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Insights

In denial, but for how long?
In denial, but for how long?
In our latest Central Bank Watcher, we examine the policy and actions of the world’s major central banks.
11-01-2019 | Insight
It’s late cycle but not end cycle
It’s late cycle but not end cycle
Markets continue to be weak and volatile, while growth expectations are depressed globally.
10-01-2019 | Quarterly outlook
Multi Factor Absolute Return: sustainable diversifier
Multi Factor Absolute Return: sustainable diversifier
13-12-2018 | Insight
Multi-factor bonds: an alternative to passive fixed income
Multi-factor bonds: an alternative to passive fixed income
A growing number of investors are implementing their fixed income strategies through passive Exchange Traded funds (ETFs).
28-11-2018 | Insight
The return of Term Premium
The return of Term Premium
Despite all the focus on the inflation outlook and ongoing Fed hikes, the recent sell-off in US Treasuries was actually driven to a large extent by a reawaking of the term premium.
19-11-2018 | Insight
Outlook 2019: Turbulence ahead
Outlook 2019: Turbulence ahead
Next year we expect the markets to have two faces.
08-11-2018 | Insight
Best reads of 2018
Best reads of 2018
Find out more
Democrat poll win weakens Trump’s power
Democrat poll win weakens Trump’s power
A Democrat victory in US elections is positive for markets, though a return to fiscal discipline is unlikely, says Chief Economist Léon Cornelissen.
07-11-2018 | Insight
Tightening in tougher conditions
Tightening in tougher conditions
In our new Central Bank Watcher, we examine the policy and actions of the world’s major central banks (Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, People’s Bank of China and the Bank of Japan).
30-10-2018 | Insight
All roads lead to Rome but few lead to Italian debt sustainability
All roads lead to Rome but few lead to Italian debt sustainability
It was a warning made two and a half centuries ago – but it has stood the test of time.
29-10-2018 | 5-Year outlook
Beware the monetary tide is turning
Beware the monetary tide is turning
Tighter dollar liquidity and a trade war that is fast becoming a deeper economic struggle will continue to affect markets.
24-10-2018 | Quarterly outlook
Fed on a steady hiking path, at least for now
Fed on a steady hiking path, at least for now
At its 26 September meeting the Fed hiked rates and signaled a continuation of its gradual tightening path.
27-09-2018 | News
End of the easy money era
End of the easy money era
For the first time since 2009 all the major central banks are singing from the same hymn sheet: the only way is up!
21-08-2018 | Insight
Investment outlook 2019
Investment outlook 2019
Find out more
Trade risks are complicating the picture for bonds
Trade risks are complicating the picture for bonds
The trade war threat and political risks in Italy are reasons to remain cautious on bonds.
20-07-2018 | Quarterly outlook
Fact or fiction: SI only works with equities
Fact or fiction: SI only works with equities
Hundreds of investors are convinced that sustainability investing offers a better way of buying equities.
16-07-2018 | Insight
The doomsday myth of 3% bond yields
The doomsday myth of 3% bond yields
Investors are focusing on the wrong 3% figure if they think the US bond yield is a cue for stocks to fall, says Lukas Daalder.
08-05-2018 | Monthly outlook
Flows that matter for government bonds
Flows that matter for government bonds
Government bond markets are extremely sensitive to any upside surprise in US inflation expectations.
20-04-2018 | Quarterly outlook
Watch your Term Premium!
Watch your Term Premium!
It crops up as a topic of discussion every now and again: the ‘term premium’.
09-04-2018 | Insight
The investment objective as smart benchmark for the LDI portfolio
The investment objective as smart benchmark for the LDI portfolio
For an LDI portfolio, the investment objective is often a better benchmark than a standard index.
21-02-2018 | Insight
No bond bear market yet, but watch your Bunds
No bond bear market yet, but watch your Bunds
Yields in the euro area are increasingly difficult to match with the strong economic uptick.
25-01-2018 | Quarterly outlook
Stop whining about the US yield curve
Stop whining about the US yield curve
Talk of an inverted US yield curve flagging a recession is completely misplaced, says Robeco investor Lukas Daalder.
09-01-2018 | Monthly outlook
Bonds are not as safe as previously assumed
Bonds are not as safe as previously assumed
Bonds may not be as safe as previously assumed, despite some highly flattering data in their favor.
09-11-2017 | Yearly outlook
Does underinvestment threaten growth?
Does underinvestment threaten growth?
The notion that investments by the private sector are lacking is popular nowadays – but things may not be as bad as they seem.
09-11-2017 | Yearly outlook
Are the reports on the death of inflation highly exaggerated?
Are the reports on the death of inflation highly exaggerated?
Inflation in developed economies remains low, but it’s still too early to consign it to history.
09-11-2017 | Yearly outlook
China continues to kick the can further down the road
China continues to kick the can further down the road
China is doing extremely well, but it’s high economic growth is coming at a price.
09-11-2017 | Yearly outlook
Fixed Income Outlook Q4 2017
Fixed Income Outlook Q4 2017
The absence of wage inflation should not prevent bond investors from being watchful.
25-10-2017 | Quarterly outlook
Bonds are from Venus, equities are also from Venus
Bonds are from Venus, equities are also from Venus
Where do returns come from?
25-09-2017 | 5-Year outlook
The future of the euro: to integrate or disintegrate?
The future of the euro: to integrate or disintegrate?
The euro’s future may better lie with further integration rather than disintegration, our five-year outlook believes.
19-09-2017 | 5-Year outlook
Will central banks spoil buoyant market sentiment?
Will central banks spoil buoyant market sentiment?
In its quarterly outlook, the Global Fixed Income Macro team sees central banks gradually normalizing their policies.
28-07-2017 | Quarterly outlook
UK election creates ‘hung parliament’
UK election creates ‘hung parliament’
The Conservative party won but fell short of an overall majority.
09-06-2017 | Insight
European equities are punching below their weight
European equities are punching below their weight
Stocks in Europe are surprisingly unloved, despite a strong earnings season which has raised their relative attractiveness versus the US.
09-05-2017 | Monthly outlook

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