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Insights

Central bank watcher: Liquidity preference
Central bank watcher: Liquidity preference
The key central banks have a preference for injecting liquidity rather than further interest rate cuts.
24-01-2020 | Insight
Fixed income outlook: Upside bounce, downside risks
Fixed income outlook: Upside bounce, downside risks
Fixed income returns have been excellent in 2019.
06-01-2020 | Quarterly outlook
Recalled to Life: Finding the right bonds for recovery
Recalled to Life: Finding the right bonds for recovery
Global growth has slowed for two years, at some point trends will bottom out.
19-12-2019 | Yearly outlook
Credit outlook: There is no average
Credit outlook: There is no average
There is a bid for safety in credit markets, but a need for yield.
10-12-2019 | Quarterly outlook
Measuring credit risk with Duration Times Spread
Measuring credit risk with Duration Times Spread
Accurately measuring credit risk is a significant challenge for credit investors.
10-12-2019 | Insight
The Night Shadows: Investing in fixed income if recession hits
The Night Shadows: Investing in fixed income if recession hits
We live in a world of inverted yield curves, contracting business surveys, global trade, and falling earnings and CEO confidence.
28-11-2019 | Yearly outlook
Lower credit risk observed in sectors that are positively aligned with the SDGs
Lower credit risk observed in sectors that are positively aligned with the SDGs
Our analysis of historical performance data confirms what we see in practice.
07-11-2019 | Insight
Refining the inclusion of views in portfolio construction
Refining the inclusion of views in portfolio construction
Taking investors’ views into account when building portfolios is difficult but essential, says Roderick Molenaar.
09-10-2019 | 5-Year outlook
Fixed income outlook: Rising recession risk; unchanged strategy
Fixed income outlook: Rising recession risk; unchanged strategy
It seems a lot has changed in one quarter.
03-10-2019 | Quarterly outlook
Paving the way for unconventional policy
Paving the way for unconventional policy
Policy makers will turn to unconventional fiscal policy to deal with the next recession, says strategist Peter van der Welle.
02-10-2019 | 5-Year outlook
5-year Expected Returns: Escaping the hall of mirrors
5-year Expected Returns: Escaping the hall of mirrors
This year’s theme of our 5-year outlook, ‘Escaping the hall of mirrors’, is inspired by the peculiar conditions investors face in today’s financial markets.
01-10-2019 | 5-Year outlook
An empirical test of factors in the unchartered waters of EM credits
An empirical test of factors in the unchartered waters of EM credits
credit markets have seen tremendous growth over the past two decades.
30-09-2019 | Research
Credit outlook: Search for yield versus lurch to protectionism
Credit outlook: Search for yield versus lurch to protectionism
We are still convinced that we are approaching the end of the cycle, and continue to advocate a defensive positioning.
25-09-2019 | Quarterly outlook
What the inverted yield curve may mean for the cycle
What the inverted yield curve may mean for the cycle
Yield curves are one of many tools for forecasting turns in the cycle.
06-09-2019 | Insight
We’re developing factor-based alternatives to passive fixed income
We’re developing factor-based alternatives to passive fixed income
Quantitative investing in fixed income markets has slowly but surely gained traction in recent years.
21-08-2019 | Insight
European banks: Go for debt
European banks: Go for debt
Despite earnings compression, the creditworthiness of European banks appears intact.
07-08-2019 | Insight
Negative yields are becoming the new normal
Negative yields are becoming the new normal
The ECB has adopted a long-term negative interest rate policy.
06-08-2019 | Insight
Sometimes data revisions matter
Sometimes data revisions matter
Sometimes data revisions really matter – this is one of those times.
05-08-2019 | Insight
Fixed income outlook: More repression to avoid recession
Fixed income outlook: More repression to avoid recession
Fighting the Fed or ECB has been a losing game over the past decade.
10-07-2019 | Quarterly outlook
The Fed’s sugar rush rally
The Fed’s sugar rush rally
When the Fed starts cutting rates, it is easier to be long 2-year Treasuries than credit, says Global Macro team co-head Jamie Stuttard.
05-07-2019 | Monthly outlook
Credit outlook: Be smart, quick and lucky
Credit outlook: Be smart, quick and lucky
We are skeptical of the idea that central banks are infallible.
27-06-2019 | Quarterly outlook
Duration Times Spread: a measure of spread exposure in credit portfolios
Duration Times Spread: a measure of spread exposure in credit portfolios
Duration Times Spread (DTS) is the market standard method for measuring the credit volatility of a corporate bond.
22-06-2019 | Research
Easing does it
Easing does it
Market expectations for central bank policy rates have come down substantially, following continued weakness in global economic conditions and the rift in the trade talks between the US and China.
10-06-2019 | Insight
Factor investing works for bond portfolios, too
Factor investing works for bond portfolios, too
Bond portfolios with significant exposure to the value, momentum and low risk factors generate returns that consistently outperform the index.
04-06-2019 | Insight
There’s no need to fear yield curve inversions
There’s no need to fear yield curve inversions
Inverted yield curves may famously herald recessions, but they do not harm market returns that much, says multi-asset investor Jeroen Blokland.
08-05-2019 | Monthly outlook
China and the Fed are partners for now
China and the Fed are partners for now
The data will remain bumpy and markets vulnerable.
30-04-2019 | Insight
Enabling insurers to achieve capital-efficient returns
Enabling insurers to achieve capital-efficient returns
The majority of assets owned by insurers are invested in investment grade fixed income.
11-04-2019 | Insight
The undercover MMT practitioner
The undercover MMT practitioner
Rarely does an economic theory get so much attention in the media.
05-04-2019 | Column
Credit outlook: Dead cat bounce
Credit outlook: Dead cat bounce
04-04-2019 | Quarterly outlook
Active duration management shines as bond markets jitter
Active duration management shines as bond markets jitter
Robeco’s Dynamic Duration strategies lived up to their promise in 2018.
05-03-2019 | Insight
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