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Insights

Central bank watcher: Liquidity preference
Central bank watcher: Liquidity preference
The key central banks have a preference for injecting liquidity rather than further interest rate cuts.
24-01-2020 | Insight
Podcast: Why contributing to the SDGs is a do or die
Podcast: Why contributing to the SDGs is a do or die
If investors ignore the challenges the SDGs represent, future growth will be much lower and much more erratic than it has been in the past.
06-01-2020 | Podcast
Recalled to Life: Finding the right bonds for recovery
Recalled to Life: Finding the right bonds for recovery
Global growth has slowed for two years, at some point trends will bottom out.
19-12-2019 | Yearly outlook
Credit outlook: There is no average
Credit outlook: There is no average
There is a bid for safety in credit markets, but a need for yield.
10-12-2019 | Quarterly outlook
Measuring credit risk with Duration Times Spread
Measuring credit risk with Duration Times Spread
Accurately measuring credit risk is a significant challenge for credit investors.
10-12-2019 | Insight
Scenario analysis confirms need for defensive credit market positioning
Scenario analysis confirms need for defensive credit market positioning
Our analysis of spread markets suggests the most likely scenario in coming months is that of low growth and low inflation.
03-12-2019 | Insight
The Night Shadows: Investing in fixed income if recession hits
The Night Shadows: Investing in fixed income if recession hits
We live in a world of inverted yield curves, contracting business surveys, global trade, and falling earnings and CEO confidence.
28-11-2019 | Yearly outlook
Outlook 2020: A Tale of Two Scenarios
Outlook 2020: A Tale of Two Scenarios
This year’s annual outlook is inspired by Charles Dickens’ A Tale of Two Cities.
12-11-2019 | Yearly outlook
Buy-and-maintain credit: sustainability matters
Buy-and-maintain credit: sustainability matters
Sustainable investing is designed to sort future-proof companies from those that are not.
12-11-2019 | Insight
Lower credit risk observed in sectors that are positively aligned with the SDGs
Lower credit risk observed in sectors that are positively aligned with the SDGs
Our analysis of historical performance data confirms what we see in practice.
07-11-2019 | Insight
An empirical test of factors in the unchartered waters of EM credits
An empirical test of factors in the unchartered waters of EM credits
credit markets have seen tremendous growth over the past two decades.
30-09-2019 | Research
Credit outlook: Search for yield versus lurch to protectionism
Credit outlook: Search for yield versus lurch to protectionism
We are still convinced that we are approaching the end of the cycle, and continue to advocate a defensive positioning.
25-09-2019 | Quarterly outlook
Webinar: Getting alpha out of SDG Credit Investing
Webinar: Getting alpha out of SDG Credit Investing
In this episode of our webinar series, we look at how the SDGs fit into credit portfolios.
10-09-2019 | Webinar
What the inverted yield curve may mean for the cycle
What the inverted yield curve may mean for the cycle
Yield curves are one of many tools for forecasting turns in the cycle.
06-09-2019 | Insight
European banks: Go for debt
European banks: Go for debt
Despite earnings compression, the creditworthiness of European banks appears intact.
07-08-2019 | Insight
Steering change: sustainable automotive credit
Steering change: sustainable automotive credit
The automotive industry still relies heavily on old-school business models and dirty technology.
18-07-2019 | Insight
The Fed’s sugar rush rally
The Fed’s sugar rush rally
When the Fed starts cutting rates, it is easier to be long 2-year Treasuries than credit, says Global Macro team co-head Jamie Stuttard.
05-07-2019 | Monthly outlook
Credit outlook: Be smart, quick and lucky
Credit outlook: Be smart, quick and lucky
We are skeptical of the idea that central banks are infallible.
27-06-2019 | Quarterly outlook
Duration Times Spread: a measure of spread exposure in credit portfolios
Duration Times Spread: a measure of spread exposure in credit portfolios
Duration Times Spread (DTS) is the market standard method for measuring the credit volatility of a corporate bond.
22-06-2019 | Research
How to invest in SDGs
How to invest in SDGs
It is estimated that the SDGs could unlock up to USD 12 trillion in market opportunities.
18-06-2019 | Video
Using the SDGs to judge corporate sustainability
Using the SDGs to judge corporate sustainability
The Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) can be used to assess whether companies are fit to serve society, says analyst Michael van der Meer.
22-05-2019 | Insight
Our guide to investing in SDG credits
Our guide to investing in SDG credits
The UN’s Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) have captured the imagination as a great way of impact investing.
29-04-2019 | Insight
Enabling insurers to achieve capital-efficient returns
Enabling insurers to achieve capital-efficient returns
The majority of assets owned by insurers are invested in investment grade fixed income.
11-04-2019 | Insight
Credit outlook: Dead cat bounce
Credit outlook: Dead cat bounce
04-04-2019 | Quarterly outlook
Investing in the SDGs to tackle snake bites
Investing in the SDGs to tackle snake bites
How many people do you think die from snake bites?
11-03-2019 | Stunning statistics
Credit outlook: The emperor is naked
Credit outlook: The emperor is naked
Despite our repeated concerns about high corporate leverage and too much risk appetite, it is only now that credit markets are beginning to react to the global economic slowdown, and the next recession is being openly discussed.
20-12-2018 | Quarterly outlook
It’s not all black and white when it comes to SDGs
It’s not all black and white when it comes to SDGs
Measuring a company’s contribution to the UN SDGs is not that straightforward.
12-12-2018 | Insight
Data sets – factor investing in corporate bonds
Data sets – factor investing in corporate bonds
A research-driven approach is at the core of everything we do.
10-12-2018 | Data sets
Miners face rising environmental liabilities
Miners face rising environmental liabilities
Environmental costs are becoming an ever-increasing burden for mining companies, a study shows.
04-12-2018 | Insight
Multi-factor bonds: an alternative to passive fixed income
Multi-factor bonds: an alternative to passive fixed income
A growing number of investors are implementing their fixed income strategies through passive Exchange Traded funds (ETFs).
28-11-2018 | Insight
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