Short-term residual reversal

Abstract

17-08-2011 | Research | David Blitz, PhD, Joop Huij, PhD, Marno Verbeek, Simon D. Lansdorp

Conventional short-term reversal strategies exhibit dynamic exposures to the Fama and French (1993) factors. We develop a novel reversal strategy based on residual stock returns that does not exhibit these exposures and consequently earns risk-adjusted returns that are twice as large as those of a conventional reversal strategy. Residual reversal strategies generate statistically and economically significant profits net of trading costs, even when we restrict our sample to large-cap stocks over the post-1990 period.

Our results are inconsistent with the notion that reversal effects are attributable to trading frictions, liquidity, or non-synchronous trading of stocks and pose a serious challenge to rational asset pricing models.

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