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Insights

Fixed income outlook: Pricing sigma
Fixed income outlook: Pricing sigma
We note several multiple sigma events across fixed income markets.
30-11-2021 | Quarterly outlook
Credit outlook: Common prosperity
Credit outlook: Common prosperity
Changing policy in China will have repercussions for the rest of the world – and for credit markets.
21-09-2021 | Quarterly outlook
Fixed income outlook: Tunnel vision
Fixed income outlook: Tunnel vision
There is plenty of evidence of herding and groupthink.
14-09-2021 | Quarterly outlook
Credit outlook: Humble
Credit outlook: Humble
It’s best to be humble about the many unknowns and distortions as economies reopen.
23-06-2021 | Quarterly outlook
Fixed income outlook: Inflation hyperventilation
Fixed income outlook: Inflation hyperventilation
Heading into H2, we still find plenty to disagree with in the prevailing market consensus.
15-06-2021 | Quarterly outlook
Credit outlook: Running the economy hot
Credit outlook: Running the economy hot
While it’s possible that credits could keep rallying, the margin for error is extremely limited.
31-03-2021 | Quarterly outlook
Fixed income outlook: Coming to America
Fixed income outlook: Coming to America
Several things are coming to America.
23-03-2021 | Quarterly outlook
Credit outlook: TINA is still singing
Credit outlook: TINA is still singing
Markets are pricing for the best possible outcome.
17-12-2020 | Quarterly outlook
Fixed income outlook: Just another range trade
Fixed income outlook: Just another range trade
Markets participants, often overly focused on cyclical and economic factors, may need to take a broader perspective.
08-12-2020 | Quarterly outlook
Credit outlook: Markets already have the vaccine
Credit outlook: Markets already have the vaccine
The world is waiting for a vaccine that will enable us to return to our normal lives.
29-09-2020 | Quarterly outlook
Credit outlook: The rules have changed
Credit outlook: The rules have changed
The ‘common enemy’ elicited a massive unconventional, coordinated series of stimulus by policy makers.
24-06-2020 | Quarterly outlook
Fixed income outlook: The Covid shock and the Baa recovery
Fixed income outlook: The Covid shock and the Baa recovery
Fixed income opportunities are shifting swiftly away from safe-haven government bonds towards credit.
01-04-2020 | Quarterly outlook
Credit outlook: 'The common enemy'
Credit outlook: 'The common enemy'
Spreads have moved from historically narrow levels straight to recessionary wides.
24-03-2020 | Quarterly outlook
Credit outlook: There is no average
Credit outlook: There is no average
There is a bid for safety in credit markets, but a need for yield.
10-12-2019 | Quarterly outlook
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