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Insights

Central bank watcher: Fearing inflation fears
Central bank watcher: Fearing inflation fears
Worries about rising inflation expectations could constrain central banks from coming to the rescue if recession were to hit soon.
04-07-2022 | Insight
Anyone for hiking this summer?
Anyone for hiking this summer?
Hiking in summer is a popular way of getting away from it all, rambling across the hills and enjoying the views.
30-06-2022 | Quarterly outlook
Credit outlook: The mess after the largesse
Credit outlook: The mess after the largesse
We have seen a very significant repricing of fixed income, but panic and volatility can also provide opportunities.
28-06-2022 | Quarterly outlook
Fixed income outlook: The inflation game
Fixed income outlook: The inflation game
Central banks now face the predicament of prioritizing inflation over growth.
21-06-2022 | Insight
Markets are a voting machine, investing is a weighing machine
Markets are a voting machine, investing is a weighing machine
Weighing up the long view has never been more important as turbulence continues to hit markets, says multi-asset investor Colin Graham.
18-05-2022 | Insight
REITs: playing in extra time?
REITs: playing in extra time?
They’ve long been seen as defensive, since traditional bricks and mortar can usually survive any downturn.
05-05-2022 | Monthly outlook
Credit outlook: ‘If I have to make a tackle, I’ve already made a mistake’
Credit outlook: ‘If I have to make a tackle, I’ve already made a mistake’
The Fed may have made a policy mistake by starting this tightening cycle too late.
29-03-2022 | Quarterly outlook
Fixed income outlook: Czech mate
Fixed income outlook: Czech mate
We’re facing the risk of central bank policy error.
22-03-2022 | Quarterly outlook
Buying the dip? Watch out you don’t trip
Buying the dip? Watch out you don’t trip
Investors should be cautious about re-entering the stock market after the correction in January, says strategist Peter van der Welle.
08-02-2022 | Monthly outlook
Inflation fears and a more hawkish Fed spook markets
Inflation fears and a more hawkish Fed spook markets
Rising inflation that prompted the Fed to suggest faster tapering which may accelerate rate hikes has rattled markets.
08-12-2021 | Monthly outlook
Credit outlook: Imperfect information and imperfect foresight
Credit outlook: Imperfect information and imperfect foresight
With so many distorting elements at play right now, we can’t rely on economic theory for easy answers.
07-12-2021 | Quarterly outlook
Fixed income outlook: Pricing sigma
Fixed income outlook: Pricing sigma
We note several multiple sigma events across fixed income markets.
30-11-2021 | Quarterly outlook
Central banks' post-pandemic playbook
Central banks' post-pandemic playbook
Central banks have thrown the proverbial kitchen sink at their fight to mitigate the economic impact of Covid-19.
20-10-2021 | 5-Year outlook
Credit outlook: Common prosperity
Credit outlook: Common prosperity
Changing policy in China will have repercussions for the rest of the world – and for credit markets.
21-09-2021 | Quarterly outlook
Fixed income outlook: Tunnel vision
Fixed income outlook: Tunnel vision
There is plenty of evidence of herding and groupthink.
14-09-2021 | Quarterly outlook
Credit outlook: Humble
Credit outlook: Humble
It’s best to be humble about the many unknowns and distortions as economies reopen.
23-06-2021 | Quarterly outlook
Fixed income outlook: Inflation hyperventilation
Fixed income outlook: Inflation hyperventilation
Heading into H2, we still find plenty to disagree with in the prevailing market consensus.
15-06-2021 | Quarterly outlook
Credit outlook: Running the economy hot
Credit outlook: Running the economy hot
While it’s possible that credits could keep rallying, the margin for error is extremely limited.
31-03-2021 | Quarterly outlook
Podcast: No need to fear an inflationary accident – just yet
Podcast: No need to fear an inflationary accident – just yet
It’s inevitable that the forceful fiscal stimulus and exceptionally loose monetary policy currently in place will result in higher inflation.
30-03-2021 | Podcast
Fixed income outlook: Coming to America
Fixed income outlook: Coming to America
Several things are coming to America.
23-03-2021 | Quarterly outlook
The return of Term Premium
The return of Term Premium
Despite all the focus on the inflation outlook and ongoing Fed hikes, the recent sell-off in US Treasuries was actually driven to a large extent by a reawaking of the term premium.
19-11-2018 | Insight
Credit outlook: risk management is key
Credit outlook: risk management is key
The 2018 outlook on credits is cautious.
23-01-2018 | Video
Duration management is key to bond returns
Duration management is key to bond returns
Active management of bond duration can protect against any future rate rises while still generating returns if yields continue to fall, says Robeco’s Olaf Penninga.
31-03-2015 | Insight
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