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Insights

This time, banks are part of the solution
This time, banks are part of the solution
Compared to conditions during the global financial crisis, the health of the banking sector and the environment for banking are now significantly different.
22-04-2020 | Insight
Navigating the two-way risk in equities
Navigating the two-way risk in equities
Investors are facing an unprecedented conundrum about whether equities have bottomed out, our multi-asset monthly outlook says.
03-04-2020 | Monthly outlook
A shock of Titanic proportions
A shock of Titanic proportions
The world is facing an unprecedented public health crisis that is having a huge impact on both human society and the economy.
27-03-2020 | Insight
The tide is turning for value investing
The tide is turning for value investing
It will be ‘game on’ for value stocks next year after a miserable period for the investment style, says Portfolio Manager Josh Jones.
09-12-2019 | Insight
Lower earnings may not usher in a bear market
Lower earnings may not usher in a bear market
Falling company profits don’t necessarily mean a bear market or recession is due, says strategist Peter van der Welle.
06-12-2019 | Monthly outlook
Scenario analysis confirms need for defensive credit market positioning
Scenario analysis confirms need for defensive credit market positioning
Our analysis of spread markets suggests the most likely scenario in coming months is that of low growth and low inflation.
03-12-2019 | Insight
The Night Shadows: Investing in fixed income if recession hits
The Night Shadows: Investing in fixed income if recession hits
We live in a world of inverted yield curves, contracting business surveys, global trade, and falling earnings and CEO confidence.
28-11-2019 | Yearly outlook
Celebrating 30 years of inflation targeting?
Celebrating 30 years of inflation targeting?
Inflation targeting is celebrating its 30th anniversary, but is now due for a makeover, says portfolio manager Rikkert Scholten.
16-10-2019 | 5-Year outlook
Manufacturing versus services – a tale of two indices
Manufacturing versus services – a tale of two indices
Investors need to nuance weaker confidence in manufacturing, as services data is a stronger signal, says portfolio manager Rikkert Scholten.
08-10-2019 | Monthly outlook
Paving the way for unconventional policy
Paving the way for unconventional policy
Policy makers will turn to unconventional fiscal policy to deal with the next recession, says strategist Peter van der Welle.
02-10-2019 | 5-Year outlook
What the inverted yield curve may mean for the cycle
What the inverted yield curve may mean for the cycle
Yield curves are one of many tools for forecasting turns in the cycle.
06-09-2019 | Insight
What’s driving the mid-cycle slowdown
What’s driving the mid-cycle slowdown
Economic growth is hitting a speed ramp, but should shift into a higher gear, says strategist Peter van der Welle.
06-09-2019 | Monthly outlook
There’s no need to fear yield curve inversions
There’s no need to fear yield curve inversions
Inverted yield curves may famously herald recessions, but they do not harm market returns that much, says multi-asset investor Jeroen Blokland.
08-05-2019 | Monthly outlook
Spending one bitcoin = 330,000 credit card transactions
Spending one bitcoin = 330,000 credit card transactions
The average bitcoin transaction now uses 330,000 times more energy than a credit card, new research shows.
11-04-2019 | Stunning statistics
Battening down the hatches in risky assets
Battening down the hatches in risky assets
Investors fearing a downturn should not leave equity markets, but batten down some hatches in risky assets, says strategist Peter van der Welle.
08-04-2019 | Monthly outlook
Recession indicators are overrated for stock returns
Recession indicators are overrated for stock returns
Investors should beware of trying to use asset values to forecast recessions, says portfolio manager Jeroen Blokland.
08-02-2019 | Monthly outlook
Secular stagnation is a stagnating theory
Secular stagnation is a stagnating theory
Is secular stagnation for real?
22-09-2017 | 5-Year outlook
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