Feel the Bern – the risks of the US elections
Battered markets have a new thing to worry about: the possibility of a socialist US president, our monthly outlook warns.
05-03-2020 | 月次アウトルック
Mind the skew – stocks may not yet have peaked
A curious skew in historical stock returns means global equities may have some upside left, says strategist Peter van der Welle.
09-01-2020 | 月次アウトルック
Lower earnings may not usher in a bear market
Falling company profits don’t necessarily mean a bear market or recession is due, says strategist Peter van der Welle.
06-12-2019 | 月次アウトルック
Manufacturing versus services – a tale of two indices
Investors need to nuance weaker confidence in manufacturing, as services data is a stronger signal, says portfolio manager Rikkert Scholten.
08-10-2019 | 月次アウトルック
What’s driving the mid-cycle slowdown
Economic growth is hitting a speed ramp, but should shift into a higher gear, says strategist Peter van der Welle.
06-09-2019 | 月次アウトルック
Sometimes data revisions matter
Sometimes data revisions really matter – this is one of those times.
05-08-2019 | インサイト
The Fed’s sugar rush rally
When the Fed starts cutting rates, it is easier to be long 2-year Treasuries than credit, says Global Macro team co-head Jamie Stuttard.
05-07-2019 | 月次アウトルック
Post G20 expect delays on a trade deal, but we still need one
Reaching a trade deal would be crucial for equity markets.
05-07-2019 | インサイト
The new Long March of China
China’s attempts to combat a trade war with the US present an uphill battle for emerging market assets, says strategist Peter van der Welle.
07-06-2019 | 月次アウトルック
There’s no need to fear yield curve inversions
Inverted yield curves may famously herald recessions, but they do not harm market returns that much, says multi-asset investor Jeroen Blokland.
08-05-2019 | 月次アウトルック
The undercover MMT practitioner
Rarely does an economic theory get so much attention in the media.
05-04-2019 | Column
Risks to European equities are overstated
European stocks could become more attractive, as positive outcomes can be seen for their perceived risks, says Chief Economist Léon Cornelissen.
08-03-2019 | 月次アウトルック
Recession indicators are overrated for stock returns
Investors should beware of trying to use asset values to forecast recessions, says portfolio manager Jeroen Blokland.
08-02-2019 | 月次アウトルック
Goldilocks vs Armageddon: It’s time to buy EM
We sold Goldilocks in the last quarter of 2018.
16-01-2019 | Column
Emerging stocks could make a comeback in 2019
A number of factors bode well for emerging market equities this year, says investor Jeroen Blokland.
10-01-2019 | 月次アウトルック
Markets see the wind taken out of their sails
Markets have seen choppy waters in recent months, but four factors are positive for stocks, says strategist Peter van der Welle.
07-12-2018 | 月次アウトルック
A defensive market that is looking increasingly risky
Historically, switching to the US is an obvious choice at a late stage of the bull market when a shift towards more defensive equity allocation is desired.
09-11-2018 | インサイト
Democrat poll win weakens Trump’s power
A Democrat victory in US elections is positive for markets, though a return to fiscal discipline is unlikely, says Chief Economist Léon Cornelissen.
07-11-2018 | インサイト
All roads lead to Rome but few lead to Italian debt sustainability
It was a warning made two and a half centuries ago – but it has stood the test of time.
29-10-2018 | 5ヵ年アウトルック
Will a blue wave mean Trump waves goodbye?
Mid-term US elections may spell trouble for President Trump, says Robeco Chief Economist Léon Cornelissen.
25-10-2018 | インサイト
The potential rewards of diversifying away from US Equities
A perpetual problem for investors is deciding what assets to allocate to.
15-10-2018 | 5ヵ年アウトルック
Oh, what a lovely trade war!
There is little upside for investors in the escalating US-China trade war, warns Robeco Chief Economist Léon Cornelissen.
08-10-2018 | 月次アウトルック
Fed on a steady hiking path, at least for now
At its 26 September meeting the Fed hiked rates and signaled a continuation of its gradual tightening path.
27-09-2018 | News
Ten years on, risk remains a problem for banks
A decade after the collapse of Lehman Brothers, Masja Zandbergen and Kenneth Robertson explain why governance is so crucial for the banking sector.
21-09-2018 | Column
The power of earnings
Investors should focus on the E and not just the P in the price/earnings ratio, says Robeco’s Jeroen Blokland.
10-09-2018 | 月次アウトルック
China has more to lose from a trade war than US
Tariffs will hurt China more than the US as a trade war begins in earnest, Robeco Chief Economist Léon Cornelissen warns.
09-07-2018 | 月次アウトルック
The doomsday myth of 3% bond yields
Investors are focusing on the wrong 3% figure if they think the US bond yield is a cue for stocks to fall, says Lukas Daalder.
08-05-2018 | 月次アウトルック
The mystery of the weak greenback
The surprising weakness of the US dollar continues to puzzle markets, says Robeco investor Lukas Daalder.
10-04-2018 | 月次アウトルック
US trade war could extinguish overheating
Tariffs could unwittingly act as an antidote to US economic overheating, says Chief Economist Léon Cornelissen.
28-03-2018 | インサイト
Trade war or skirmish?
After a year of relative calm, Trump has started to act on his protectionist ideas.
26-03-2018 | インサイト