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Insights

US-China conflict: the pressure intensifies on ADRs
US-China conflict: the pressure intensifies on ADRs
Over the past few weeks, the US has ratcheted up its rivalry with China, with various announcements that go beyond a focus on restricting trade of goods.
27-05-2020 | Insight
The conundrum: China or the US?
The conundrum: China or the US?
If you ask me what keeps my mind busy at the moment, I can tell you that it is not market volatility.
15-04-2020 | Column
A-shares are probably the best place to be for active investors
A-shares are probably the best place to be for active investors
As China starts to recover from the coronavirus storm, domestic investors are already focused on economic green shoots.
06-04-2020 | Insight
A shock of Titanic proportions
A shock of Titanic proportions
The world is facing an unprecedented public health crisis that is having a huge impact on both human society and the economy.
27-03-2020 | Insight
Fundamental Equities: Investment update as the COVID-19 crisis intensifies
Fundamental Equities: Investment update as the COVID-19 crisis intensifies
Strong volatility.
26-03-2020 | Insight
Podcast: One bird, two stones
Podcast: One bird, two stones
Is a fundamental or quant-driven approach the best way forward for investors looking to tap emerging markets?
13-03-2020 | Podcast
Feel the Bern – the risks of the US elections
Feel the Bern – the risks of the US elections
Battered markets have a new thing to worry about: the possibility of a socialist US president, our monthly outlook warns.
05-03-2020 | Monthly outlook
It’s too early to be too gloomy about stocks
It’s too early to be too gloomy about stocks
The coronavirus has given the world a financial scare as well as a health shock – but there’s no need to put equities into quarantine.
07-02-2020 | Monthly outlook
Mind the skew – stocks may not yet have peaked
Mind the skew – stocks may not yet have peaked
A curious skew in historical stock returns means global equities may have some upside left, says strategist Peter van der Welle.
09-01-2020 | Monthly outlook
Investing in China is a question of stock picking rather than index picking
Investing in China is a question of stock picking rather than index picking
In just a decade, Chinese assets have gone from exotic category status to that of must for global investors.
08-01-2020 | Interview
Lower earnings may not usher in a bear market
Lower earnings may not usher in a bear market
Falling company profits don’t necessarily mean a bear market or recession is due, says strategist Peter van der Welle.
06-12-2019 | Monthly outlook
Never a dull moment: 25 years of emerging market investing
Never a dull moment: 25 years of emerging market investing
Today, emerging markets represent a quarter of the global equity market.
26-11-2019 | Insight
Giving China its rightful share in your portfolio
Giving China its rightful share in your portfolio
Chinese stocks are a major new investment opportunity, yet they are under-represented in most portfolios, say Laurens Swinkels and Jaap Hoek.
23-10-2019 | 5-Year outlook
Next in fintech: ecosystem enablers
Next in fintech: ecosystem enablers
The boom in fintech and digital payments continues unabated.
22-10-2019 | Insight
Manufacturing versus services – a tale of two indices
Manufacturing versus services – a tale of two indices
Investors need to nuance weaker confidence in manufacturing, as services data is a stronger signal, says portfolio manager Rikkert Scholten.
08-10-2019 | Monthly outlook
What’s driving the mid-cycle slowdown
What’s driving the mid-cycle slowdown
Economic growth is hitting a speed ramp, but should shift into a higher gear, says strategist Peter van der Welle.
06-09-2019 | Monthly outlook
‘Chinese stock market matures as institutional investors join the party’
‘Chinese stock market matures as institutional investors join the party’
Investor interest in China’s A-share market is growing.
27-08-2019 | Insight
Investing in a 50:50 World
Investing in a 50:50 World
Welcome to a new world.
18-07-2019 | Column
The Fed’s sugar rush rally
The Fed’s sugar rush rally
When the Fed starts cutting rates, it is easier to be long 2-year Treasuries than credit, says Global Macro team co-head Jamie Stuttard.
05-07-2019 | Monthly outlook
Post G20 expect delays on a trade deal, but we still need one
Post G20 expect delays on a trade deal, but we still need one
Reaching a trade deal would be crucial for equity markets.
05-07-2019 | Insight
The new Long March of China
The new Long March of China
China’s attempts to combat a trade war with the US present an uphill battle for emerging market assets, says strategist Peter van der Welle.
07-06-2019 | Monthly outlook
Five reasons for strategic allocation to China A-shares
Five reasons for strategic allocation to China A-shares
As the A-share market opens up to investors and MSCI has taken an additional step to include A-shares, substantial capital flows are again expected to flow into China’s onshore market.
08-05-2019 | Insight
There’s no need to fear yield curve inversions
There’s no need to fear yield curve inversions
Inverted yield curves may famously herald recessions, but they do not harm market returns that much, says multi-asset investor Jeroen Blokland.
08-05-2019 | Monthly outlook
This time it’s different: best opportunities outside of the US
This time it’s different: best opportunities outside of the US
Since the beginning of the year, global equity markets have staged a swift comeback.
26-04-2019 | Column
China's new economy takes root
China's new economy takes root
The Chinese economy is currently experiencing a downturn and we believe it will hit rock bottom in the second quarter.
16-04-2019 | Insight
Risks to European equities are overstated
Risks to European equities are overstated
European stocks could become more attractive, as positive outcomes can be seen for their perceived risks, says Chief Economist Léon Cornelissen.
08-03-2019 | Monthly outlook
Low risk in China
Low risk in China
Does low-risk investing work with A-shares?
13-02-2019 | From the field
Recession indicators are overrated for stock returns
Recession indicators are overrated for stock returns
Investors should beware of trying to use asset values to forecast recessions, says portfolio manager Jeroen Blokland.
08-02-2019 | Monthly outlook
Residualizing Momentum in China
Residualizing Momentum in China
Previous studies have reported weak results for standard Momentum strategies in China.
02-01-2019 | From the field
Are emerging markets on the rebound?
Are emerging markets on the rebound?
We expect emerging market equities to outperform developed market equities in 2019.
29-11-2018 | Insight
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