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Insights

5-year Expected Returns: The Age of Confusion
5-year Expected Returns: The Age of Confusion
Welcome to terra incognita, a new era in which the certainties that a generation of investors have grown so used to have started to crumble before our very eyes.
21-09-2022 | 5-Year outlook
Fixed income outlook: Twin peaks
Fixed income outlook: Twin peaks
In the past 50 years, every single recessionary peak in credit spreads has been preceded by a peak in government bond yields.
20-09-2022 | Insight
Finland once again the world’s sustainability champion
Finland once again the world’s sustainability champion
Finland and its Nordic neighbors maintain top sustainability status; Russia plunges.
20-09-2022 | Insight
Schrödinger’s economy – when should we open the box?
Schrödinger’s economy – when should we open the box?
Knowing the true state of the US economy will be key to assessing risks for the coming months, says multi-asset investor Colin Graham.
07-09-2022 | Monthly outlook
The Three Peaks Challenge: the markets’ race against time
The Three Peaks Challenge: the markets’ race against time
Inflation, interest rates and the US dollar all need to peak this year before markets calm down, says multi-asset investor Colin Graham.
07-07-2022 | Monthly outlook
Inflation may be more about the destination than the peak
Inflation may be more about the destination than the peak
We’re facing a highly unusual inflationary situation.
22-06-2022 | Insight
China: Restarting engine three
China: Restarting engine three
The downtrodden Chinese consumer needs a helping hand if the country is to resume its growth flight path, says multi-asset investor Colin Graham.
07-06-2022 | Monthly outlook
REITs: playing in extra time?
REITs: playing in extra time?
They’ve long been seen as defensive, since traditional bricks and mortar can usually survive any downturn.
05-05-2022 | Monthly outlook
Value could outperform for five years or more
Value could outperform for five years or more
The resurgent Value style could bring market-beating returns for the next five years and beyond as interest rates rise, Robeco’s Value experts say.
09-03-2022 | Insight
China flexes its policy muscles – but can they still do the heavy lifting?
China flexes its policy muscles – but can they still do the heavy lifting?
China’s muscle flexing to fix its problems is set to keep investors cautious until the domestic economy garners more growth.
06-01-2022 | Monthly outlook
Inflation fears and a more hawkish Fed spook markets
Inflation fears and a more hawkish Fed spook markets
Rising inflation that prompted the Fed to suggest faster tapering which may accelerate rate hikes has rattled markets.
08-12-2021 | Monthly outlook
COP26: The verdict on the COP26 summit
COP26: The verdict on the COP26 summit
So, did our leaders rise to the occasion and understand the gravity of the climate crisis we’re in?
15-11-2021 | Video
COP26: Toughening up on carbon disclosure
COP26: Toughening up on carbon disclosure
It’s essential to know just how much carbon is being emitted each year by countries and companies, but the current system of disclosure is random and voluntary.
11-11-2021 | Video
COP26: Using nature to offset emissions
COP26: Using nature to offset emissions
Over half of all greenhouse gas emissions are absorbed by nature.
09-11-2021 | Video
Corporate profits boom sends stocks to new peaks
Corporate profits boom sends stocks to new peaks
Equities have shrugged off macro headwinds and hit record highs in the US thanks to strong corporate earnings.
05-11-2021 | Monthly outlook
COP26: Helping poorer countries to adapt
COP26: Helping poorer countries to adapt
Developed countries are historically responsible for most of the emissions, and the challenge is to stop emerging markets going down the same coal-fired path.
04-11-2021 | Video
COP26: Beefing up net zero commitments
COP26: Beefing up net zero commitments
Countries need to accelerate their decarbonization under what’s known as the ‘ratchet mechanism’ – making progressively bigger cuts in emissions to reach net zero.
28-10-2021 | Video
Central banks' post-pandemic playbook
Central banks' post-pandemic playbook
Central banks have thrown the proverbial kitchen sink at their fight to mitigate the economic impact of Covid-19.
20-10-2021 | 5-Year outlook
Markets face stagflationary turbulence for first time in decades
Markets face stagflationary turbulence for first time in decades
Market fears of stagflation have reared their head for the first time since the 1970s, though they may be overblown, says Robeco’s Global Macro team.
08-10-2021 | Monthly outlook
Expected Returns 2022-2026 – Watch the full show
Expected Returns 2022-2026 – Watch the full show
Things are heating up, in different senses of the phrase.
07-10-2021 | Digital event
China: navigating the push towards technology leadership
China: navigating the push towards technology leadership
After more than three decades of accelerated catchup with more advanced economies, China is now engaged in a race for global technology leadership.
05-10-2021 | Insight
Factoring climate change into Expected Returns forecasts
Factoring climate change into Expected Returns forecasts
The impact of climate change has been factored into the core forecasts in Expected Returns for the first time in the five-year outlook’s 11-year history.
30-09-2021 | 5-Year outlook
5-year Expected Returns: the Roasting Twenties
5-year Expected Returns: the Roasting Twenties
Things are heating up and our tech optimism is intertwined with that sinking feeling that climate catastrophe is closing in.
29-09-2021 | Insight
SI Opener: How Covid-19 is worsening inequality
SI Opener: How Covid-19 is worsening inequality
The Covid-19 pandemic has reversed gains in global poverty reduction and has had a profound impact on multiple facets of inequality.
23-09-2021 | SI Opener
Fixed income outlook: Tunnel vision
Fixed income outlook: Tunnel vision
There is plenty of evidence of herding and groupthink.
14-09-2021 | Insight
The profits party peaks, but the aftermath looks benign
The profits party peaks, but the aftermath looks benign
Corporate earnings which have soared in the Covid-19 recovery are now flattening out.
07-09-2021 | Monthly outlook
How capex holds the key to a self-sustaining economic recovery
How capex holds the key to a self-sustaining economic recovery
Capital expenditure to fix supply shortages and meet burgeoning demand is seen figuring strongly in the post-Covid recovery.
08-07-2021 | Monthly outlook
Europe takes up the baton
Europe takes up the baton
Vaccination success will allow Europe’s economic recovery to catch up with the US and China, says strategist Peter van der Welle.
08-06-2021 | Monthly outlook
Metals – anything but rusty
Metals – anything but rusty
Commodity prices can continue to rise on a string of favorable factors, says strategist Peter van der Welle.
07-05-2021 | Monthly outlook
Bonds: Shaken, not stirred
Bonds: Shaken, not stirred
A rise in bond yields has left central banks shaken but not stirred as the world comes out of lockdown, Robeco’s strategists say.
08-03-2021 | Monthly outlook