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Insights

Central bank watcher: Different worlds
Central bank watcher: Different worlds
Not all global policymakers are in a rush to remove the punch bowl.
20-12-2021 | Insight
Inflation fears and a more hawkish Fed spook markets
Inflation fears and a more hawkish Fed spook markets
Rising inflation that prompted the Fed to suggest faster tapering which may accelerate rate hikes has rattled markets.
08-12-2021 | Monthly outlook
Credit outlook: Imperfect information and imperfect foresight
Credit outlook: Imperfect information and imperfect foresight
With so many distorting elements at play right now, we can’t rely on economic theory for easy answers.
07-12-2021 | Quarterly outlook
Fixed income outlook: Pricing sigma
Fixed income outlook: Pricing sigma
We note several multiple sigma events across fixed income markets.
30-11-2021 | Quarterly outlook
Central banks' post-pandemic playbook
Central banks' post-pandemic playbook
Central banks have thrown the proverbial kitchen sink at their fight to mitigate the economic impact of Covid-19.
20-10-2021 | 5-Year outlook
Credit outlook: Common prosperity
Credit outlook: Common prosperity
Changing policy in China will have repercussions for the rest of the world – and for credit markets.
21-09-2021 | Quarterly outlook
Fixed income outlook: Tunnel vision
Fixed income outlook: Tunnel vision
There is plenty of evidence of herding and groupthink.
14-09-2021 | Quarterly outlook
Credit outlook: Humble
Credit outlook: Humble
It’s best to be humble about the many unknowns and distortions as economies reopen.
23-06-2021 | Quarterly outlook
Fixed income outlook: Inflation hyperventilation
Fixed income outlook: Inflation hyperventilation
Heading into H2, we still find plenty to disagree with in the prevailing market consensus.
15-06-2021 | Quarterly outlook
Credit outlook: Running the economy hot
Credit outlook: Running the economy hot
While it’s possible that credits could keep rallying, the margin for error is extremely limited.
31-03-2021 | Quarterly outlook
Podcast: No need to fear an inflationary accident – just yet
Podcast: No need to fear an inflationary accident – just yet
It’s inevitable that the forceful fiscal stimulus and exceptionally loose monetary policy currently in place will result in higher inflation.
30-03-2021 | Podcast
Fixed income outlook: Coming to America
Fixed income outlook: Coming to America
Several things are coming to America.
23-03-2021 | Quarterly outlook
The return of Term Premium
The return of Term Premium
Despite all the focus on the inflation outlook and ongoing Fed hikes, the recent sell-off in US Treasuries was actually driven to a large extent by a reawaking of the term premium.
19-11-2018 | Insight
Credit outlook: risk management is key
Credit outlook: risk management is key
The 2018 outlook on credits is cautious.
23-01-2018 | Video
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