belgiumfr
Turbulence ahead

Turbulence ahead

Investment outlook 2019
Download the full publication

The bull market has caused a number of noticeable divergences within asset classes. We highlight some of them in this outlook, as we think they will offer good investment opportunities in 2019.


  • Growthversusvalue stocks

  • Developedversusemerging markets

  • USversusthe rest of the world

In an environment where the economic outlook looks promising, the warning ‘turbulence ahead’ seems out of place. But we see clouds on the horizon, including:

  • Fed rate hiking
  • Trade wars
  • Mounting inflationary risks

We don’t expect them to derail the economy just yet, as growth is still too strong. But we do expect concerns to grow as time progresses.

In this outlook we look at the implications for the major asset classes, as well as the opportunities these ‘clouds’ represent.
Peter van der Welle, strategist

The bright economic picture is expected to be overshadowed by concerns that this long bull market will soon end. Fueling these fears are issues such as rising interest rates, protectionism, Italy and Brexit. Investors would be well-advised to prepare for these concerns becoming reality.

Peter van der Welle, strategist

Special themes

Ten things that might move the markets in 2019

Special themes

Ten things that might move the markets in 2019

Positioning for a shift towards value stocks
Positioning for a shift towards value stocks
We think now is a very good time for investors to introduce value stocks to their portfolios.
20-11-2018 | Vision
Two European headaches: Brexit and Italy
Two European headaches: Brexit and Italy
Drawing a line under both of these situations will help European equities deliver improved relative performance within a global equity portfolio, and banks will play a key role in this.
06-12-2018 | Vision
Leveraging new technologies in finance
Leveraging new technologies in finance
We currently see a number of specific developments that make fintech an interesting investment theme for next year.
27-11-2018 | Vision
Electric vehicles coming of age
Electric vehicles coming of age
In the coming years, the global automotive industry will go through its most radical change as vehicle electrification and changing consumer preferences challenge existing business models.
13-12-2018 | Vision
Blokland’s daily sketch
Blokland’s daily sketch

Hostage

21-10-2020 | Daily sketch
US elections: weighing the odds
US elections: weighing the odds
The 2020 US Elections have entered the final straight.
20-10-2020 | Vision
Restoring the battered Value factor in equities
Restoring the battered Value factor in equities
The recent dreadful performance of the academic Value equity factor has been a blow for many investors.
20-10-2020 | Vision
Central bank watcher: The great repression
Central bank watcher: The great repression
Monetary authorities are likely to continue repressing sovereign borrowing costs well below the nominal rate of economic growth, for years to come.
19-10-2020 | Vision

Leave your details and download the full 2019 investment outlook

This report is not available to users, such as US persons, from countries in which the offering of foreign financial services is not permitted.

Your details will not be shared with third parties. This information is intended exclusively for professional investors. All requests are checked.

Logo

Décharge légale Agree

Les informations présentes sur ce site Web sont destinées exclusivement aux professionnels. Un investisseur professionnel est : un investisseur qui, à titre professionnel, dispose d'assez de connaissances et d'une expertise et d'une expérience suffisantes pour pouvoir évaluer de manière adéquate les risques financiers liés aux décisions d'investissement prises par lui-même.

Les visiteurs de ce site Web doivent être conscients du fait qu’ils sont eux-mêmes tenus de respecter toutes les lois et règlements en vigueur dans leur pays.

En cliquant sur J'accepte, vous confirmez que vous êtes un investisseur professionnel. Si vous cliquez sur Je n'accepte pas, vous êtes orienté vers la partie réservée aux particuliers.

Je n’accepte pas