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Insights

Fixed income outlook: Tunnel vision
Fixed income outlook: Tunnel vision
There is plenty of evidence of herding and groupthink.
14-09-2021 | Insight
Fixed income outlook: Inflation hyperventilation
Fixed income outlook: Inflation hyperventilation
Heading into H2, we still find plenty to disagree with in the prevailing market consensus.
15-06-2021 | Insight
Fixed income outlook: Coming to America
Fixed income outlook: Coming to America
Several things are coming to America.
23-03-2021 | Insight
Credit outlook: TINA is still singing
Credit outlook: TINA is still singing
Markets are pricing for the best possible outcome.
17-12-2020 | Quarterly outlook
Fixed income outlook: Just another range trade
Fixed income outlook: Just another range trade
Markets participants, often overly focused on cyclical and economic factors, may need to take a broader perspective.
08-12-2020 | Insight
US elections: weighing the odds
US elections: weighing the odds
The 2020 US Elections have entered the final straight.
20-10-2020 | Insight
Fixed income outlook: The autumn cluster
Fixed income outlook: The autumn cluster
A cluster of high volatility events will be taking place in the next six weeks.
09-10-2020 | Insight
Credit outlook: Markets already have the vaccine
Credit outlook: Markets already have the vaccine
The world is waiting for a vaccine that will enable us to return to our normal lives.
29-09-2020 | Quarterly outlook
Fixed income outlook: Rising waves
Fixed income outlook: Rising waves
The latest wave of market euphoria prompts us to take profit and adopt a patient stance.
08-07-2020 | Insight
Credit outlook: The rules have changed
Credit outlook: The rules have changed
The ‘common enemy’ elicited a massive unconventional, coordinated series of stimulus by policy makers.
24-06-2020 | Quarterly outlook
Fixed income outlook: The Covid shock and the Baa recovery
Fixed income outlook: The Covid shock and the Baa recovery
Fixed income opportunities are shifting swiftly away from safe-haven government bonds towards credit.
01-04-2020 | Quarterly outlook
Credit outlook: ‘The common enemy’ – video
Credit outlook: ‘The common enemy’ – video
Only three times since the 1930s have credit spreads been at current or better levels.
26-03-2020 | Webinar
Credit outlook: 'The common enemy'
Credit outlook: 'The common enemy'
Spreads have moved from historically narrow levels straight to recessionary wides.
24-03-2020 | Quarterly outlook
Fixed income outlook: Upside bounce, downside risks
Fixed income outlook: Upside bounce, downside risks
Fixed income returns have been excellent in 2019.
06-01-2020 | Quarterly outlook
Recalled to Life: Finding the right bonds for recovery
Recalled to Life: Finding the right bonds for recovery
Global growth has slowed for two years, at some point trends will bottom out.
19-12-2019 | Yearly outlook
Credit outlook: There is no average
Credit outlook: There is no average
There is a bid for safety in credit markets, but a need for yield.
10-12-2019 | Quarterly outlook
The Night Shadows: Investing in fixed income if recession hits
The Night Shadows: Investing in fixed income if recession hits
We live in a world of inverted yield curves, contracting business surveys, global trade, and falling earnings and CEO confidence.
28-11-2019 | Yearly outlook
Outlook 2020: A Tale of Two Scenarios
Outlook 2020: A Tale of Two Scenarios
This year’s annual outlook is inspired by Charles Dickens’ A Tale of Two Cities.
12-11-2019 | Yearly outlook
What the inverted yield curve may mean for the cycle
What the inverted yield curve may mean for the cycle
Yield curves are one of many tools for forecasting turns in the cycle.
06-09-2019 | Insight
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