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Insights

Fixed income outlook: Pricing sigma
Fixed income outlook: Pricing sigma
We note several multiple sigma events across fixed income markets.
30-11-2021 | Quarterly outlook
A more cautious stance on equities
A more cautious stance on equities
As the end of the year approaches, investors are entering a traditionally auspicious season for equities.
07-10-2021 | Quarterly outlook
Credit outlook: Common prosperity
Credit outlook: Common prosperity
Changing policy in China will have repercussions for the rest of the world – and for credit markets.
21-09-2021 | Quarterly outlook
Fixed income outlook: Tunnel vision
Fixed income outlook: Tunnel vision
There is plenty of evidence of herding and groupthink.
14-09-2021 | Quarterly outlook
The ‘equity party’ continues
The ‘equity party’ continues
Our developed and emerging markets equites teams have kept a positive stance on their respective markets for this quarter.
12-07-2021 | Quarterly outlook
Credit outlook: Humble
Credit outlook: Humble
It’s best to be humble about the many unknowns and distortions as economies reopen.
23-06-2021 | Quarterly outlook
Fixed income outlook: Inflation hyperventilation
Fixed income outlook: Inflation hyperventilation
Heading into H2, we still find plenty to disagree with in the prevailing market consensus.
15-06-2021 | Quarterly outlook
From deep value to ‘value with a future’
From deep value to ‘value with a future’
As the global economy continues to recover, our positive stance on global equity markets remains well underpinned.
28-04-2021 | Quarterly outlook
Credit outlook: Running the economy hot
Credit outlook: Running the economy hot
While it’s possible that credits could keep rallying, the margin for error is extremely limited.
31-03-2021 | Quarterly outlook
Fixed income outlook: Coming to America
Fixed income outlook: Coming to America
Several things are coming to America.
23-03-2021 | Quarterly outlook
Credit outlook: TINA is still singing
Credit outlook: TINA is still singing
Markets are pricing for the best possible outcome.
17-12-2020 | Quarterly outlook
Fixed income outlook: Just another range trade
Fixed income outlook: Just another range trade
Markets participants, often overly focused on cyclical and economic factors, may need to take a broader perspective.
08-12-2020 | Quarterly outlook
Navigating a sea of Covid and elections noise
Navigating a sea of Covid and elections noise
All of our conclusions from our previous quarterly outlook remain valid.
16-10-2020 | Quarterly outlook
Fixed income outlook: The autumn cluster
Fixed income outlook: The autumn cluster
A cluster of high volatility events will be taking place in the next six weeks.
09-10-2020 | Quarterly outlook
Credit outlook: Markets already have the vaccine
Credit outlook: Markets already have the vaccine
The world is waiting for a vaccine that will enable us to return to our normal lives.
29-09-2020 | Quarterly outlook
Fixed income outlook: Rising waves
Fixed income outlook: Rising waves
The latest wave of market euphoria prompts us to take profit and adopt a patient stance.
08-07-2020 | Quarterly outlook
Credit outlook: The rules have changed
Credit outlook: The rules have changed
The ‘common enemy’ elicited a massive unconventional, coordinated series of stimulus by policy makers.
24-06-2020 | Quarterly outlook
Is it time to favor North Asia over the US?
Is it time to favor North Asia over the US?
We thought we had seen it all, or almost all, and then the ball comes out of left field.
14-04-2020 | Quarterly outlook
Fixed income outlook: The Covid shock and the Baa recovery
Fixed income outlook: The Covid shock and the Baa recovery
Fixed income opportunities are shifting swiftly away from safe-haven government bonds towards credit.
01-04-2020 | Quarterly outlook
Credit outlook: 'The common enemy'
Credit outlook: 'The common enemy'
Spreads have moved from historically narrow levels straight to recessionary wides.
24-03-2020 | Quarterly outlook
Fixed income outlook: Upside bounce, downside risks
Fixed income outlook: Upside bounce, downside risks
Fixed income returns have been excellent in 2019.
06-01-2020 | Quarterly outlook
Credit outlook: There is no average
Credit outlook: There is no average
There is a bid for safety in credit markets, but a need for yield.
10-12-2019 | Quarterly outlook
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