverted yield curves may famously herald recessions, but they do not harm market returns that much, says multi-asset investor Jeroen Blokland.
08-05-2019 | Monthly outlook
Factors are a permanent feature of financial markets
Factors are a permanent feature of financial markets
Are factor premiums here to stay?
12-04-2019 | Insight
Spending one bitcoin = 330,000 credit card transactions
Spending one bitcoin = 330,000 credit card transactions
The average bitcoin transaction now uses 330,000 times more energy than a credit card, new research shows.
11-04-2019 | Stunning statistics
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