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Insights

5-year Expected Returns: Brave real world
5-year Expected Returns: Brave real world
Few would doubt that the Covid-19 pandemic has completely changed the world.
29-09-2020 | 5-Year outlook
Central bank watcher: Good citizens
Central bank watcher: Good citizens
The three major central banks, the Fed, ECB and BoJ, are maintaining their dovish tone.
20-08-2020 | Insight
Credit outlook: The rules have changed
Credit outlook: The rules have changed
The ‘common enemy’ elicited a massive unconventional, coordinated series of stimulus by policy makers.
24-06-2020 | Insight
Fixed income outlook: The Covid shock and the Baa recovery
Fixed income outlook: The Covid shock and the Baa recovery
Fixed income opportunities are shifting swiftly away from safe-haven government bonds towards credit.
01-04-2020 | Quarterly outlook
Market update: what now, what next?
Market update: what now, what next?
While it is never fun to be in the midst of a market meltdown, we have learned that this is a good time to be long-term, active investors.
16-03-2020 | Insight
Harvesting factor premiums across global bond markets
Harvesting factor premiums across global bond markets
Robeco has combined the latest innovation in quantitative research with its long-standing expertise in credits factor investing.
18-02-2020 | Insight
Fixed income outlook: Upside bounce, downside risks
Fixed income outlook: Upside bounce, downside risks
Fixed income returns have been excellent in 2019.
06-01-2020 | Quarterly outlook
The Night Shadows: Investing in fixed income if recession hits
The Night Shadows: Investing in fixed income if recession hits
We live in a world of inverted yield curves, contracting business surveys, global trade, and falling earnings and CEO confidence.
28-11-2019 | Yearly outlook
Paving the way for unconventional policy
Paving the way for unconventional policy
Policy makers will turn to unconventional fiscal policy to deal with the next recession, says strategist Peter van der Welle.
02-10-2019 | 5-Year outlook
5-year Expected Returns: Escaping the hall of mirrors
5-year Expected Returns: Escaping the hall of mirrors
This year’s theme of our 5-year outlook, ‘Escaping the hall of mirrors’, is inspired by the peculiar conditions investors face in today’s financial markets.
01-10-2019 | 5-Year outlook
Fixed income outlook: More repression to avoid recession
Fixed income outlook: More repression to avoid recession
Fighting the Fed or ECB has been a losing game over the past decade.
10-07-2019 | Quarterly outlook
The Fed’s sugar rush rally
The Fed’s sugar rush rally
When the Fed starts cutting rates, it is easier to be long 2-year Treasuries than credit, says Global Macro team co-head Jamie Stuttard.
05-07-2019 | Monthly outlook
Factor investing works for bond portfolios, too
Factor investing works for bond portfolios, too
Bond portfolios with significant exposure to the value, momentum and low risk factors generate returns that consistently outperform the index.
04-06-2019 | Insight
There’s no need to fear yield curve inversions
There’s no need to fear yield curve inversions
Inverted yield curves may famously herald recessions, but they do not harm market returns that much, says multi-asset investor Jeroen Blokland.
08-05-2019 | Monthly outlook
Recession indicators are overrated for stock returns
Recession indicators are overrated for stock returns
Investors should beware of trying to use asset values to forecast recessions, says portfolio manager Jeroen Blokland.
08-02-2019 | Monthly outlook
It’s late cycle but not end cycle
It’s late cycle but not end cycle
Markets continue to be weak and volatile, while growth expectations are depressed globally.
10-01-2019 | Quarterly outlook
Multi-factor bonds: an alternative to passive fixed income
Multi-factor bonds: an alternative to passive fixed income
A growing number of investors are implementing their fixed income strategies through passive Exchange Traded funds (ETFs).
28-11-2018 | Insight
The return of Term Premium
The return of Term Premium
Despite all the focus on the inflation outlook and ongoing Fed hikes, the recent sell-off in US Treasuries was actually driven to a large extent by a reawaking of the term premium.
19-11-2018 | Insight
Outlook 2019: Turbulence ahead
Outlook 2019: Turbulence ahead
Next year we expect the markets to have two faces.
08-11-2018 | Insight
Democrat poll win weakens Trump’s power
Democrat poll win weakens Trump’s power
A Democrat victory in US elections is positive for markets, though a return to fiscal discipline is unlikely, says Chief Economist Léon Cornelissen.
07-11-2018 | Insight
Fed on a steady hiking path, at least for now
Fed on a steady hiking path, at least for now
At its 26 September meeting the Fed hiked rates and signaled a continuation of its gradual tightening path.
27-09-2018 | News
Fact or fiction: SI only works with equities
Fact or fiction: SI only works with equities
Hundreds of investors are convinced that sustainable investing offers a better way of buying equities.
16-07-2018 | Insight
Watch your Term Premium!
Watch your Term Premium!
It crops up as a topic of discussion every now and again: the ‘term premium’.
09-04-2018 | Insight
Stop whining about the US yield curve
Stop whining about the US yield curve
Talk of an inverted US yield curve flagging a recession is completely misplaced, says Robeco investor Lukas Daalder.
09-01-2018 | Monthly outlook
The future of the euro: to integrate or disintegrate?
The future of the euro: to integrate or disintegrate?
The euro’s future may better lie with further integration rather than disintegration, our five-year outlook believes.
19-09-2017 | 5-Year outlook
Finding Value in government bonds
Finding Value in government bonds
The Value factor has been exploited for decades by equity investors and academic research shows it can also be applied to fixed income, in particular to government bonds.
24-02-2017 | Insight
Lux-o-rente becomes QI Global Dynamic Duration
Lux-o-rente becomes QI Global Dynamic Duration
The name Robeco Lux-o-rente will be changed to Robeco QI Global Dynamic Duration1.
20-01-2017 | Insight
Dynamic duration management in times of rising yields
Dynamic duration management in times of rising yields
Bond yields have declined to unprecedentedly low levels over the last three decades, resulting in stellar returns but also creating a more challenging outlook for the future.
07-12-2016 | Insight
America a melting pot of opportunity mixed with stalemate
America a melting pot of opportunity mixed with stalemate
America is a melting pot of opportunity mixed in with political stalemate that will give its new president a difficult path to steer, says Chief Economist Léon Cornelissen.
17-10-2016 | Insight
Forecasting sovereign default risk with Merton’s model
Forecasting sovereign default risk with Merton’s model
We provide an extensive empirical study into the Gray, Merton, and Bodie (2007) structural model for sovereigns.
15-10-2015 | Research
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