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Insights

Outlook 2020: A Tale of Two Scenarios
Outlook 2020: A Tale of Two Scenarios
This year’s annual outlook is inspired by Charles Dickens’ A Tale of Two Cities.
12-11-2019 | Yearly outlook
Buy-and-maintain credit: sustainability matters
Buy-and-maintain credit: sustainability matters
Sustainable investing is designed to sort future-proof companies from those that are not.
12-11-2019 | Insight
Lower credit risk observed in sectors that are positively aligned with the SDGs
Lower credit risk observed in sectors that are positively aligned with the SDGs
Our analysis of historical performance data confirms what we see in practice.
07-11-2019 | Insight
Celebrating 30 years of inflation targeting?
Celebrating 30 years of inflation targeting?
Inflation targeting is celebrating its 30th anniversary, but is now due for a makeover, says portfolio manager Rikkert Scholten.
16-10-2019 | 5-Year outlook
Manufacturing versus services – a tale of two indices
Manufacturing versus services – a tale of two indices
Investors need to nuance weaker confidence in manufacturing, as services data is a stronger signal, says portfolio manager Rikkert Scholten.
08-10-2019 | Monthly outlook
Fixed income outlook: Rising recession risk; unchanged strategy
Fixed income outlook: Rising recession risk; unchanged strategy
It seems a lot has changed in one quarter.
03-10-2019 | Quarterly outlook
Paving the way for unconventional policy
Paving the way for unconventional policy
Policy makers will turn to unconventional fiscal policy to deal with the next recession, says strategist Peter van der Welle.
02-10-2019 | 5-Year outlook
Credit outlook: Search for yield versus lurch to protectionism
Credit outlook: Search for yield versus lurch to protectionism
We are still convinced that we are approaching the end of the cycle, and continue to advocate a defensive positioning.
25-09-2019 | Quarterly outlook
Central bank watcher: to infinity and beyond
Central bank watcher: to infinity and beyond
Central banks are delivering on their easing promises, with the ECB having announced open-ended QE.
13-09-2019 | Insight
Webinar: Getting alpha out of SDG Credit Investing
Webinar: Getting alpha out of SDG Credit Investing
In this episode of our webinar series, we look at how the SDGs fit into credit portfolios.
10-09-2019 | Webinar
What the inverted yield curve may mean for the cycle
What the inverted yield curve may mean for the cycle
Yield curves are one of many tools for forecasting turns in the cycle.
06-09-2019 | Insight
What’s driving the mid-cycle slowdown
What’s driving the mid-cycle slowdown
Economic growth is hitting a speed ramp, but should shift into a higher gear, says strategist Peter van der Welle.
06-09-2019 | Monthly outlook
European banks: Go for debt
European banks: Go for debt
Despite earnings compression, the creditworthiness of European banks appears intact.
07-08-2019 | Insight
Sometimes data revisions matter
Sometimes data revisions matter
Sometimes data revisions really matter – this is one of those times.
05-08-2019 | Insight
Steering change: sustainable automotive credit
Steering change: sustainable automotive credit
The automotive industry still relies heavily on old-school business models and dirty technology.
18-07-2019 | Insight
The Fed’s sugar rush rally
The Fed’s sugar rush rally
When the Fed starts cutting rates, it is easier to be long 2-year Treasuries than credit, says Global Macro team co-head Jamie Stuttard.
05-07-2019 | Monthly outlook
Credit outlook: Be smart, quick and lucky
Credit outlook: Be smart, quick and lucky
We are skeptical of the idea that central banks are infallible.
27-06-2019 | Quarterly outlook
Duration Times Spread: a measure of spread exposure in credit portfolios
Duration Times Spread: a measure of spread exposure in credit portfolios
Duration Times Spread (DTS) is the market standard method for measuring the credit volatility of a corporate bond.
22-06-2019 | Research
How to invest in SDGs
How to invest in SDGs
It is estimated that the SDGs could unlock up to USD 12 trillion in market opportunities.
18-06-2019 | Video
Easing does it
Easing does it
Market expectations for central bank policy rates have come down substantially, following continued weakness in global economic conditions and the rift in the trade talks between the US and China.
10-06-2019 | Insight
Using the SDGs to judge corporate sustainability
Using the SDGs to judge corporate sustainability
The Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) can be used to assess whether companies are fit to serve society, says analyst Michael van der Meer.
22-05-2019 | Insight
There’s no need to fear yield curve inversions
There’s no need to fear yield curve inversions
Inverted yield curves may famously herald recessions, but they do not harm market returns that much, says multi-asset investor Jeroen Blokland.
08-05-2019 | Monthly outlook
Our guide to investing in SDG credits
Our guide to investing in SDG credits
The UN’s Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) have captured the imagination as a great way of impact investing.
29-04-2019 | Insight
Spending one bitcoin = 330,000 credit card transactions
Spending one bitcoin = 330,000 credit card transactions
The average bitcoin transaction now uses 330,000 times more energy than a credit card, new research shows.
11-04-2019 | Stunning statistics
Battening down the hatches in risky assets
Battening down the hatches in risky assets
Investors fearing a downturn should not leave equity markets, but batten down some hatches in risky assets, says strategist Peter van der Welle.
08-04-2019 | Monthly outlook
The undercover MMT practitioner
The undercover MMT practitioner
Rarely does an economic theory get so much attention in the media.
05-04-2019 | Column
Credit outlook: Dead cat bounce
Credit outlook: Dead cat bounce
04-04-2019 | Quarterly outlook
Investing in the SDGs to tackle snake bites
Investing in the SDGs to tackle snake bites
How many people do you think die from snake bites?
11-03-2019 | Stunning statistics
Recession indicators are overrated for stock returns
Recession indicators are overrated for stock returns
Investors should beware of trying to use asset values to forecast recessions, says portfolio manager Jeroen Blokland.
08-02-2019 | Monthly outlook
Emerging stocks could make a comeback in 2019
Emerging stocks could make a comeback in 2019
A number of factors bode well for emerging market equities this year, says investor Jeroen Blokland.
10-01-2019 | Monthly outlook
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