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Insights

Fixed income outlook: Rising recession risk; unchanged strategy
Fixed income outlook: Rising recession risk; unchanged strategy
It seems a lot has changed in one quarter.
03-10-2019 | Quarterly outlook
Central bank watcher: to infinity and beyond
Central bank watcher: to infinity and beyond
Central banks are delivering on their easing promises, with the ECB having announced open-ended QE.
13-09-2019 | Insight
What the inverted yield curve may mean for the cycle
What the inverted yield curve may mean for the cycle
Yield curves are one of many tools for forecasting turns in the cycle.
06-09-2019 | Insight
Sometimes data revisions matter
Sometimes data revisions matter
Sometimes data revisions really matter – this is one of those times.
05-08-2019 | Insight
The Fed’s sugar rush rally
The Fed’s sugar rush rally
When the Fed starts cutting rates, it is easier to be long 2-year Treasuries than credit, says Global Macro team co-head Jamie Stuttard.
05-07-2019 | Monthly outlook
Easing does it
Easing does it
Market expectations for central bank policy rates have come down substantially, following continued weakness in global economic conditions and the rift in the trade talks between the US and China.
10-06-2019 | Insight
China and the Fed are partners for now
China and the Fed are partners for now
The data will remain bumpy and markets vulnerable.
30-04-2019 | Insight
The undercover MMT practitioner
The undercover MMT practitioner
Rarely does an economic theory get so much attention in the media.
05-04-2019 | Column
Emerging stocks could make a comeback in 2019
Emerging stocks could make a comeback in 2019
A number of factors bode well for emerging market equities this year, says investor Jeroen Blokland.
10-01-2019 | Monthly outlook
Markets see the wind taken out of their sails
Markets see the wind taken out of their sails
Markets have seen choppy waters in recent months, but four factors are positive for stocks, says strategist Peter van der Welle.
07-12-2018 | Monthly outlook
The return of Term Premium
The return of Term Premium
Despite all the focus on the inflation outlook and ongoing Fed hikes, the recent sell-off in US Treasuries was actually driven to a large extent by a reawaking of the term premium.
19-11-2018 | Insight
Democrat poll win weakens Trump’s power
Democrat poll win weakens Trump’s power
A Democrat victory in US elections is positive for markets, though a return to fiscal discipline is unlikely, says Chief Economist Léon Cornelissen.
07-11-2018 | Insight
Fed on a steady hiking path, at least for now
Fed on a steady hiking path, at least for now
At its 26 September meeting the Fed hiked rates and signaled a continuation of its gradual tightening path.
27-09-2018 | News
The mystery of the weak greenback
The mystery of the weak greenback
The surprising weakness of the US dollar continues to puzzle markets, says Robeco investor Lukas Daalder.
10-04-2018 | Monthly outlook
Watch your Term Premium!
Watch your Term Premium!
It crops up as a topic of discussion every now and again: the ‘term premium’.
09-04-2018 | Insight
US trade war could extinguish overheating
US trade war could extinguish overheating
Tariffs could unwittingly act as an antidote to US economic overheating, says Chief Economist Léon Cornelissen.
28-03-2018 | Insight
Trump’s macroeconomic poison cocktail
Trump’s macroeconomic poison cocktail
Donald Trump risks a poisonous macroeconomic cocktail by both stimulating and choking off a booming US economy, says Robeco’s Lukas Daalder.
08-03-2018 | Monthly outlook
Credit outlook: risk management is key
Credit outlook: risk management is key
The 2018 outlook on credits is cautious.
23-01-2018 | Video
Stop whining about the US yield curve
Stop whining about the US yield curve
Talk of an inverted US yield curve flagging a recession is completely misplaced, says Robeco investor Lukas Daalder.
09-01-2018 | Monthly outlook
‘New world’ bodes well for financial equities
‘New world’ bodes well for financial equities
Since the election of Trump as the next US president, investors are starting to notice the financial sector’s low valuations and are allocating more money to it.
19-01-2017 | Insight
America a melting pot of opportunity mixed with stalemate
America a melting pot of opportunity mixed with stalemate
America is a melting pot of opportunity mixed in with political stalemate that will give its new president a difficult path to steer, says Chief Economist Léon Cornelissen.
17-10-2016 | Insight
Helicopter money flies into view
Helicopter money flies into view
Helicopter money is moving onto central banks’ radar as they run out of ammunition to stimulate economies, says Robeco’s Lukas Daalder.
07-03-2016 | Monthly outlook
Are all low vol stocks really that sensitive to interest rate risk?
Are all low vol stocks really that sensitive to interest rate risk?
Investors are still awaiting the first rate hike by the Federal Reserve since June 2006.
11-11-2015 | Insight
Duration management is key to bond returns
Duration management is key to bond returns
Active management of bond duration can protect against any future rate rises while still generating returns if yields continue to fall, says Robeco’s Olaf Penninga.
31-03-2015 | Insight

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