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Ibbotson’s “Stocks, Bonds, Bills and Inflation” data set is widely used because it provides monthly US financial data series going back to as early as 1926. In this data set, the “default premium” is calculated as the difference between the total returns on long-term corporate bonds and long-term government bonds.
New research from Robeco identifies and corrects for biases in analyst earnings revisions, says Senior Quantitative Equities Researcher, Joop Huij.
A short-term reversal strategy based on residual momentum reduces exposure to systematic factors and results in lower risk and better returns than a conventional momentum strategy.
What is the best way to measure the performance of a strategy focused on risk-adjusted return? David Blitz and Pim van Vliet answer this question in their article, Benchmarking Low-Volatility Strategies, published in the Journal of Index Investing.
We analyzed the sensitivity of the duration model's performance to inflation and different financial market regimes. Our conclusions are threefold: (1) the model delivers a strong performance when inflation is high; (2) the model offers protection against rising inflation for bond investors and (3) the model is successful in both bull and bear markets.
An optimal portfolio allocation will have large exposures to value, momentum and low-volatility strategies, according to a study of US equity returns over 40 years.
Several studies report that abnormal returns associated with short-term reversal investment strategies diminish once transaction costs are taken into account.
This comprehensive investigation of the relation between the value anomaly and distress risk finds that value stocks are not cheaper than growth stocks due to the risk of financial distress.
This comprehensive investigation of the relation between the value anomaly and distress risk finds that value stocks are not cheaper than growth stocks due to the risk of financial distress. While the study looked at US stock returns, the research applies to emerging markets as well.
Emerging markets ETFs typically underperform benchmarks by 1% a year and about half of the funds exhibit high tracking errors. With these characteristics, should they be classified as passive strategies?
A decentralized professional investment process can lead to inefficient portfolios. Low-risk equities are undervalued because active managers have a dual incentive to buy high-risk stocks.
Robeco advocates Responsible Investing. We believe that this improves the long-term risk-return profile for our clients. One of the pillars of Robeco’s Responsible Investing policy involves the integration of environmental, social and governance (ESG) factors into the investment process.
Generating benchmark-like returns is a difficult job in the High Yield corporate bond market. High index turnover and illiquidity, i.e. high bid-ask spreads, are the main reasons why passively tracking a High Yield index comes at significant costs.
We build on the work of Wright and Zhou (2009) who show that the average jump mean in bond prices can predict excess bond returns, capturing the countercyclical behaviour of risk premia.
Pension funds can protect funding ratios by making low-risk stocks a part of their equity allocation, says Pim van Vliet, Senior Portfolio Manager, Robeco Low Volatility Equities.
Not only do the value and momentum effects exist in frontier markets, these effects are uncorrelated with each other and with similar strategies in developed and emerging markets.
Efficient markets theory has been challenged by the finding that relatively simple investment strategies are found to generate statistically significantly higher returns than the market portfolio.
Efficient markets theory has been challenged by the finding that relatively simple investment strategies are found to generate statistically significantly higher returns than the market portfolio. Well-known examples are the value, size and momentum strategies, for which return premiums have been documented in US and international stock markets. Market efficiency is also challenged, however, if some simple investment strategy generates a return similar to that of the market, but at a systematically lower level of risk.
Some of the most influential scientific papers on the predictability of bond markets connect theory with the tested predictive power of the variables of Robeco’s duration model. A small sample of academic evidence on the predictability of fixed income markets is discussed in this paper and its link to the model is illustrated.
An analysis of the success of value, momentum and earnings revisions strategies in emerging markets finds that behavioral biases are at work—just as in developed markets. This paper was later published in Emerging Markets Review.
The last decades have witnessed some major developments in the field of asset pricing. These have contributed to a better understanding of stock, bond and other asset prices and have influenced other disciplines such as corporate finance and macro economics.
A number of different quantitative investment strategies are applied to emerging markets. Value, momentum and earnings revisions strategies are found to be the most successful. This paper was later published in the Journal of Empirical Finance.