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Insights

Blokland’s daily sketch
Blokland’s daily sketch

Waiting for inflation

27-10-2020 | Daily sketch
Graph of the week
Graph of the week

IMF cheers on fiscal deficits

23-10-2020 | Insight
Low-risk stocks behave like bonds
Low-risk stocks behave like bonds
Low-risk stocks are very bond-like.
13-10-2020 | Research
Carbon pricing, asset allocation and climate goals
Carbon pricing, asset allocation and climate goals
Assessing carbon risk in portfolios is a difficult but necessary task for investors.
12-10-2020 | 5-Year outlook
Expected Returns – watch the full show
Expected Returns – watch the full show
Post Covid-19, we will all be entering a ‘brave real world’ with negative interest rates, looming inflation and unprecedented central bank policies.
09-10-2020 | Video
Brave real world: the main takeaways from Expected Returns
Brave real world: the main takeaways from Expected Returns
The Covid-19 pandemic has completely changed the world, making it much harder for investors to navigate likely conditions for the major asset classes.
09-10-2020 | Video
Addressing carbon risk in investor portfolios
Addressing carbon risk in investor portfolios
Investors have a role to play in facilitating the transition to a low-carbon economy.
09-10-2020 | Video
Running on fumes, in search of the next refill
Running on fumes, in search of the next refill
Markets need a major catalyst to move higher as they face headwinds led by the US elections and Covid-19, says strategist Peter van der Welle.
08-10-2020 | Monthly outlook
5-year Expected Returns: Brave real world
5-year Expected Returns: Brave real world
Few would doubt that the Covid-19 pandemic has completely changed the world.
29-09-2020 | 5-Year outlook
Long-term Expected Returns
Long-term Expected Returns
The purpose of this report is to show our long-term return expectations for a wide set of asset classes.
29-09-2020 | 5-Year outlook
Shifting into neutral in multi-asset portfolios
Shifting into neutral in multi-asset portfolios
The improving global economy has made bonds less attractive compared to equities, says multi-asset investor Jeroen Blokland.
07-09-2020 | Monthly outlook
Linking economic activities with the SDGs
Linking economic activities with the SDGs
A new research paper has mapped the impact that economic activity has on achieving the UN’s Sustainable Development Goals.
30-06-2020 | Insight
New study reveals: you can predict when interest rates will rise
New study reveals: you can predict when interest rates will rise
Over the past decades, many empirical studies have examined the predictability of interest rates, so far with mixed results.
30-06-2020 | Insight
Data sets - the idiosyncratic momentum factor
Data sets - the idiosyncratic momentum factor
A research-driven approach is at the core of everything we do.
23-06-2020 | Data sets
Defining Quality: separating the wheat from the chaff
Defining Quality: separating the wheat from the chaff
Quality is a commonly accepted equity factor.
18-06-2020 | Research
Duration Times Spread: a measure of spread exposure in credit portfolios
Duration Times Spread: a measure of spread exposure in credit portfolios
Duration Times Spread (DTS) is the market standard method for measuring the credit volatility of a corporate bond.
01-05-2020 | Research
Staying the course and being selective reaps long-term rewards in EM
Staying the course and being selective reaps long-term rewards in EM
Emerging markets equity strategies with their value tilt should typically underperform in risk-off markets.
08-04-2020 | Insight
Podcast: Corona, oil price war and falling markets – what to do?
Podcast: Corona, oil price war and falling markets – what to do?
“If you wake up and see -6%, you know what kind of day it is going to be.
07-04-2020 | Podcast
Adjusting the Value factor for intangibles
Adjusting the Value factor for intangibles
The standard academic definition for the Value factor is the ratio of book-value-to market-value (B/M).
19-02-2020 | From the field
Solvency regulations and low-risk investing: comparing the Nordics with the Netherlands
Solvency regulations and low-risk investing: comparing the Nordics with the Netherlands
Pension regulations in the Nordic countries and the Netherlands are similar to insurance regulation in the European Union.
11-02-2020 | Insight
Exclusions may simply be transferring a problem
Exclusions may simply be transferring a problem
Do exclusions work?
03-02-2020 | Research
Mind the skew – stocks may not yet have peaked
Mind the skew – stocks may not yet have peaked
A curious skew in historical stock returns means global equities may have some upside left, says strategist Peter van der Welle.
09-01-2020 | Monthly outlook
The volatility effect revisited
The volatility effect revisited
Over the past decade, low volatility has become a popular investment style.
07-01-2020 | Research
Data sets – historical returns of the market portfolio
Data sets – historical returns of the market portfolio
A research-driven approach is at the core of everything we do.
06-01-2020 | Data sets
Duration Times Spread: measuring credit risk
Duration Times Spread: measuring credit risk
Accurately measuring credit risk is a significant challenge for credit investors.
10-12-2019 | Research
Never a dull moment: 25 years of emerging market investing
Never a dull moment: 25 years of emerging market investing
Today, emerging markets represent a quarter of the global equity market.
26-11-2019 | Insight
Calm in Storm: Beyond the trade war
Calm in Storm: Beyond the trade war
Over the past year, regional equity market allocation has been heavily influenced by investors’ expectations on the outcome of the US-China trade war.
21-11-2019 | Yearly outlook
Welcome to the world of pinball investing
Welcome to the world of pinball investing
In a whirlwind of contradicting news, markets seem to have created a new investment style: pinball.
29-10-2019 | Column
Giving China its rightful share in your portfolio
Giving China its rightful share in your portfolio
Chinese stocks are a major new investment opportunity, yet they are under-represented in most portfolios, say Laurens Swinkels and Jaap Hoek.
23-10-2019 | 5-Year outlook
Manufacturing versus services – a tale of two indices
Manufacturing versus services – a tale of two indices
Investors need to nuance weaker confidence in manufacturing, as services data is a stronger signal, says portfolio manager Rikkert Scholten.
08-10-2019 | Monthly outlook
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