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Insights

Lower earnings may not usher in a bear market
Lower earnings may not usher in a bear market
Falling company profits don’t necessarily mean a bear market or recession is due, says strategist Peter van der Welle.
06-12-2019 | Monthly outlook
Manufacturing versus services – a tale of two indices
Manufacturing versus services – a tale of two indices
Investors need to nuance weaker confidence in manufacturing, as services data is a stronger signal, says portfolio manager Rikkert Scholten.
08-10-2019 | Monthly outlook
What’s driving the mid-cycle slowdown
What’s driving the mid-cycle slowdown
Economic growth is hitting a speed ramp, but should shift into a higher gear, says strategist Peter van der Welle.
06-09-2019 | Monthly outlook
Sometimes data revisions matter
Sometimes data revisions matter
Sometimes data revisions really matter – this is one of those times.
05-08-2019 | Insight
The Fed’s sugar rush rally
The Fed’s sugar rush rally
When the Fed starts cutting rates, it is easier to be long 2-year Treasuries than credit, says Global Macro team co-head Jamie Stuttard.
05-07-2019 | Monthly outlook
Post G20 expect delays on a trade deal, but we still need one
Post G20 expect delays on a trade deal, but we still need one
Reaching a trade deal would be crucial for equity markets.
05-07-2019 | Insight
The new Long March of China
The new Long March of China
China’s attempts to combat a trade war with the US present an uphill battle for emerging market assets, says strategist Peter van der Welle.
07-06-2019 | Monthly outlook
There’s no need to fear yield curve inversions
There’s no need to fear yield curve inversions
Inverted yield curves may famously herald recessions, but they do not harm market returns that much, says multi-asset investor Jeroen Blokland.
08-05-2019 | Monthly outlook
The undercover MMT practitioner
The undercover MMT practitioner
Rarely does an economic theory get so much attention in the media.
05-04-2019 | Column
Risks to European equities are overstated
Risks to European equities are overstated
European stocks could become more attractive, as positive outcomes can be seen for their perceived risks, says Chief Economist Léon Cornelissen.
08-03-2019 | Monthly outlook
Recession indicators are overrated for stock returns
Recession indicators are overrated for stock returns
Investors should beware of trying to use asset values to forecast recessions, says portfolio manager Jeroen Blokland.
08-02-2019 | Monthly outlook
Emerging stocks could make a comeback in 2019
Emerging stocks could make a comeback in 2019
A number of factors bode well for emerging market equities this year, says investor Jeroen Blokland.
10-01-2019 | Monthly outlook
Markets see the wind taken out of their sails
Markets see the wind taken out of their sails
Markets have seen choppy waters in recent months, but four factors are positive for stocks, says strategist Peter van der Welle.
07-12-2018 | Monthly outlook
Democrat poll win weakens Trump’s power
Democrat poll win weakens Trump’s power
A Democrat victory in US elections is positive for markets, though a return to fiscal discipline is unlikely, says Chief Economist Léon Cornelissen.
07-11-2018 | Insight
All roads lead to Rome but few lead to Italian debt sustainability
All roads lead to Rome but few lead to Italian debt sustainability
It was a warning made two and a half centuries ago – but it has stood the test of time.
29-10-2018 | 5-Year outlook
Will a blue wave mean Trump waves goodbye?
Will a blue wave mean Trump waves goodbye?
Mid-term US elections may spell trouble for President Trump, says Robeco Chief Economist Léon Cornelissen.
25-10-2018 | Insight
The potential rewards of diversifying away from US Equities
The potential rewards of diversifying away from US Equities
A perpetual problem for investors is deciding what assets to allocate to.
15-10-2018 | 5-Year outlook
Oh, what a lovely trade war!
Oh, what a lovely trade war!
There is little upside for investors in the escalating US-China trade war, warns Robeco Chief Economist Léon Cornelissen.
08-10-2018 | Monthly outlook
Fed on a steady hiking path, at least for now
Fed on a steady hiking path, at least for now
At its 26 September meeting the Fed hiked rates and signaled a continuation of its gradual tightening path.
27-09-2018 | News
The power of earnings
The power of earnings
Investors should focus on the E and not just the P in the price/earnings ratio, says Robeco’s Jeroen Blokland.
10-09-2018 | Monthly outlook
China has more to lose from a trade war than US
China has more to lose from a trade war than US
Tariffs will hurt China more than the US as a trade war begins in earnest, Robeco Chief Economist Léon Cornelissen warns.
09-07-2018 | Monthly outlook
The doomsday myth of 3% bond yields
The doomsday myth of 3% bond yields
Investors are focusing on the wrong 3% figure if they think the US bond yield is a cue for stocks to fall, says Lukas Daalder.
08-05-2018 | Monthly outlook
The mystery of the weak greenback
The mystery of the weak greenback
The surprising weakness of the US dollar continues to puzzle markets, says Robeco investor Lukas Daalder.
10-04-2018 | Monthly outlook
US trade war could extinguish overheating
US trade war could extinguish overheating
Tariffs could unwittingly act as an antidote to US economic overheating, says Chief Economist Léon Cornelissen.
28-03-2018 | Insight
Trump’s macroeconomic poison cocktail
Trump’s macroeconomic poison cocktail
Donald Trump risks a poisonous macroeconomic cocktail by both stimulating and choking off a booming US economy, says Robeco’s Lukas Daalder.
08-03-2018 | Monthly outlook
Stop whining about the US yield curve
Stop whining about the US yield curve
Talk of an inverted US yield curve flagging a recession is completely misplaced, says Robeco investor Lukas Daalder.
09-01-2018 | Monthly outlook
Are we heading for a bear market?
Are we heading for a bear market?
A series of seemingly unstoppable stock market highs has left investors wondering if a correction is coming.
08-12-2017 | Monthly outlook
America a melting pot of opportunity mixed with stalemate
America a melting pot of opportunity mixed with stalemate
America is a melting pot of opportunity mixed in with political stalemate that will give its new president a difficult path to steer, says Chief Economist Léon Cornelissen.
17-10-2016 | Insight
The quarterly outlook for credits: we are on borrowed time
The quarterly outlook for credits: we are on borrowed time
How much further can the US business cycle be extended?
04-04-2016 | Quarterly outlook
Forget China - it’s the US that really moves markets
Forget China - it’s the US that really moves markets
Chinese growth fears and Middle East tensions caused equity markets to open the new year with significant falls – but it is the US that investors should focus on, says Robeco’s Lukas Daalder.
05-01-2016 | Insight
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