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Based on transaction prices, the fund's return was -1.48%. The fund had overweight duration positions in all three regions during the month; the overweight positions in Germany and the US were closed towards the end of the month. These active positions detracted from the performance as yields increased. All active duration positions are based on the outcomes of our quantitative duration model.
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Government bonds posted negative returns in October, reflecting more constructive news on China-US trade talks and a more positive view on Brexit developments. German Bunds were down -1.5% on the month, US Treasuries -0.2% and Japanese JGBs lost -0.5%. The October ECB meeting brought little news, apart from comments on capital key rules, which stipulate the division of government bond purchases across countries, suggesting some flexibility to buy more periphery debt. The FOMC’s decision to cut rates and give a neutral guidance was in line with expectations and had only a modest impact on bond prices.
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All currency risks are hedged.
Robeco QI Global Dynamic Duration makes use of derivatives in order to implement the duration overlay. In addition, derivatives are used to hedge the currency risks of the portfolio. These derivatives are very liquid.
All income earned will be accumulated and will in principle not be distributed as dividend. Therefore the entire result is reflected in the share price development.
For Robeco QI Global Dynamic Duration the investment universe and the type of investments are such that it is not feasible to implement the ESG factors into the investment processes.
Robeco QI Global Dynamic Duration invests worldwide in government bonds with investment grade quality. The fund uses bond futures to adjust the duration (interest-rate sensitivity) of the portfolio. Duration positioning is based on our proprietary duration model, which predicts the direction of the bond markets using financial market data. The aim of the fund is to protect against rising yields and to benefit from rallying bond markets. The fund is quantitatively driven, as the duration positioning is always based on the outcome of our duration model. The model uses market expectations for variables such as economic growth, inflation and monetary policy, as well as technical variables such as valuation, seasonality and trend to predict the direction of bond markets. Depending on the outcome of the model, the duration of the basis portfolio is increased or decreased by maximum 6 years. The model has shown a solid track record since its inception in 1994. The quantitative duration has proven to have forecasting ability in periods with rising yields as well as in periods with declining yields. Therefore Robeco QI Global Dynamic Duration serves as a very good diversifier in a fixed income portfolio and can function as an airbag during adverse markets.Weekly positioning updates are available upon request.
Risk management systems continuously monitor the extent to which the portfolio differs from the benchmark. Extreme discrepancies are prevented in this way. The duration model makes use of futures, which can lead to leverage.
The fund's duration policy is fully driven by the outcomes of our proprietary quantitative duration model. End of October, the model’s bond market outlook was negative for Germany as growth and trend point to higher yields. The model’s outlook was neutral for the US as the supportive monetary policy variable offsets the negatives. For Japan, the outlook was positive, mainly driven by the positive valuation variable.
Olaf Penninga is Lead Portfolio Manager for the Dynamic Duration strategy and Portfolio Manager for the Dynamic High Yield strategy. He has been Portfolio Manager for the Dynamic Duration strategy since 2005 and Lead Portfolio Manager since 2011. One of his previous positions within Robeco was that of Researcher with responsibility for fixed income allocation research, including the research underlying the Dynamic Duration strategy. Olaf was employed by Interpolis as Investment Econometrician for one year before returning to Robeco in 2003. He started his career in the industry in 1998 at Robeco. He holds a Master's in Mathematics (cum laude) from Leiden University.
Robeco QI Global Dynamic Duration is managed within Robeco’s Quant Allocation team, which consists of six portfolio managers. The team is focused on quantitative allocation strategies including quantitative duration strategies. The team works closely together with fundamental portfolio management teams and with seven dedicated quant allocation researchers. On average, the members of the quant allocation team have an experience in the asset management industry of eighteen years, of which fourteen years with Robeco.
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ISIN | LU0239949414 |
Bloomberg | RGLUXUD LX |
Valoren | 2387370 |
WKN | A0H0UP |
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1st quotation date | 1136160000000 |
Close financial year | 31-12 |
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The fund is established in Luxembourg and is subject to the Luxembourg tax laws and regulations. The fund is not liable to pay any corporation, income, dividend or capital gains tax in Luxembourg. The fund is subject to an annual subscription tax ('tax d'abonnement') in Luxembourg, which amounts to 0.05% of the net asset value of the fund. This tax is included in the net asset value of the fund. The fund can in principle use the Luxembourg treaty network to partially recover any withholding tax on its income.
The fiscal consequences of investing in this fund depend on the investor's personal situation. For private investors in the Netherlands real interest and dividend income or capital gains received on their investments are not relevant for tax purposes. Each year investors pay income tax on the value of their net assets as at 1 January if and inasmuch as such net assets exceed the investor’s tax-free allowance. Any amount invested in the fund forms part of the investor's net assets. Private investors who are resident outside the Netherlands will not be taxed in the Netherlands on their investments in the fund. However, such investors may be taxed in their country of residence on any income from an investment in this fund based on the applicable national fiscal laws. Other fiscal rules apply to legal entities or professional investors. We advise investors to consult their financial or tax adviser about the tax consequences of an investment in this fund in their specific circumstances before deciding to invest in the fund.
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