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Insights

Lower credit risk observed in sectors that are positively aligned with the SDGs
Lower credit risk observed in sectors that are positively aligned with the SDGs
Our analysis of historical performance data confirms what we see in practice.
07-11-2019 | Insight
Refining the inclusion of views in portfolio construction
Refining the inclusion of views in portfolio construction
Taking investors’ views into account when building portfolios is difficult but essential, says Roderick Molenaar.
09-10-2019 | 5-Year outlook
Fixed income outlook: Rising recession risk; unchanged strategy
Fixed income outlook: Rising recession risk; unchanged strategy
It seems a lot has changed in one quarter.
03-10-2019 | Quarterly outlook
Credit outlook: Search for yield versus lurch to protectionism
Credit outlook: Search for yield versus lurch to protectionism
We are still convinced that we are approaching the end of the cycle, and continue to advocate a defensive positioning.
25-09-2019 | Quarterly outlook
European banks: Go for debt
European banks: Go for debt
Despite earnings compression, the creditworthiness of European banks appears intact.
07-08-2019 | Insight
Negative yields are becoming the new normal
Negative yields are becoming the new normal
The ECB has adopted a long-term negative interest rate policy.
06-08-2019 | Insight
Fixed income outlook: More repression to avoid recession
Fixed income outlook: More repression to avoid recession
Fighting the Fed or ECB has been a losing game over the past decade.
10-07-2019 | Quarterly outlook
Credit outlook: Be smart, quick and lucky
Credit outlook: Be smart, quick and lucky
We are skeptical of the idea that central banks are infallible.
27-06-2019 | Quarterly outlook
Duration Times Spread: a measure of spread exposure in credit portfolios
Duration Times Spread: a measure of spread exposure in credit portfolios
Duration Times Spread (DTS) is the market standard method for measuring the credit volatility of a corporate bond.
22-06-2019 | Research
Credit outlook: Dead cat bounce
Credit outlook: Dead cat bounce
04-04-2019 | Quarterly outlook
Strong multi-asset factor performance over more than two centuries
Strong multi-asset factor performance over more than two centuries
To be considered relevant, a factor must first and foremost be backed by ample empirical evidence.
12-02-2019 | Research
In denial, but for how long?
In denial, but for how long?
In our latest Central Bank Watcher, we examine the policy and actions of the world’s major central banks.
11-01-2019 | Insight
Credit outlook: The emperor is naked
Credit outlook: The emperor is naked
Despite our repeated concerns about high corporate leverage and too much risk appetite, it is only now that credit markets are beginning to react to the global economic slowdown, and the next recession is being openly discussed.
20-12-2018 | Quarterly outlook
Bond. Corporate Bond
Bond. Corporate Bond
What should and should not be included in strategic asset allocation is a hotly debated topic.
05-11-2018 | 5-Year outlook
Tightening in tougher conditions
Tightening in tougher conditions
In our new Central Bank Watcher, we examine the policy and actions of the world’s major central banks (Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, People’s Bank of China and the Bank of Japan).
30-10-2018 | Insight
All roads lead to Rome but few lead to Italian debt sustainability
All roads lead to Rome but few lead to Italian debt sustainability
It was a warning made two and a half centuries ago – but it has stood the test of time.
29-10-2018 | 5-Year outlook
Beware the monetary tide is turning
Beware the monetary tide is turning
Tighter dollar liquidity and a trade war that is fast becoming a deeper economic struggle will continue to affect markets.
24-10-2018 | Quarterly outlook
Credit outlook: crowding out credit
Credit outlook: crowding out credit
The US economy is still firing on all cylinders.
05-10-2018 | Quarterly outlook
Fed on a steady hiking path, at least for now
Fed on a steady hiking path, at least for now
At its 26 September meeting the Fed hiked rates and signaled a continuation of its gradual tightening path.
27-09-2018 | News
Fact or fiction: SI does not work in emerging markets
Fact or fiction: SI does not work in emerging markets
Sustainable investing is well established in the West, though some doubt whether it can work in emerging markets battling with bigger issues.
08-08-2018 | Insight
Fact or fiction: SI only works with equities
Fact or fiction: SI only works with equities
Hundreds of investors are convinced that sustainable investing offers a better way of buying equities.
16-07-2018 | Insight
Credit outlook: a slow bleed?
Credit outlook: a slow bleed?
We are past the peak of the credit cycle and uncertainty lies ahead.
06-07-2018 | Quarterly outlook
Fact or fiction: SI is a niche form of investing
Fact or fiction: SI is a niche form of investing
Sustainable investing has sometimes been considered niche – so the sheer size of it may come as a surprise.
11-06-2018 | Insight
Quantity to quality – China’s growth shift
Quantity to quality – China’s growth shift
However you look at it, growth in China is decelerating.
29-05-2018 | Insight
Fact or fiction: SI does not have enough data to work
Fact or fiction: SI does not have enough data to work
They say that ‘information is power’, but is there enough of it available to show whether sustainable investing works?
14-05-2018 | Insight
Fact or fiction: SI has no clear impact on society
Fact or fiction: SI has no clear impact on society
Sustainable investing has risen to become a high-profile form of managing money – but does it actually benefit anyone else?
23-04-2018 | Insight
The truth about sustainable investing: fact & fiction
The truth about sustainable investing: fact & fiction
Sustainable investing – you have probably heard of it, but do you have all the facts about it?
13-04-2018 | Video
Fact-checking nine common ideas about sustainable investing
Fact-checking nine common ideas about sustainable investing
Interest in sustainable investing has picked up massively in recent years, and with the growing interest has come a growing misconception of what people think it means.
13-04-2018 | Insight
The outlook for credits: active managers are coming to life
The outlook for credits: active managers are coming to life
Although fundamentals are positive with a global economy firing on all cylinders, risky assets are expensive.
10-04-2018 | Quarterly outlook
Watch your Term Premium!
Watch your Term Premium!
It crops up as a topic of discussion every now and again: the ‘term premium’.
09-04-2018 | Insight
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