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Insights

Mind the skew – stocks may not yet have peaked
Mind the skew – stocks may not yet have peaked
A curious skew in historical stock returns means global equities may have some upside left, says strategist Peter van der Welle.
09-01-2020 | Monthly outlook
Lower earnings may not usher in a bear market
Lower earnings may not usher in a bear market
Falling company profits don’t necessarily mean a bear market or recession is due, says strategist Peter van der Welle.
06-12-2019 | Monthly outlook
Paving the way for unconventional policy
Paving the way for unconventional policy
Policy makers will turn to unconventional fiscal policy to deal with the next recession, says strategist Peter van der Welle.
02-10-2019 | 5-Year outlook
5-year Expected Returns: Escaping the hall of mirrors
5-year Expected Returns: Escaping the hall of mirrors
This year’s theme of our 5-year outlook, ‘Escaping the hall of mirrors’, is inspired by the peculiar conditions investors face in today’s financial markets.
01-10-2019 | 5-Year outlook
What’s driving the mid-cycle slowdown
What’s driving the mid-cycle slowdown
Economic growth is hitting a speed ramp, but should shift into a higher gear, says strategist Peter van der Welle.
06-09-2019 | Monthly outlook
The new Long March of China
The new Long March of China
China’s attempts to combat a trade war with the US present an uphill battle for emerging market assets, says strategist Peter van der Welle.
07-06-2019 | Monthly outlook
Battening down the hatches in risky assets
Battening down the hatches in risky assets
Investors fearing a downturn should not leave equity markets, but batten down some hatches in risky assets, says strategist Peter van der Welle.
08-04-2019 | Monthly outlook
Markets see the wind taken out of their sails
Markets see the wind taken out of their sails
Markets have seen choppy waters in recent months, but four factors are positive for stocks, says strategist Peter van der Welle.
07-12-2018 | Monthly outlook
Is it time for more defensive equity investing?
Is it time for more defensive equity investing?
There are plenty of reasons to pursue a more defensive equity strategy, but paradoxically enough, this also carries several risks.
21-11-2018 | Insight
Positioning for a shift towards value stocks
Positioning for a shift towards value stocks
We think now is a very good time for investors to introduce value stocks to their portfolios.
20-11-2018 | Insight
A defensive market that is looking increasingly risky
A defensive market that is looking increasingly risky
Historically, switching to the US is an obvious choice at a late stage of the bull market when a shift towards more defensive equity allocation is desired.
09-11-2018 | Insight
Outlook 2019: Turbulence ahead
Outlook 2019: Turbulence ahead
Next year we expect the markets to have two faces.
08-11-2018 | Insight
‘Investors need to continue climbing the wall of worry’
‘Investors need to continue climbing the wall of worry’
Five-year Expected Returns in a five-minute video.
17-10-2018 | Video
The potential rewards of diversifying away from US Equities
The potential rewards of diversifying away from US Equities
A perpetual problem for investors is deciding what assets to allocate to.
15-10-2018 | 5-Year outlook
Expected Returns: Patience is a virtue
Expected Returns: Patience is a virtue
Modest returns on equities and bonds that are still in negative territory mean investors will need to be patient, our new five-year outlook predicts.
08-10-2018 | 5-Year outlook
5-year Expected Returns: Patience is a virtue
5-year Expected Returns: Patience is a virtue
Download our Expected Returns 2019-2023 report (116 pages).
28-09-2018 | 5-Year outlook
The Italian crisis - a mere ripple or more of a wave?
The Italian crisis - a mere ripple or more of a wave?
It pushed aside trade war talk and the Korean summit saga to take center stage.
07-06-2018 | Monthly outlook
Why lower oil prices don’t always help the economy
Why lower oil prices don’t always help the economy
Lower oil prices don’t necessarily translate into higher economic growth, says Robeco strategist Peter van der Welle.
10-01-2018 | Insight
Longer-term Expected Returns
Longer-term Expected Returns
18-09-2017 | 5-Year outlook
5-year Expected Returns: coming of age
5-year Expected Returns: coming of age
18-09-2017 | 5-Year outlook
Emerging markets: the grain that will grow?
Emerging markets: the grain that will grow?
In the past two decades emerging markets have experienced bust, boom and lately a more stable phase.
26-09-2016 | Insight
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