Feel the Bern – the risks of the US elections
Battered markets have a new thing to worry about: the possibility of a socialist US president, our monthly outlook warns.
05-03-2020 | 月次アウトルック
Mind the skew – stocks may not yet have peaked
A curious skew in historical stock returns means global equities may have some upside left, says strategist Peter van der Welle.
09-01-2020 | 月次アウトルック
Lower earnings may not usher in a bear market
Falling company profits don’t necessarily mean a bear market or recession is due, says strategist Peter van der Welle.
06-12-2019 | 月次アウトルック
Manufacturing versus services – a tale of two indices
Investors need to nuance weaker confidence in manufacturing, as services data is a stronger signal, says portfolio manager Rikkert Scholten.
08-10-2019 | 月次アウトルック
What’s driving the mid-cycle slowdown
Economic growth is hitting a speed ramp, but should shift into a higher gear, says strategist Peter van der Welle.
06-09-2019 | 月次アウトルック
Sometimes data revisions matter
Sometimes data revisions really matter – this is one of those times.
05-08-2019 | インサイト
The Fed’s sugar rush rally
When the Fed starts cutting rates, it is easier to be long 2-year Treasuries than credit, says Global Macro team co-head Jamie Stuttard.
05-07-2019 | 月次アウトルック
Post G20 expect delays on a trade deal, but we still need one
Reaching a trade deal would be crucial for equity markets.
05-07-2019 | インサイト
The new Long March of China
China’s attempts to combat a trade war with the US present an uphill battle for emerging market assets, says strategist Peter van der Welle.
07-06-2019 | 月次アウトルック
There’s no need to fear yield curve inversions
Inverted yield curves may famously herald recessions, but they do not harm market returns that much, says multi-asset investor Jeroen Blokland.
08-05-2019 | 月次アウトルック
Risks to European equities are overstated
European stocks could become more attractive, as positive outcomes can be seen for their perceived risks, says Chief Economist Léon Cornelissen.
08-03-2019 | 月次アウトルック
Recession indicators are overrated for stock returns
Investors should beware of trying to use asset values to forecast recessions, says portfolio manager Jeroen Blokland.
08-02-2019 | 月次アウトルック
Democrat poll win weakens Trump’s power
A Democrat victory in US elections is positive for markets, though a return to fiscal discipline is unlikely, says Chief Economist Léon Cornelissen.
07-11-2018 | インサイト
Fed on a steady hiking path, at least for now
At its 26 September meeting the Fed hiked rates and signaled a continuation of its gradual tightening path.
27-09-2018 | News
The power of earnings
Investors should focus on the E and not just the P in the price/earnings ratio, says Robeco’s Jeroen Blokland.
10-09-2018 | 月次アウトルック
China has more to lose from a trade war than US
Tariffs will hurt China more than the US as a trade war begins in earnest, Robeco Chief Economist Léon Cornelissen warns.
09-07-2018 | 月次アウトルック
Stop whining about the US yield curve
Talk of an inverted US yield curve flagging a recession is completely misplaced, says Robeco investor Lukas Daalder.
09-01-2018 | 月次アウトルック
America a melting pot of opportunity mixed with stalemate
America is a melting pot of opportunity mixed in with political stalemate that will give its new president a difficult path to steer, says Chief Economist Léon Cornelissen.
17-10-2016 | インサイト
Forget China - it’s the US that really moves markets
Chinese growth fears and Middle East tensions caused equity markets to open the new year with significant falls – but it is the US that investors should focus on, says Robeco’s Lukas Daalder.
05-01-2016 | インサイト