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Insights

Central bank watcher: Liquidity preference
Central bank watcher: Liquidity preference
The key central banks have a preference for injecting liquidity rather than further interest rate cuts.
24-01-2020 | Insight
Fixed income outlook: Upside bounce, downside risks
Fixed income outlook: Upside bounce, downside risks
Fixed income returns have been excellent in 2019.
06-01-2020 | Quarterly outlook
Podcast: Why contributing to the SDGs is a do or die
Podcast: Why contributing to the SDGs is a do or die
If investors ignore the challenges the SDGs represent, future growth will be much lower and much more erratic than it has been in the past.
06-01-2020 | Podcast
Recalled to Life: Finding the right bonds for recovery
Recalled to Life: Finding the right bonds for recovery
Global growth has slowed for two years, at some point trends will bottom out.
19-12-2019 | Yearly outlook
Credit outlook: There is no average
Credit outlook: There is no average
There is a bid for safety in credit markets, but a need for yield.
10-12-2019 | Quarterly outlook
Measuring credit risk with Duration Times Spread
Measuring credit risk with Duration Times Spread
Accurately measuring credit risk is a significant challenge for credit investors.
10-12-2019 | Insight
Scenario analysis confirms need for defensive credit market positioning
Scenario analysis confirms need for defensive credit market positioning
Our analysis of spread markets suggests the most likely scenario in coming months is that of low growth and low inflation.
03-12-2019 | Insight
The Night Shadows: Investing in fixed income if recession hits
The Night Shadows: Investing in fixed income if recession hits
We live in a world of inverted yield curves, contracting business surveys, global trade, and falling earnings and CEO confidence.
28-11-2019 | Yearly outlook
Outlook 2020: A Tale of Two Scenarios
Outlook 2020: A Tale of Two Scenarios
This year’s annual outlook is inspired by Charles Dickens’ A Tale of Two Cities.
12-11-2019 | Yearly outlook
Buy-and-maintain credit: sustainability matters
Buy-and-maintain credit: sustainability matters
Sustainable investing is designed to sort future-proof companies from those that are not.
12-11-2019 | Insight
Lower credit risk observed in sectors that are positively aligned with the SDGs
Lower credit risk observed in sectors that are positively aligned with the SDGs
Our analysis of historical performance data confirms what we see in practice.
07-11-2019 | Insight
Five reasons to invest in fintech
Five reasons to invest in fintech
The growing trend for cashless payments is causing huge demand for the financial technology that powers it – fintech.
28-10-2019 | Insight
Next in fintech: ecosystem enablers
Next in fintech: ecosystem enablers
The boom in fintech and digital payments continues unabated.
22-10-2019 | Insight
Refining the inclusion of views in portfolio construction
Refining the inclusion of views in portfolio construction
Taking investors’ views into account when building portfolios is difficult but essential, says Roderick Molenaar.
09-10-2019 | 5-Year outlook
Fixed income outlook: Rising recession risk; unchanged strategy
Fixed income outlook: Rising recession risk; unchanged strategy
It seems a lot has changed in one quarter.
03-10-2019 | Quarterly outlook
An empirical test of factors in the unchartered waters of EM credits
An empirical test of factors in the unchartered waters of EM credits
credit markets have seen tremendous growth over the past two decades.
30-09-2019 | Research
Credit outlook: Search for yield versus lurch to protectionism
Credit outlook: Search for yield versus lurch to protectionism
We are still convinced that we are approaching the end of the cycle, and continue to advocate a defensive positioning.
25-09-2019 | Quarterly outlook
Webinar: Getting alpha out of SDG Credit Investing
Webinar: Getting alpha out of SDG Credit Investing
In this episode of our webinar series, we look at how the SDGs fit into credit portfolios.
10-09-2019 | Webinar
What the inverted yield curve may mean for the cycle
What the inverted yield curve may mean for the cycle
Yield curves are one of many tools for forecasting turns in the cycle.
06-09-2019 | Insight
We’re developing factor-based alternatives to passive fixed income
We’re developing factor-based alternatives to passive fixed income
Quantitative investing in fixed income markets has slowly but surely gained traction in recent years.
21-08-2019 | Insight
European banks: Go for debt
European banks: Go for debt
Despite earnings compression, the creditworthiness of European banks appears intact.
07-08-2019 | Insight
Negative yields are becoming the new normal
Negative yields are becoming the new normal
The ECB has adopted a long-term negative interest rate policy.
06-08-2019 | Insight
Steering change: sustainable automotive credit
Steering change: sustainable automotive credit
The automotive industry still relies heavily on old-school business models and dirty technology.
18-07-2019 | Insight
Fixed income outlook: More repression to avoid recession
Fixed income outlook: More repression to avoid recession
Fighting the Fed or ECB has been a losing game over the past decade.
10-07-2019 | Quarterly outlook
The Fed’s sugar rush rally
The Fed’s sugar rush rally
When the Fed starts cutting rates, it is easier to be long 2-year Treasuries than credit, says Global Macro team co-head Jamie Stuttard.
05-07-2019 | Monthly outlook
Credit outlook: Be smart, quick and lucky
Credit outlook: Be smart, quick and lucky
We are skeptical of the idea that central banks are infallible.
27-06-2019 | Quarterly outlook
Duration Times Spread: a measure of spread exposure in credit portfolios
Duration Times Spread: a measure of spread exposure in credit portfolios
Duration Times Spread (DTS) is the market standard method for measuring the credit volatility of a corporate bond.
22-06-2019 | Research
How to invest in SDGs
How to invest in SDGs
It is estimated that the SDGs could unlock up to USD 12 trillion in market opportunities.
18-06-2019 | Video
Using the SDGs to judge corporate sustainability
Using the SDGs to judge corporate sustainability
The Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) can be used to assess whether companies are fit to serve society, says analyst Michael van der Meer.
22-05-2019 | Insight
China and the Fed are partners for now
China and the Fed are partners for now
The data will remain bumpy and markets vulnerable.
30-04-2019 | Insight
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