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Insights

2023 Outlook: Short-term pain, long-term gain
2023 Outlook: Short-term pain, long-term gain
We believe 2023 will offer a considerable brightening of the return outlook for major asset classes.
17-11-2022 | Yearly outlook
Podcast: Nowhere near an equilibrium between growth and value
Podcast: Nowhere near an equilibrium between growth and value
Value has proven over the past two years that it’s not dead, after all.
08-11-2022 | Podcast
Central bank watcher: Inflation dominance
Central bank watcher: Inflation dominance
The fear that above-target inflation could get entrenched continues to drive the discussion at most central banks.
20-10-2022 | Insight
Picking the unloved gems
Picking the unloved gems
Value investing may offer safe havens in a recession as the Fed raises rates, says veteran fund manager Chris Hart.
20-10-2022 | Insight
The energy transition comes with a price tag
The energy transition comes with a price tag
Decarbonization to achieve net-zero emissions by 2050 will have an inflationary impact.
19-10-2022 | Insight
The EU’s energy crisis will be instructive and destructive
The EU’s energy crisis will be instructive and destructive
Winter is coming but a smorgasbord of positive natural and man-made interventions means the EU will likely avoid blackouts.
18-10-2022 | Insight
It takes the right metrics to engineer a Paris-aligned portfolio
It takes the right metrics to engineer a Paris-aligned portfolio
We outline the most effective analytics for building climate-resilient and optimized buy-and-maintain portfolios.
17-10-2022 | Insight
Are credit factor premiums robust to rising inflation and interest rates?
Are credit factor premiums robust to rising inflation and interest rates?
Multi-factor credit strategies provide all-weather outperformance.
14-10-2022 | Insight
From carrier pigeons to AI – gaining an edge with alternative data
From carrier pigeons to AI – gaining an edge with alternative data
Investors increasingly prefer alternative data over more traditional sources.
12-10-2022 | Insight
Volatility strikes in the UK bond market
Volatility strikes in the UK bond market
We see value now in sterling investment grade yields for our aggregate fixed income strategies.
11-10-2022 | Insight
Keep a close eye on chips and ships
Keep a close eye on chips and ships
Investors looking for companies that can survive a recession should consider the ‘chips and ships’ scenario for navigating choppy waters.
07-10-2022 | Monthly outlook
Expected Returns 2023-2027 – Watch the full show
Expected Returns 2023-2027 – Watch the full show
A multiplicity of shocks have shaken markets, leading to an ‘Age of Confusion’ in which the many conflicting factors make it hard to predict what’s next.
06-10-2022 | Video
(No) food for thought over soaring prices
(No) food for thought over soaring prices
Rising food insecurity is unsettling markets and fueling inflation.
05-10-2022 | Insight
Credit outlook: Trade and trust
Credit outlook: Trade and trust
Valuations have cheapened but this has not been broad-based enough.
28-09-2022 | Quarterly outlook
The emerging trade-off in global trade
The emerging trade-off in global trade
The multiplicity of recent shocks is shifting supply chain management away from efficiency towards resilience and sustainability.
28-09-2022 | Insight
5-year Expected Returns: The Age of Confusion
5-year Expected Returns: The Age of Confusion
Welcome to terra incognita, a new era in which the certainties that a generation of investors have grown so used to have started to crumble before our very eyes.
21-09-2022 | 5-Year outlook
Fixed income outlook: Twin peaks
Fixed income outlook: Twin peaks
In the past 50 years, every single recessionary peak in credit spreads has been preceded by a peak in government bond yields.
20-09-2022 | Insight
Finland once again the world’s sustainability champion
Finland once again the world’s sustainability champion
Finland and its Nordic neighbors maintain top sustainability status; Russia plunges.
20-09-2022 | Insight
Building back bond exposure
Building back bond exposure
The outlook for bond investing has improved.
08-09-2022 | Insight
Schrödinger’s economy – when should we open the box?
Schrödinger’s economy – when should we open the box?
Knowing the true state of the US economy will be key to assessing risks for the coming months, says multi-asset investor Colin Graham.
07-09-2022 | Monthly outlook
Nowcasting growth to enrich the factors used for government bond selection
Nowcasting growth to enrich the factors used for government bond selection
We have added a quality measure for the selection of government bonds.
31-08-2022 | Insight
Investing across deflation, inflation and stagflation
Investing across deflation, inflation and stagflation
Real returns on equities and multi-asset portfolios are typically poor when inflation is high, especially in times of stagflation.
29-08-2022 | Insight
Markets will reprice and get through this – we're almost there
Markets will reprice and get through this – we're almost there
High yield credit spreads have widened dramatically in recent months, reflecting a degree of panic.
07-07-2022 | Interview
Global Macro Outlook: The inflation game and its implications for fixed income investors
Global Macro Outlook: The inflation game and its implications for fixed income investors
The Fed raised its policy rate by 75 basis points in mid-June to temper surging inflation in the US.
07-07-2022 | Webinar
The Three Peaks Challenge: the markets’ race against time
The Three Peaks Challenge: the markets’ race against time
Inflation, interest rates and the US dollar all need to peak this year before markets calm down, says multi-asset investor Colin Graham.
07-07-2022 | Monthly outlook
Anyone for hiking this summer?
Anyone for hiking this summer?
Hiking in summer is a popular way of getting away from it all, rambling across the hills and enjoying the views.
30-06-2022 | Quarterly outlook
Credit outlook: The mess after the largesse
Credit outlook: The mess after the largesse
We have seen a very significant repricing of fixed income, but panic and volatility can also provide opportunities.
28-06-2022 | Quarterly outlook
Inflation may be more about the destination than the peak
Inflation may be more about the destination than the peak
We’re facing a highly unusual inflationary situation.
22-06-2022 | Insight
Fixed income outlook: The inflation game
Fixed income outlook: The inflation game
Central banks now face the predicament of prioritizing inflation over growth.
21-06-2022 | Insight
Podcast: Aggressive growth stocks face an uphill battle
Podcast: Aggressive growth stocks face an uphill battle
A year ago today, the scope for growth stocks – and particularly tech-related growth companies – still seemed boundless.
20-06-2022 | Podcast
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