Central bank watcher: Liquidity preference
The key central banks have a preference for injecting liquidity rather than further interest rate cuts.
24-01-2020 | インサイト
The Night Shadows: Investing in fixed income if recession hits
We live in a world of inverted yield curves, contracting business surveys, global trade, and falling earnings and CEO confidence.
28-11-2019 | 年次アウトルック
Paving the way for unconventional policy
Policy makers will turn to unconventional fiscal policy to deal with the next recession, says strategist Peter van der Welle.
02-10-2019 | 5ヵ年アウトルック
5-year Expected Returns: Escaping the hall of mirrors
This year’s theme of our 5-year outlook, ‘Escaping the hall of mirrors’, is inspired by the peculiar conditions investors face in today’s financial markets.
01-10-2019 | 5ヵ年アウトルック
Fixed income outlook: More repression to avoid recession
Fighting the Fed or ECB has been a losing game over the past decade.
10-07-2019 | 四半期アウトルック
The Fed’s sugar rush rally
When the Fed starts cutting rates, it is easier to be long 2-year Treasuries than credit, says Global Macro team co-head Jamie Stuttard.
05-07-2019 | 月次アウトルック
Factor investing works for bond portfolios, too
Bond portfolios with significant exposure to the value, momentum and low risk factors generate returns that consistently outperform the index.
04-06-2019 | インサイト
There’s no need to fear yield curve inversions
Inverted yield curves may famously herald recessions, but they do not harm market returns that much, says multi-asset investor Jeroen Blokland.
08-05-2019 | 月次アウトルック
Recession indicators are overrated for stock returns
Investors should beware of trying to use asset values to forecast recessions, says portfolio manager Jeroen Blokland.
08-02-2019 | 月次アウトルック
In denial, but for how long?
In our latest Central Bank Watcher, we examine the policy and actions of the world’s major central banks.
11-01-2019 | インサイト
The return of Term Premium
Despite all the focus on the inflation outlook and ongoing Fed hikes, the recent sell-off in US Treasuries was actually driven to a large extent by a reawaking of the term premium.
19-11-2018 | インサイト
Outlook 2019: Turbulence ahead
Next year we expect the markets to have two faces.
08-11-2018 | インサイト
Democrat poll win weakens Trump’s power
A Democrat victory in US elections is positive for markets, though a return to fiscal discipline is unlikely, says Chief Economist Léon Cornelissen.
07-11-2018 | インサイト
Tightening in tougher conditions
In our new Central Bank Watcher, we examine the policy and actions of the world’s major central banks (Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, People’s Bank of China and the Bank of Japan).
30-10-2018 | インサイト
All roads lead to Rome but few lead to Italian debt sustainability
It was a warning made two and a half centuries ago – but it has stood the test of time.
29-10-2018 | 5ヵ年アウトルック
Beware the monetary tide is turning
Tighter dollar liquidity and a trade war that is fast becoming a deeper economic struggle will continue to affect markets.
24-10-2018 | 四半期アウトルック
12-10-2018 | インサイト
Fed on a steady hiking path, at least for now
At its 26 September meeting the Fed hiked rates and signaled a continuation of its gradual tightening path.
27-09-2018 | News
The doomsday myth of 3% bond yields
Investors are focusing on the wrong 3% figure if they think the US bond yield is a cue for stocks to fall, says Lukas Daalder.
08-05-2018 | 月次アウトルック
Watch your Term Premium!
It crops up as a topic of discussion every now and again: the ‘term premium’.
09-04-2018 | インサイト
The investment objective as smart benchmark for the LDI portfolio
For an LDI portfolio, the investment objective is often a better benchmark than a standard index.
21-02-2018 | インサイト
Stop whining about the US yield curve
Talk of an inverted US yield curve flagging a recession is completely misplaced, says Robeco investor Lukas Daalder.
09-01-2018 | 月次アウトルック
The future of the euro: to integrate or disintegrate?
The euro’s future may better lie with further integration rather than disintegration, our five-year outlook believes.
19-09-2017 | 5ヵ年アウトルック
Finding Value in government bonds
The Value factor has been exploited for decades by equity investors and academic research shows it can also be applied to fixed income, in particular to government bonds.
24-02-2017 | インサイト
America a melting pot of opportunity mixed with stalemate
America is a melting pot of opportunity mixed in with political stalemate that will give its new president a difficult path to steer, says Chief Economist Léon Cornelissen.
17-10-2016 | インサイト
It’s always darkest just before dawn
Every year Robeco takes a fresh look at the outlook for the global economy over the next five years.
26-09-2016 | 5ヵ年アウトルック
Forecasting sovereign default risk with Merton’s model
We provide an extensive empirical study into the Gray, Merton, and Bodie (2007) structural model for sovereigns.
15-10-2015 | リサーチ
Integrating ESG in Euro Government Bond portfolios
The ESG ranking of a number of euro periphery countries has improved, after having reached a low in 2010.
07-07-2014 | インサイト