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Insights

The Night Shadows: Investing in fixed income if recession hits
The Night Shadows: Investing in fixed income if recession hits
We live in a world of inverted yield curves, contracting business surveys, global trade, and falling earnings and CEO confidence.
28-11-2019 | Yearly outlook
Paving the way for unconventional policy
Paving the way for unconventional policy
Policy makers will turn to unconventional fiscal policy to deal with the next recession, says strategist Peter van der Welle.
02-10-2019 | 5-Year outlook
5-year Expected Returns: Escaping the hall of mirrors
5-year Expected Returns: Escaping the hall of mirrors
This year’s theme of our 5-year outlook, ‘Escaping the hall of mirrors’, is inspired by the peculiar conditions investors face in today’s financial markets.
01-10-2019 | 5-Year outlook
Fixed income outlook: More repression to avoid recession
Fixed income outlook: More repression to avoid recession
Fighting the Fed or ECB has been a losing game over the past decade.
10-07-2019 | Quarterly outlook
The Fed’s sugar rush rally
The Fed’s sugar rush rally
When the Fed starts cutting rates, it is easier to be long 2-year Treasuries than credit, says Global Macro team co-head Jamie Stuttard.
05-07-2019 | Monthly outlook
Factor investing works for bond portfolios, too
Factor investing works for bond portfolios, too
Bond portfolios with significant exposure to the value, momentum and low risk factors generate returns that consistently outperform the index.
04-06-2019 | Insight
There’s no need to fear yield curve inversions
There’s no need to fear yield curve inversions
Inverted yield curves may famously herald recessions, but they do not harm market returns that much, says multi-asset investor Jeroen Blokland.
08-05-2019 | Monthly outlook
Recession indicators are overrated for stock returns
Recession indicators are overrated for stock returns
Investors should beware of trying to use asset values to forecast recessions, says portfolio manager Jeroen Blokland.
08-02-2019 | Monthly outlook
In denial, but for how long?
In denial, but for how long?
In our latest Central Bank Watcher, we examine the policy and actions of the world’s major central banks.
11-01-2019 | Insight
It’s late cycle but not end cycle
It’s late cycle but not end cycle
Markets continue to be weak and volatile, while growth expectations are depressed globally.
10-01-2019 | Quarterly outlook
Multi Factor Absolute Return: sustainable diversifier
Multi Factor Absolute Return: sustainable diversifier
13-12-2018 | Insight
Multi-factor bonds: an alternative to passive fixed income
Multi-factor bonds: an alternative to passive fixed income
A growing number of investors are implementing their fixed income strategies through passive Exchange Traded funds (ETFs).
28-11-2018 | Insight
The return of Term Premium
The return of Term Premium
Despite all the focus on the inflation outlook and ongoing Fed hikes, the recent sell-off in US Treasuries was actually driven to a large extent by a reawaking of the term premium.
19-11-2018 | Insight
Outlook 2019: Turbulence ahead
Outlook 2019: Turbulence ahead
Next year we expect the markets to have two faces.
08-11-2018 | Insight
Democrat poll win weakens Trump’s power
Democrat poll win weakens Trump’s power
A Democrat victory in US elections is positive for markets, though a return to fiscal discipline is unlikely, says Chief Economist Léon Cornelissen.
07-11-2018 | Insight
Tightening in tougher conditions
Tightening in tougher conditions
In our new Central Bank Watcher, we examine the policy and actions of the world’s major central banks (Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, People’s Bank of China and the Bank of Japan).
30-10-2018 | Insight
All roads lead to Rome but few lead to Italian debt sustainability
All roads lead to Rome but few lead to Italian debt sustainability
It was a warning made two and a half centuries ago – but it has stood the test of time.
29-10-2018 | 5-Year outlook
Beware the monetary tide is turning
Beware the monetary tide is turning
Tighter dollar liquidity and a trade war that is fast becoming a deeper economic struggle will continue to affect markets.
24-10-2018 | Quarterly outlook
Fed on a steady hiking path, at least for now
Fed on a steady hiking path, at least for now
At its 26 September meeting the Fed hiked rates and signaled a continuation of its gradual tightening path.
27-09-2018 | News
Fact or fiction: SI only works with equities
Fact or fiction: SI only works with equities
Hundreds of investors are convinced that sustainable investing offers a better way of buying equities.
16-07-2018 | Insight
The doomsday myth of 3% bond yields
The doomsday myth of 3% bond yields
Investors are focusing on the wrong 3% figure if they think the US bond yield is a cue for stocks to fall, says Lukas Daalder.
08-05-2018 | Monthly outlook
Watch your Term Premium!
Watch your Term Premium!
It crops up as a topic of discussion every now and again: the ‘term premium’.
09-04-2018 | Insight
The investment objective as smart benchmark for the LDI portfolio
The investment objective as smart benchmark for the LDI portfolio
For an LDI portfolio, the investment objective is often a better benchmark than a standard index.
21-02-2018 | Insight
Stop whining about the US yield curve
Stop whining about the US yield curve
Talk of an inverted US yield curve flagging a recession is completely misplaced, says Robeco investor Lukas Daalder.
09-01-2018 | Monthly outlook
The future of the euro: to integrate or disintegrate?
The future of the euro: to integrate or disintegrate?
The euro’s future may better lie with further integration rather than disintegration, our five-year outlook believes.
19-09-2017 | 5-Year outlook
Finding Value in government bonds
Finding Value in government bonds
The Value factor has been exploited for decades by equity investors and academic research shows it can also be applied to fixed income, in particular to government bonds.
24-02-2017 | Insight
America a melting pot of opportunity mixed with stalemate
America a melting pot of opportunity mixed with stalemate
America is a melting pot of opportunity mixed in with political stalemate that will give its new president a difficult path to steer, says Chief Economist Léon Cornelissen.
17-10-2016 | Insight
It’s always darkest just before dawn
It’s always darkest just before dawn
Every year Robeco takes a fresh look at the outlook for the global economy over the next five years.
26-09-2016 | 5-Year outlook
Forecasting sovereign default risk with Merton’s model
Forecasting sovereign default risk with Merton’s model
We provide an extensive empirical study into the Gray, Merton, and Bodie (2007) structural model for sovereigns.
15-10-2015 | Research
Integrating ESG in Euro Government Bond portfolios
Integrating ESG in Euro Government Bond portfolios
The ESG ranking of a number of euro periphery countries has improved, after having reached a low in 2010.
07-07-2014 | Insight
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