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Insights

The undercover MMT practitioner
The undercover MMT practitioner
Rarely does an economic theory get so much attention in the media.
05-04-2019 | Column
Brexit saga set to drag on until June or longer
Brexit saga set to drag on until June or longer
Investors are bracing for the prospect of a delayed or canceled Brexit, as the saga looks set to drag on for at least another three months.
15-03-2019 | Insight
Risks to European equities are overstated
Risks to European equities are overstated
European stocks could become more attractive, as positive outcomes can be seen for their perceived risks, says Chief Economist Léon Cornelissen.
08-03-2019 | Monthly outlook
Merkeldämmerung
Merkeldämmerung
The twilight of the Merkel era (playfully referred to in German as Merkeldämmerung) could be added to the list of political risks for the Eurozone in 2019.
11-12-2018 | Insight
Two European headaches: Brexit and Italy
Two European headaches: Brexit and Italy
Drawing a line under both of these situations will help European equities deliver improved relative performance within a global equity portfolio, and banks will play a key role in this.
06-12-2018 | Insight
An alternative after all
An alternative after all
After eight consecutive Fed rate hikes, investors finally have an alternative to risky assets: USD cash.
15-11-2018 | Insight
Outlook 2019: Turbulence ahead
Outlook 2019: Turbulence ahead
Next year we expect the markets to have two faces.
08-11-2018 | Insight
Democrat poll win weakens Trump’s power
Democrat poll win weakens Trump’s power
A Democrat victory in US elections is positive for markets, though a return to fiscal discipline is unlikely, says Chief Economist Léon Cornelissen.
07-11-2018 | Insight
Climate change growth could be worth USD 26 trillion
Climate change growth could be worth USD 26 trillion
Investing to limit climate change could add USD 26 trillion to the global economy, a new report says.
01-11-2018 | Stunning statistics
All roads lead to Rome but few lead to Italian debt sustainability
All roads lead to Rome but few lead to Italian debt sustainability
It was a warning made two and a half centuries ago – but it has stood the test of time.
29-10-2018 | 5-Year outlook
Will a blue wave mean Trump waves goodbye?
Will a blue wave mean Trump waves goodbye?
Mid-term US elections may spell trouble for President Trump, says Robeco Chief Economist Léon Cornelissen.
25-10-2018 | Insight
Oil will have to be written off at some point. But not yet!
Oil will have to be written off at some point. But not yet!
Stranded assets do not currently threaten the prosperity of oil companies, which still have a role to play in portfolios, says Chief Economist Léon Cornelissen.
22-10-2018 | 5-Year outlook
Brexit - still bordering on the ridiculous
Brexit - still bordering on the ridiculous
Stalemate over the Irish border is raising the risk that the UK will crash out of the EU without a deal, says Robeco Chief Economist Léon Cornelissen.
16-10-2018 | Insight
Oh, what a lovely trade war!
Oh, what a lovely trade war!
There is little upside for investors in the escalating US-China trade war, warns Robeco Chief Economist Léon Cornelissen.
08-10-2018 | Monthly outlook
Expected Returns: Patience is a virtue
Expected Returns: Patience is a virtue
Modest returns on equities and bonds that are still in negative territory mean investors will need to be patient, our new five-year outlook predicts.
08-10-2018 | 5-Year outlook
5-year Expected Returns: Patience is a virtue
5-year Expected Returns: Patience is a virtue
Download our Expected Returns 2019-2023 report (116 pages).
28-09-2018 | 5-Year outlook
Excessive
Excessive
It looks unlikely that Italy’s new populist government will seek confrontation with Brussels about its budget for 2019 after all.
26-09-2018 | Column
 UK moves ever closer to a ‘soft Brexit’
UK moves ever closer to a ‘soft Brexit’
Britain is likely to remain half in and half out of the EU after more high drama in the Brexit saga, says Robeco Chief Economist Léon Cornelissen.
10-07-2018 | Insight
China has more to lose from a trade war than US
China has more to lose from a trade war than US
Tariffs will hurt China more than the US as a trade war begins in earnest, Robeco Chief Economist Léon Cornelissen warns.
09-07-2018 | Monthly outlook
Will it be BRINO – Brexit In Name Only?
Will it be BRINO – Brexit In Name Only?
The UK is likely to end up with a Brexit In Name Only (BRINO) when it ‘leaves’ the European Union, says Robeco Chief Economist Léon Cornelissen.
08-06-2018 | Insight
The Italian crisis - a mere ripple or more of a wave?
The Italian crisis - a mere ripple or more of a wave?
It pushed aside trade war talk and the Korean summit saga to take center stage.
07-06-2018 | Monthly outlook
US trade war could extinguish overheating
US trade war could extinguish overheating
Tariffs could unwittingly act as an antidote to US economic overheating, says Chief Economist Léon Cornelissen.
28-03-2018 | Insight
The battle for Frankfurt
The battle for Frankfurt
Spain is back.
27-03-2018 | Column
Germany, or even Europe, to be thrown into political turmoil?
Germany, or even Europe, to be thrown into political turmoil?

Euroscepticism was put to the electoral test last year, and apparently it failed

15-02-2018 | Column
The future of the euro: to integrate or disintegrate?
The future of the euro: to integrate or disintegrate?
The euro’s future may better lie with further integration rather than disintegration, our five-year outlook believes.
19-09-2017 | 5-Year outlook
America a melting pot of opportunity mixed with stalemate
America a melting pot of opportunity mixed with stalemate
America is a melting pot of opportunity mixed in with political stalemate that will give its new president a difficult path to steer, says Chief Economist Léon Cornelissen.
17-10-2016 | Insight
Global warming: a systemic risk
Global warming: a systemic risk
Global warming will become worse, before it hopefully becomes better, says Chief Economist Léon Cornelissen.
26-09-2016 | Insight
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