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Visión de mercado

Expected Returns a 5 años: La Era de la Confusión
Expected Returns a 5 años: La Era de la Confusión
Bienvenidos a terreno desconocido, a una nueva era en que las certezas a las que una generación de inversores estaba tan acostumbrada se empiezan a derrumbar ante nuestros propios ojos.
21-09-2022 | Perspectiva a 5 años
Investing across deflation, inflation and stagflation
Investing across deflation, inflation and stagflation
Real returns on equities and multi-asset portfolios are typically poor when inflation is high, especially in times of stagflation.
29-08-2022 | Visión
Forecasting stock crash risk with machine learning
Forecasting stock crash risk with machine learning
Machine learning techniques can be used to uncover nonlinear relationships between several variables to help forecast stock crash risk.
15-06-2022 | Visión
Shrunk betas can fortify Low-risk portfolios
Shrunk betas can fortify Low-risk portfolios
Research shows that beta forecasts are improved by shrinking correlations more than relative volatilities.
17-02-2022 | Investigación
What's so cryptic about cryptocurrencies?
What's so cryptic about cryptocurrencies?
Bitcoin could qualify as digital gold, and the blockchain technology behind it has enormous potential, say quant researcher Laurens Swinkels and strategist Peter van der Welle.
13-10-2021 | Perspectiva a 5 años
Some factors are now more equal than others
Some factors are now more equal than others
There is no free lunch when it comes to harvesting factor premiums.
06-10-2021 | Perspectiva a 5 años
What valuations and interest rates tell us about equity factors
What valuations and interest rates tell us about equity factors
Single and multi-factor equity portfolios are currently very attractively valued and factor premiums persist across interest rate cycles.
04-10-2021 | Visión
Factoring climate change into Expected Returns forecasts
Factoring climate change into Expected Returns forecasts
The impact of climate change has been factored into the core forecasts in Expected Returns for the first time in the five-year outlook’s 11-year history.
30-09-2021 | Perspectiva a 5 años
Expected Returns 2022-2026: Los tórridos años veinte
Expected Returns 2022-2026: Los tórridos años veinte
La situación empeora y la preocupación por la catástrofe climática que se avecina atempera nuestro optimismo tecnológico.
29-09-2021 | Visión
Fresh capital has not run dry for unsustainable firms
Fresh capital has not run dry for unsustainable firms
Despite rising interest in sustainable investing, unsustainable companies have faced no obstacles in raising funds in public markets.
11-03-2021 | Investigación
Comparing pension funds’ ESG policies in the Nordics and the Netherlands
Comparing pension funds’ ESG policies in the Nordics and the Netherlands
Northern European pension funds are at the forefront of the global move towards more sustainable investing.
10-12-2020 | Visión
Filtering out fraud risk in Chinese A-share markets
Filtering out fraud risk in Chinese A-share markets
Chinese equity markets have emerged as one of the big winners following the Covid-19 shock.
26-11-2020 | Perspectiva anual
Long-term Expected Returns
Long-term Expected Returns
The purpose of this report is to show our long-term return expectations for a wide set of asset classes.
29-09-2020 | Perspectiva a 5 años
Giving China its rightful share in your portfolio
Giving China its rightful share in your portfolio
Chinese stocks are a major new investment opportunity, yet they are under-represented in most portfolios, say Laurens Swinkels and Jaap Hoek.
23-10-2019 | Perspectiva a 5 años