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Insights

Central bank watcher: Nerve-wracking
Central bank watcher: Nerve-wracking
Policymakers will need nerves of steel in the coming months as they weigh up inflation numbers against the growth outlook.
02-11-2021 | Insight
Credit outlook: Common prosperity
Credit outlook: Common prosperity
Changing policy in China will have repercussions for the rest of the world – and for credit markets.
21-09-2021 | Quarterly outlook
Why climate risk considerations are especially relevant for buy-and-maintain portfolios
Why climate risk considerations are especially relevant for buy-and-maintain portfolios
Decarbonizing long-term, stable portfolios calls for a forward-looking approach.
02-07-2021 | Insight
70 years of evidence on our dynamic duration model
70 years of evidence on our dynamic duration model
Using a new, deep historical dataset, we show that our duration model works well over seven decades.
02-03-2021 | Insight
Credit outlook: The rules have changed
Credit outlook: The rules have changed
The ‘common enemy’ elicited a massive unconventional, coordinated series of stimulus by policy makers.
24-06-2020 | Quarterly outlook
Fixed income outlook: The Covid shock and the Baa recovery
Fixed income outlook: The Covid shock and the Baa recovery
Fixed income opportunities are shifting swiftly away from safe-haven government bonds towards credit.
01-04-2020 | Quarterly outlook
Credit outlook: 'The common enemy'
Credit outlook: 'The common enemy'
Spreads have moved from historically narrow levels straight to recessionary wides.
24-03-2020 | Quarterly outlook
Fixed income outlook: Upside bounce, downside risks
Fixed income outlook: Upside bounce, downside risks
Fixed income returns have been excellent in 2019.
06-01-2020 | Quarterly outlook
Credit outlook: There is no average
Credit outlook: There is no average
There is a bid for safety in credit markets, but a need for yield.
10-12-2019 | Quarterly outlook
Duration Times Spread: measuring credit risk
Duration Times Spread: measuring credit risk
Accurately measuring credit risk is a significant challenge for credit investors.
10-12-2019 | Research
The return of Term Premium
The return of Term Premium
Despite all the focus on the inflation outlook and ongoing Fed hikes, the recent sell-off in US Treasuries was actually driven to a large extent by a reawaking of the term premium.
19-11-2018 | Insight
Watch your Term Premium!
Watch your Term Premium!
It crops up as a topic of discussion every now and again: the ‘term premium’.
09-04-2018 | Insight
Rising benchmark durations threaten index-focused bond investors
Rising benchmark durations threaten index-focused bond investors
Durations of fixed income indices are moving up rapidly.
28-09-2016 | Insight
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