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Insights

2023 Outlook: Short-term pain, long-term gain
2023 Outlook: Short-term pain, long-term gain
We believe 2023 will offer a considerable brightening of the return outlook for major asset classes.
17-11-2022 | Yearly outlook
Central bank watcher: Inflation dominance
Central bank watcher: Inflation dominance
The fear that above-target inflation could get entrenched continues to drive the discussion at most central banks.
20-10-2022 | Insight
It takes the right metrics to engineer a Paris-aligned portfolio
It takes the right metrics to engineer a Paris-aligned portfolio
We outline the most effective analytics for building climate-resilient and optimized buy-and-maintain portfolios.
17-10-2022 | Insight
Volatility strikes in the UK bond market
Volatility strikes in the UK bond market
We see value now in sterling investment grade yields for our aggregate fixed income strategies.
11-10-2022 | Insight
Credit outlook: Trade and trust
Credit outlook: Trade and trust
Valuations have cheapened but this has not been broad-based enough.
28-09-2022 | Quarterly outlook
Fixed income outlook: Twin peaks
Fixed income outlook: Twin peaks
In the past 50 years, every single recessionary peak in credit spreads has been preceded by a peak in government bond yields.
20-09-2022 | Insight
This CIO's summer reading list on sustainability – and why you should read it too
This CIO's summer reading list on sustainability – and why you should read it too
Climate change is urgent, and a more comprehensive approach is needed to tackle it effectively.
09-09-2022 | Interview
Building back bond exposure
Building back bond exposure
The outlook for bond investing has improved.
08-09-2022 | Insight
Nowcasting growth to enrich the factors used for government bond selection
Nowcasting growth to enrich the factors used for government bond selection
We have added a quality measure for the selection of government bonds.
31-08-2022 | Insight
Investing across deflation, inflation and stagflation
Investing across deflation, inflation and stagflation
Real returns on equities and multi-asset portfolios are typically poor when inflation is high, especially in times of stagflation.
29-08-2022 | Insight
Time for the Asia-Pacific green bond market to step up to the challenge
Time for the Asia-Pacific green bond market to step up to the challenge
Green bond issuance in the region has grown enormously.
01-08-2022 | Insight
Half-time! And what a ride it has been
Half-time! And what a ride it has been
After a turbulent first half of the year, the summer holidays represent a great time to catch up on useful information that you might have missed amid the tumult.
08-07-2022 | Insight
Global Macro Outlook: The inflation game and its implications for fixed income investors
Global Macro Outlook: The inflation game and its implications for fixed income investors
The Fed raised its policy rate by 75 basis points in mid-June to temper surging inflation in the US.
07-07-2022 | Webinar
Credit outlook: The mess after the largesse
Credit outlook: The mess after the largesse
We have seen a very significant repricing of fixed income, but panic and volatility can also provide opportunities.
28-06-2022 | Quarterly outlook
Inflation may be more about the destination than the peak
Inflation may be more about the destination than the peak
We’re facing a highly unusual inflationary situation.
22-06-2022 | Insight
Fixed income outlook: The inflation game
Fixed income outlook: The inflation game
Central banks now face the predicament of prioritizing inflation over growth.
21-06-2022 | Insight
‘Factors are still the foundation of financial markets’
‘Factors are still the foundation of financial markets’
New data sources and techniques can help us to better understand factors.
08-06-2022 | Interview
Podcast: What’s with inflation?
Podcast: What’s with inflation?
Rising inflation has become a growing concern for consumers around the world.
01-06-2022 | Podcast
Navigating bond markets in times of stagflation
Navigating bond markets in times of stagflation
High inflation and central bank tightening are already leading to rising yields and negative bond returns.
18-05-2022 | Insight
The performance in government bonds is a reminder that it’s all relative
The performance in government bonds is a reminder that it’s all relative
So far this year we’ve seen fixed income assets cheapening faster than at any time in over 40 years.
18-05-2022 | Insight
The role of green bonds in a fixed income portfolio
The role of green bonds in a fixed income portfolio
Demand for green bonds has grown spectacularly, reflecting investors’ ambitious climate policies.
16-05-2022 | Insight
Guide to climate fixed income investing
Guide to climate fixed income investing
We've developed a practical solution for investors who are serious about meeting their climate-related goals.
03-05-2022 | Insight
Credit outlook: ‘If I have to make a tackle, I’ve already made a mistake’
Credit outlook: ‘If I have to make a tackle, I’ve already made a mistake’
The Fed may have made a policy mistake by starting this tightening cycle too late.
29-03-2022 | Quarterly outlook
Fixed income outlook: Czech mate
Fixed income outlook: Czech mate
We’re facing the risk of central bank policy error.
22-03-2022 | Quarterly outlook
Quant modeling can use non-numerical data, too
Quant modeling can use non-numerical data, too
We find that text analysis can predict the risk and return characteristics of corporate bonds.
10-12-2021 | Insight
Credit outlook: Imperfect information and imperfect foresight
Credit outlook: Imperfect information and imperfect foresight
With so many distorting elements at play right now, we can’t rely on economic theory for easy answers.
07-12-2021 | Quarterly outlook
The capex costs of reaching the Paris goals
The capex costs of reaching the Paris goals
We use green bond reporting to compare the environmental impact of a range of green projects.
06-12-2021 | Insight
Fixed income outlook: Pricing sigma
Fixed income outlook: Pricing sigma
We note several multiple sigma events across fixed income markets.
30-11-2021 | Quarterly outlook
Shielding factor portfolios from credit downgrades and defaults
Shielding factor portfolios from credit downgrades and defaults
Gaining more by losing less in multi-factor credit strategies.
30-11-2021 | Insight
Talk ’22: ‘A season for active credit managers to thrive’
Talk ’22: ‘A season for active credit managers to thrive’
With super stimulus gradually coming to an end, markets will once again be able to distinguish between good and bad credit, says Sander Bus, Co-Head of Credits.
24-11-2021 | Interview
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