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Insights

US elections: weighing the odds
US elections: weighing the odds
The 2020 US Elections have entered the final straight.
20-10-2020 | Insight
Fixed income outlook: The autumn cluster
Fixed income outlook: The autumn cluster
A cluster of high volatility events will be taking place in the next six weeks.
09-10-2020 | Insight
Credit outlook: Markets already have the vaccine
Credit outlook: Markets already have the vaccine
The world is waiting for a vaccine that will enable us to return to our normal lives.
29-09-2020 | Insight
Fixed income outlook: Rising waves
Fixed income outlook: Rising waves
The latest wave of market euphoria prompts us to take profit and adopt a patient stance.
08-07-2020 | Insight
Credit outlook: The rules have changed
Credit outlook: The rules have changed
The ‘common enemy’ elicited a massive unconventional, coordinated series of stimulus by policy makers.
24-06-2020 | Insight
Fixed income outlook: The Covid shock and the Baa recovery
Fixed income outlook: The Covid shock and the Baa recovery
Fixed income opportunities are shifting swiftly away from safe-haven government bonds towards credit.
01-04-2020 | Quarterly outlook
Credit outlook: ‘The common enemy’ – video
Credit outlook: ‘The common enemy’ – video
Only three times since the 1930s have credit spreads been at current or better levels.
26-03-2020 | Video
Credit outlook: 'The common enemy'
Credit outlook: 'The common enemy'
Spreads have moved from historically narrow levels straight to recessionary wides.
24-03-2020 | Quarterly outlook
Market update: what now, what next?
Market update: what now, what next?
While it is never fun to be in the midst of a market meltdown, we have learned that this is a good time to be long-term, active investors.
16-03-2020 | Insight
Market update: Is it time to buy?
Market update: Is it time to buy?
Jamie Stuttard and Fabiana Fedeli discuss the market turbulence caused by the coronavirus outbreak and falling oil prices.
12-03-2020 | Video
Fixed income outlook: Upside bounce, downside risks
Fixed income outlook: Upside bounce, downside risks
Fixed income returns have been excellent in 2019.
06-01-2020 | Quarterly outlook
Recalled to Life: Finding the right bonds for recovery
Recalled to Life: Finding the right bonds for recovery
Global growth has slowed for two years, at some point trends will bottom out.
19-12-2019 | Yearly outlook
Credit outlook: There is no average
Credit outlook: There is no average
There is a bid for safety in credit markets, but a need for yield.
10-12-2019 | Quarterly outlook
The Night Shadows: Investing in fixed income if recession hits
The Night Shadows: Investing in fixed income if recession hits
We live in a world of inverted yield curves, contracting business surveys, global trade, and falling earnings and CEO confidence.
28-11-2019 | Yearly outlook
Outlook 2020: A Tale of Two Scenarios
Outlook 2020: A Tale of Two Scenarios
This year’s annual outlook is inspired by Charles Dickens’ A Tale of Two Cities.
12-11-2019 | Yearly outlook
Fixed income outlook: Rising recession risk; unchanged strategy
Fixed income outlook: Rising recession risk; unchanged strategy
It seems a lot has changed in one quarter.
03-10-2019 | Quarterly outlook
Credit outlook: Search for yield versus lurch to protectionism
Credit outlook: Search for yield versus lurch to protectionism
We are still convinced that we are approaching the end of the cycle, and continue to advocate a defensive positioning.
25-09-2019 | Quarterly outlook
What the inverted yield curve may mean for the cycle
What the inverted yield curve may mean for the cycle
Yield curves are one of many tools for forecasting turns in the cycle.
06-09-2019 | Insight
The Fed’s sugar rush rally
The Fed’s sugar rush rally
When the Fed starts cutting rates, it is easier to be long 2-year Treasuries than credit, says Global Macro team co-head Jamie Stuttard.
05-07-2019 | Monthly outlook
Credit outlook: Be smart, quick and lucky
Credit outlook: Be smart, quick and lucky
We are skeptical of the idea that central banks are infallible.
27-06-2019 | Quarterly outlook
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