Finding the right balance between three things – public health, normal economic functioning, and personal freedoms – will be the main challenge for policymakers in 2021.
European banks face an earnings event, not a capital event
Although the extent of the economic contraction has been sizeable, and default rates are expected to rise further, our view is that banks will survive the pain.
28-10-2020
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インサイト
Interest rates – don’t be so negative
How fashionable will negative interest rates be in five years’ time?
26-10-2020
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5ヵ年アウトルック
US elections: weighing the odds
The 2020 US Elections have entered the final straight.
20-10-2020
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インサイト
Podcast: Will we avert a grim mix of higher inflation and negative rates?
Central banks are navigating through unchartered territory.
15-10-2020
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ポッドキャスト
クレジット・アウトルック:市場はすでにワクチンを保有
世界はわれわれが通常の生活に戻ることができるようなワクチンを待っています。
09-10-2020
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インサイト
Expected Returns – watch the full show
Post Covid-19, we will all be entering a ‘brave real world’ with negative interest rates, looming inflation and unprecedented central bank policies.
Global credit markets starting to look attractive after repricing
Spreads in the various segments of global credit markets have widened substantially over the year to date, resulting in valuations which are attractive compared to longer-term average valuations.
11-03-2020
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インサイト
Fixed income outlook: Upside bounce, downside risks
Fixed income returns have been excellent in 2019.
06-01-2020
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四半期アウトルック
Credit outlook: There is no average
There is a bid for safety in credit markets, but a need for yield.
10-12-2019
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四半期アウトルック
デュレーション・タイムズ・スプレッド:クレジット・リスクの計測
Accurately measuring credit risk is a significant challenge for credit investors.
10-12-2019
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リサーチ
The Night Shadows: Investing in fixed income if recession hits
We live in a world of inverted yield curves, contracting business surveys, global trade, and falling earnings and CEO confidence.
28-11-2019
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年次アウトルック
Fixed income outlook: Rising recession risk; unchanged strategy
It seems a lot has changed in one quarter.
03-10-2019
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四半期アウトルック
Paving the way for unconventional policy
Policy makers will turn to unconventional fiscal policy to deal with the next recession, says strategist Peter van der Welle.