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Lower earnings may not usher in a bear market
Lower earnings may not usher in a bear market
Falling company profits don’t necessarily mean a bear market or recession is due, says strategist Peter van der Welle.
06-12-2019 | 月次アウトルック
Scenario analysis confirms need for defensive credit market positioning
Scenario analysis confirms need for defensive credit market positioning
Our analysis of spread markets suggests the most likely scenario in coming months is that of low growth and low inflation.
03-12-2019 | インサイト
The Night Shadows: Investing in fixed income if recession hits
The Night Shadows: Investing in fixed income if recession hits
We live in a world of inverted yield curves, contracting business surveys, global trade, and falling earnings and CEO confidence.
28-11-2019 | 年次アウトルック
Celebrating 30 years of inflation targeting?
Celebrating 30 years of inflation targeting?
Inflation targeting is celebrating its 30th anniversary, but is now due for a makeover, says portfolio manager Rikkert Scholten.
16-10-2019 | 5ヵ年アウトルック
Manufacturing versus services – a tale of two indices
Manufacturing versus services – a tale of two indices
Investors need to nuance weaker confidence in manufacturing, as services data is a stronger signal, says portfolio manager Rikkert Scholten.
08-10-2019 | 月次アウトルック
Paving the way for unconventional policy
Paving the way for unconventional policy
Policy makers will turn to unconventional fiscal policy to deal with the next recession, says strategist Peter van der Welle.
02-10-2019 | 5ヵ年アウトルック
What the inverted yield curve may mean for the cycle
What the inverted yield curve may mean for the cycle
Yield curves are one of many tools for forecasting turns in the cycle.
06-09-2019 | インサイト
What’s driving the mid-cycle slowdown
What’s driving the mid-cycle slowdown
Economic growth is hitting a speed ramp, but should shift into a higher gear, says strategist Peter van der Welle.
06-09-2019 | 月次アウトルック
There’s no need to fear yield curve inversions
There’s no need to fear yield curve inversions
Inverted yield curves may famously herald recessions, but they do not harm market returns that much, says multi-asset investor Jeroen Blokland.
08-05-2019 | 月次アウトルック
Spending one bitcoin = 330,000 credit card transactions
Spending one bitcoin = 330,000 credit card transactions
The average bitcoin transaction now uses 330,000 times more energy than a credit card, new research shows.
11-04-2019 | Stunning statistics
Battening down the hatches in risky assets
Battening down the hatches in risky assets
Investors fearing a downturn should not leave equity markets, but batten down some hatches in risky assets, says strategist Peter van der Welle.
08-04-2019 | 月次アウトルック
Recession indicators are overrated for stock returns
Recession indicators are overrated for stock returns
Investors should beware of trying to use asset values to forecast recessions, says portfolio manager Jeroen Blokland.
08-02-2019 | 月次アウトルック
Secular stagnation is a stagnating theory
Secular stagnation is a stagnating theory
Is secular stagnation for real?
22-09-2017 | 5ヵ年アウトルック
Financial markets are coming of age
Financial markets are coming of age
Riskier assets are seen returning less as financial markets face a ‘coming of age’, our new five-year outlook predicts.
18-09-2017 | 5ヵ年アウトルック