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Insights

Measuring credit risk with Duration Times Spread
Measuring credit risk with Duration Times Spread
Accurately measuring credit risk is a significant challenge for credit investors.
10-12-2019 | Insight
The Night Shadows: Investing in fixed income if recession hits
The Night Shadows: Investing in fixed income if recession hits
We live in a world of inverted yield curves, contracting business surveys, global trade, and falling earnings and CEO confidence.
28-11-2019 | Yearly outlook
Lower credit risk observed in sectors that are positively aligned with the SDGs
Lower credit risk observed in sectors that are positively aligned with the SDGs
Our analysis of historical performance data confirms what we see in practice.
07-11-2019 | Insight
Refining the inclusion of views in portfolio construction
Refining the inclusion of views in portfolio construction
Taking investors’ views into account when building portfolios is difficult but essential, says Roderick Molenaar.
09-10-2019 | 5-Year outlook
Fixed income outlook: Rising recession risk; unchanged strategy
Fixed income outlook: Rising recession risk; unchanged strategy
It seems a lot has changed in one quarter.
03-10-2019 | Quarterly outlook
An empirical test of factors in the unchartered waters of EM credits
An empirical test of factors in the unchartered waters of EM credits
credit markets have seen tremendous growth over the past two decades.
30-09-2019 | Research
We’re developing factor-based alternatives to passive fixed income
We’re developing factor-based alternatives to passive fixed income
Quantitative investing in fixed income markets has slowly but surely gained traction in recent years.
21-08-2019 | Insight
European banks: Go for debt
European banks: Go for debt
Despite earnings compression, the creditworthiness of European banks appears intact.
07-08-2019 | Insight
Negative yields are becoming the new normal
Negative yields are becoming the new normal
The ECB has adopted a long-term negative interest rate policy.
06-08-2019 | Insight
Fixed income outlook: More repression to avoid recession
Fixed income outlook: More repression to avoid recession
Fighting the Fed or ECB has been a losing game over the past decade.
10-07-2019 | Quarterly outlook
Credit outlook: Be smart, quick and lucky
Credit outlook: Be smart, quick and lucky
We are skeptical of the idea that central banks are infallible.
27-06-2019 | Quarterly outlook
Duration Times Spread: a measure of spread exposure in credit portfolios
Duration Times Spread: a measure of spread exposure in credit portfolios
Duration Times Spread (DTS) is the market standard method for measuring the credit volatility of a corporate bond.
22-06-2019 | Research
Enabling insurers to achieve capital-efficient returns
Enabling insurers to achieve capital-efficient returns
The majority of assets owned by insurers are invested in investment grade fixed income.
11-04-2019 | Insight
Credit outlook: Dead cat bounce
Credit outlook: Dead cat bounce
04-04-2019 | Quarterly outlook
Strong multi-asset factor performance over more than two centuries
Strong multi-asset factor performance over more than two centuries
To be considered relevant, a factor must first and foremost be backed by ample empirical evidence.
12-02-2019 | Research
In denial, but for how long?
In denial, but for how long?
In our latest Central Bank Watcher, we examine the policy and actions of the world’s major central banks.
11-01-2019 | Insight
It’s late cycle but not end cycle
It’s late cycle but not end cycle
Markets continue to be weak and volatile, while growth expectations are depressed globally.
10-01-2019 | Quarterly outlook
Credit outlook: The emperor is naked
Credit outlook: The emperor is naked
Despite our repeated concerns about high corporate leverage and too much risk appetite, it is only now that credit markets are beginning to react to the global economic slowdown, and the next recession is being openly discussed.
20-12-2018 | Quarterly outlook
Multi-factor bonds: an alternative to passive fixed income
Multi-factor bonds: an alternative to passive fixed income
A growing number of investors are implementing their fixed income strategies through passive Exchange Traded funds (ETFs).
28-11-2018 | Insight
Bond. Corporate Bond
Bond. Corporate Bond
What should and should not be included in strategic asset allocation is a hotly debated topic.
05-11-2018 | 5-Year outlook
Tightening in tougher conditions
Tightening in tougher conditions
In our new Central Bank Watcher, we examine the policy and actions of the world’s major central banks (Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, People’s Bank of China and the Bank of Japan).
30-10-2018 | Insight
All roads lead to Rome but few lead to Italian debt sustainability
All roads lead to Rome but few lead to Italian debt sustainability
It was a warning made two and a half centuries ago – but it has stood the test of time.
29-10-2018 | 5-Year outlook
Beware the monetary tide is turning
Beware the monetary tide is turning
Tighter dollar liquidity and a trade war that is fast becoming a deeper economic struggle will continue to affect markets.
24-10-2018 | Quarterly outlook
Credit outlook: crowding out credit
Credit outlook: crowding out credit
The US economy is still firing on all cylinders.
05-10-2018 | Quarterly outlook
Fed on a steady hiking path, at least for now
Fed on a steady hiking path, at least for now
At its 26 September meeting the Fed hiked rates and signaled a continuation of its gradual tightening path.
27-09-2018 | News
Fact or fiction: SI does not work in emerging markets
Fact or fiction: SI does not work in emerging markets
Sustainable investing is well established in the West, though some doubt whether it can work in emerging markets battling with bigger issues.
08-08-2018 | Insight
Fact or fiction: SI only works with equities
Fact or fiction: SI only works with equities
Hundreds of investors are convinced that sustainable investing offers a better way of buying equities.
16-07-2018 | Insight
Credit outlook: a slow bleed?
Credit outlook: a slow bleed?
We are past the peak of the credit cycle and uncertainty lies ahead.
06-07-2018 | Quarterly outlook
Buy-and-maintain: bespoke by default
Buy-and-maintain: bespoke by default
A buy-and-maintain strategy inherently requires a customized solution.
18-06-2018 | Insight
Fact or fiction: SI is a niche form of investing
Fact or fiction: SI is a niche form of investing
Sustainable investing has sometimes been considered niche – so the sheer size of it may come as a surprise.
11-06-2018 | Insight
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